Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$886.9 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by communication services, industrials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$886.9 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by communication services, industrials, health care.
We highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC).


Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (-US$2.0bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.20bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/satelltte-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4526:1" rel="noopener">Satellite Chemical (002648 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:714:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (-US$2.0bn) and Shenzhen (+US$0.20bn).
The largest inflows were into Satellite Chemical (002648 CH) and CATL (A) (300750 CH). The largest outflows were in Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 23rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$854.1 million, led by industrials, consumer staples, and offset by communication services, consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow.


Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer staples and materials sectors led the outflows while energy, communication services and real estate led the inflows.
We highlight stocks with top weekly outflows: Moutai, East Money, Yunnan Energy, CATL, Naura Tech.


Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Sino American Silicon Products / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-american-silicon-products-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3441:1" rel="noopener">Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT)</a>  is a Taiwan-based company mainly engaged in the research, development, design, manufacture, and distribution of semiconductor wafer products with subsidiaries in both listed and unlisted companies including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalwafers-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17916:1" rel="noopener">Globalwafers (6488 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/parade-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6987:1" rel="noopener">Parade Technologies (4966 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/actron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4989:1" rel="noopener">Actron Technology (8255 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-wireless-semiconduc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16559:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Wireless Semiconduc (8086 TT)</a> with only in Globalwafers - SAS owns more than 51%.
The large discount between SAS and its subsidiaries could be due to 1) lack of bulge-bracket coverage, 2) higher polysilicon price 3) and 3) weak 1H demand from the solar and the semiconductor from COVID-19 plague which caused investors to care less about the value dislocation between SAS and its subsidiaries.
With a somewhat certain 28-30% gain in the earning as early Q1 2022, investors should start slowly building positions in SAS as the risk-off beast may disturb the confidence in the equity market much longer than what investors would like. The second scenario of increasing stake in Parade Tech should be treated as a call option as when it happens, it is a bonus of another 24%. Thus the total upside could be around 54%. 
<div class="content-highlight">
Besides the above-mentioned reasons, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-american-silicon-products-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3441:1" rel="noopener">Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT)</a> remains a smart way to gain exposure in Globalwafers which trades at 24x PER, compared to SAS that trades at 13x PER. The other factor is that Globalwafers dividend yield is 2.28% while SAS is 5.22%. 
</div>

Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT)  is a Taiwan-based company mainly engaged in the research, development, design, manufacture, and distribution of semiconductor wafer products with subsidiaries in both listed and unlisted companies including Globalwafers (6488 TT) , Parade Technologies (4966 TT) , Actron Technology (8255 TT) and Advanced Wireless Semiconduc (8086 TT) with only in Globalwafers - SAS owns more than 51%.
The large discount between SAS and its subsidiaries could be due to 1) lack of bulge-bracket coverage, 2) higher polysilicon price 3) and 3) weak 1H demand from the solar and the semiconductor from COVID-19 plague which caused investors to care less about the value dislocation between SAS and its subsidiaries.
With a somewhat certain 28-30% gain in the earning as early Q1 2022, investors should start slowly building positions in SAS as the risk-off beast may disturb the confidence in the equity market much longer than what investors would like. The second scenario of increasing stake in Parade Tech should be treated as a call option as when it happens, it is a bonus of another 24%. Thus the total upside could be around 54%. 

Besides the above-mentioned reasons, Sino American Silicon Products (5483 TT) remains a smart way to gain exposure in Globalwafers which trades at 24x PER, compared to SAS that trades at 13x PER. The other factor is that Globalwafers dividend yield is 2.28% while SAS is 5.22%. 


Sino American Silicon (5483): Entry to Globalwafers and Others

China

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

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NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH)

Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

We highlight two weeks of big outflows from A-share by northbound investors, and stocks with top weekly outflows including Moutai, East Money,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sino American Silicon (5483): Entry to Globalwafers and Others

Sino American Silicon remains a smart way to gain exposure in Globalwafers (24x PER), compared to SAS (13x PER). The other factor is that...

Henry Soediarko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.8bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows (Sep 23rd): Tianqi Lithium, Midea Group, Moutai, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Midea, Kweichow Moutai, Sungrow Power.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: $10bn Outflows in 2 Weeks

We highlight two weeks of big outflows from A-share by northbound investors, and stocks with top weekly outflows including Moutai, East Money,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sino American Silicon (5483): Entry to Globalwafers and Others

Sino American Silicon remains a smart way to gain exposure in Globalwafers (24x PER), compared to SAS (13x PER). The other factor is that...

Henry Soediarko

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (14 October 2022)