External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are still highly cautious on the catering sector (as well as Nayuki) because of price war induced by the weakening macro demand and surge in competitions.</li><li>We maintain BUY on Nayuki only because of its: 1) high cash level (over 75%+ of its market cap), 2) potential income and profits from ramp up of its franchising business and 3) efforts to reduce/ control store level and headquarter costs.</li><li>SSS trend YTD has been negative and we see limited catalysts ahead.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are still highly cautious on the catering sector (as well as Nayuki) because of price war induced by the weakening macro demand and surge in competitions.We maintain BUY on Nayuki only because of its: 1) high cash level (over 75%+ of its market cap), 2) potential income and profits from ramp up of its franchising business and 3) efforts to reduce/ control store level and headquarter costs.SSS trend YTD has been negative and we see limited catalysts ahead.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nayuki (2150 HK) - Franchising and Costs Cutting Are the Keys

<ul><li>Maintain BUY but trimmed TP to HK$ 7.53, based on 20x FY24E P/E (changed from our DCF model).</li><li>While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.</li><li>1H23 result was roughly inline but sales per store was far from exceptional. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY but trimmed TP to HK$ 7.53, based on 20x FY24E P/E (changed from our DCF model).While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.1H23 result was roughly inline but sales per store was far from exceptional. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nayuki Holdings Limited (2150 HK) – Guidance Revised and Franchising Is the Key

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Our 1H23 revenue estimate is 8.7% lower than consensus, and we expect 1H23 NPM at breakeven vs. consensus at 5%。</li>
<li>Mainly because teahouse brands in China had suffered the intensified competition from the price war in Coffee industry.</li>
<li>We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the intensified competition pressure.</li>
</ul>


Our 1H23 revenue estimate is 8.7% lower than consensus, and we expect 1H23 NPM at breakeven vs. consensus at 5%。
Mainly because teahouse brands in China had suffered the intensified competition from the price war in Coffee industry.
We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the intensified competition pressure.


[Nayuki (2150 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.3) TP Change]: Store Operating Profit Margin Improvement On-Track

<ul><li>Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 8.75, based on our DCF model, which also implies a ~23x FY24E P/E.</li><li>While we are cautiously optimistic about its NP margin improvement in FY23E, we are also excited about this new franchising programme.</li><li>What is new? Nayuki has officially launched its franchising programme in around 300 cities (mostly tier 3-4) on 20 Jul 2023, following a similar act for Lelecha in Apr 2023.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 8.75, based on our DCF model, which also implies a ~23x FY24E P/E.While we are cautiously optimistic about its NP margin improvement in FY23E, we are also excited about this new franchising programme.What is new? Nayuki has officially launched its franchising programme in around 300 cities (mostly tier 3-4) on 20 Jul 2023, following a similar act for Lelecha in Apr 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nayuki (2150 HK) – Franchising can be the new recipe for success

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

Hong Kong

Nayuki Holdings Limited operates as a holding compnay. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and retails tea and bakery products. Nayuki serves customers in China.

Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)

Nayuki (2150 HK) - Franchising and Costs Cutting Are the Keys

We are still highly cautious on the catering sector (as well as Nayuki) because of price war induced by the weakening macro demand and surge in...

CMB International

Nayuki Holdings Limited (2150 HK) – Guidance Revised and Franchising Is the Key

While we are still cautious about the consumer demand in 2H23E, we are also excited about the new franchising programme.

CMB International

[Nayuki (2150 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.3) TP Change]: Store Operating Profit Margin Improvement On-Track

We maintain the stock as BUY rating as the margin improvement process is gradual showing effect, while we lower TP by US$2 to US$9.3 to reflect the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Nayuki (2150 HK) – Franchising can be the new recipe for success

Maintain BUY and raise TP to HK$ 8.75, based on our DCF model, which also implies a ~23x FY24E P/E. While we are cautiously optimistic about its NP...

CMB International

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh