Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Global oil outlooks diverged in November as the EIA cut demand forecasts, and the IEA lifted projections. However, both agencies expect supply to grow faster than demand.</li>
<li>The EIA, IEA, and OPEC flag a rising risk of oversupply heading into 2026, noting that expanding production and already-elevated inventories could keep the market looser.</li>
<li>Strong U.S. LNG exports prompted the EIA to raise its Henry Hub forecasts, signalling price strength will rely more on robust export demand than on domestic consumption this winter.</li>
</ul>


Global oil outlooks diverged in November as the EIA cut demand forecasts, and the IEA lifted projections. However, both agencies expect supply to grow faster than demand.
The EIA, IEA, and OPEC flag a rising risk of oversupply heading into 2026, noting that expanding production and already-elevated inventories could keep the market looser.
Strong U.S. LNG exports prompted the EIA to raise its Henry Hub forecasts, signalling price strength will rely more on robust export demand than on domestic consumption this winter.


EIA, OPEC, IEA Sound Caution: Rising Supply and Inventories Threaten 2026 Price Stability

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

<ul><li>Our strategy approach is to filter various information sources and apply our clear investment process on top of it.</li><li>There are two reasons for us to enter a trade: …our quant system tells us to do so …or we make a discretionary manager decision based on market fundamentals that the quant system will only grasp with a time-lag</li><li>While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.</li></ul>

Our strategy approach is to filter various information sources and apply our clear investment process on top of it.There are two reasons for us to enter a trade: …our quant system tells us to do so …or we make a discretionary manager decision based on market fundamentals that the quant system will only grasp with a time-lagWhile not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

<ul><li>Live and feeder cattle futures gapped lower on the open Friday, with some feeder cattle contracts touching even limit down - as panic selling hit the complex.</li><li>The reason for the panic selling: president Trump.</li><li>In an announcement on Thursday evening, Trump hinted that there could be a near-term deal reached to lower beef prices. How exactly such a deal would look like isn’t clear, though.</li></ul>

Live and feeder cattle futures gapped lower on the open Friday, with some feeder cattle contracts touching even limit down - as panic selling hit the complex.The reason for the panic selling: president Trump.In an announcement on Thursday evening, Trump hinted that there could be a near-term deal reached to lower beef prices. How exactly such a deal would look like isn’t clear, though.

<ul>
<li>Global oil demand growth remains Asia-led. However, surging non-OPEC supply and swelling inventories threaten price stability, even as China’s stockpiling and resilient consumption cushion downside pressure.</li>
<li>EIA, OPEC, and IEA see diverging oil market paths, with non-OECD demand strong but excess supply, high inventories, and soft gas prices signalling a market leaning toward surplus.</li>
<li>While Asia powers demand growth, mounting supply from the U.S. and OPEC+, and elevated inventories weigh on prices, keeping crude markets stable yet tilted bearish into 2026.</li>
</ul>


Global oil demand growth remains Asia-led. However, surging non-OPEC supply and swelling inventories threaten price stability, even as China’s stockpiling and resilient consumption cushion downside pressure.
EIA, OPEC, and IEA see diverging oil market paths, with non-OECD demand strong but excess supply, high inventories, and soft gas prices signalling a market leaning toward surplus.
While Asia powers demand growth, mounting supply from the U.S. and OPEC+, and elevated inventories weigh on prices, keeping crude markets stable yet tilted bearish into 2026.


EIA, OPEC, and IEA Differ on Crude Oil Demand Outlook but Align on Asia-Led Demand Growth

<ul><li>After the remarkable bull market in frozen orange juice concentrate futures (OJ) between 2022 and 2024, the market topped out during the early days of 2025.</li><li>Since then, the market corrected 60% from its highs. But for the most part of 2025 the market is actually in a consolidation phase.</li><li>From a chart perspective, the market offers now an interesting setup</li></ul>

After the remarkable bull market in frozen orange juice concentrate futures (OJ) between 2022 and 2024, the market topped out during the early days of 2025.Since then, the market corrected 60% from its highs. But for the most part of 2025 the market is actually in a consolidation phase.From a chart perspective, the market offers now an interesting setup

Orange Juice Make-or-Break Time & The Copper Breakout

United States

Natural gas is a naturally occurring hydrocarbon gas mixture consisting primarily of methane, but commonly including varying amounts of other higher alkanes, and sometimes a small percentage of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide, or helium. It is formed when layers of decomposing plant and animal matter are exposed to intense heat and pressure supplied by existing under the surface of the Earth over millions of years. The energy that the plants originally obtained from the sun is stored in the form of chemical bonds in the gas.

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Natural Gas (NATURAL GAS COMDTY)

EIA, OPEC, IEA Sound Caution: Rising Supply and Inventories Threaten 2026 Price Stability

Global oil outlooks diverged, with the EIA cutting demand forecasts and the IEA lifting projections, but both expect supply to outpace demand....

Mint Finance

Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

The Commodity Report

Did Trump Just Tank the Meat Markets?

Live and feeder cattle futures gapped lower on the open Friday, with some feeder cattle contracts touching even limit down - as panic selling hit...

The Commodity Report

EIA, OPEC, and IEA Differ on Crude Oil Demand Outlook but Align on Asia-Led Demand Growth

Asia-led oil demand growth faces threats from surging non-OPEC supply and high inventories, keeping prices stable but bearish into 2026.

Mint Finance

Orange Juice Make-or-Break Time & The Copper Breakout

After the remarkable bull market in frozen orange juice concentrate futures (OJ) between 2022 and 2024, the market topped out during the early days...

The Commodity Report

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EIA, OPEC, IEA Sound Caution: Rising Supply and Inventories Threaten 2026 Price Stability

​Global oil outlooks diverged, with the EIA cutting demand forecasts and the IEA lifting projections, but both expect supply to outpace demand....

Mint Finance

Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

The Commodity Report

Did Trump Just Tank the Meat Markets?

Live and feeder cattle futures gapped lower on the open Friday, with some feeder cattle contracts touching even limit down - as panic selling hit...

The Commodity Report

EIA, OPEC, and IEA Differ on Crude Oil Demand Outlook but Align on Asia-Led Demand Growth

​Asia-led oil demand growth faces threats from surging non-OPEC supply and high inventories, keeping prices stable but bearish into 2026.

Mint Finance

Orange Juice Make-or-Break Time & The Copper Breakout

After the remarkable bull market in frozen orange juice concentrate futures (OJ) between 2022 and 2024, the market topped out during the early days...

The Commodity Report

Global oil outlooks diverged, with the EIA cutting demand forecasts and the IEA lifting projections, but both expect supply to outpace demand....

Asia-led oil demand growth faces threats from surging non-OPEC supply and high inventories, keeping prices stable but bearish into 2026.