Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.</li>
<li>As discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-network-1973-jp-tender-offer-the-landscape-has-fully-changed" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> 4wks ago, then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-networks-1973-jp-final-showdown-i-extendy-extendy-but-not-yet-bumpity-bumpity" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There's a reason. It is not a high enough price. </li>
<li>METI Fair M&amp;A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, NEC Corp (6701 JP) extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.
As discussed here 4wks ago, then here yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There's a reason. It is not a high enough price. 
METI Fair M&amp;A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.


NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II - Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

<ul>
<li>Two days before the close of its TOB on subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> announced it had no plans to raise the price. </li>
<li>The next day, the second largest shareholder reported a stake increase from 11.68% to 13.12%. That changes the dynamic further, and a change in terms was likely. </li>
<li>Today post-close, NEC extended the Tender Offer by 10 days. It is worthwhile understanding the likely current disposition of shares. </li>
</ul>


Two days before the close of its TOB on subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced it had no plans to raise the price. 
The next day, the second largest shareholder reported a stake increase from 11.68% to 13.12%. That changes the dynamic further, and a change in terms was likely. 
Today post-close, NEC extended the Tender Offer by 10 days. It is worthwhile understanding the likely current disposition of shares. 


NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I - Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Oasis has become a substantial shareholder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, representing 13.2 million shares or an 8.83% ownership ratio. </li>
<li>Oasis has not commented on its intentions, but its stake signifies two possibilities – the start of an activist campaign to secure a bump or a play on appraisal rights.</li>
<li>A bump while possible is not a certainty. NEC is likely to wait to see to if Oasis increases its stake to a level which threatens its offer. </li>
</ul>


Oasis has become a substantial shareholder of Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), representing 13.2 million shares or an 8.83% ownership ratio. 
Oasis has not commented on its intentions, but its stake signifies two possibilities – the start of an activist campaign to secure a bump or a play on appraisal rights.
A bump while possible is not a certainty. NEC is likely to wait to see to if Oasis increases its stake to a level which threatens its offer. 


NEC Networks & System (1973 JP): Oasis Stake Could Be a Headache for NEC

<ul>
<li>On 29-October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> announced a low-ball TOB to buy out subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>. It deserved activism, but finding an activist was tough.</li>
<li>On 7 November, it got an activist, and I wrote on 8-November the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-network-system-integration-1973-gets-more-interesting-the-landscape-has-changed" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Landscape Had Changed</a> that they might have bought 6mm shares more in 5 days. They bought 8.4mm.</li>
<li>The Landscape Has FULLY Changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable. But Target Advisor DCF was ¥3,073-4,688 without synergies.</li>
</ul>


On 29-October, NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced a low-ball TOB to buy out subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP). It deserved activism, but finding an activist was tough.
On 7 November, it got an activist, and I wrote on 8-November the Landscape Had Changed that they might have bought 6mm shares more in 5 days. They bought 8.4mm.
The Landscape Has FULLY Changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable. But Target Advisor DCF was ¥3,073-4,688 without synergies.


NEC Network (1973 JP) Tender Offer - The Landscape Has Fully Changed

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Six new deals this week! TOs for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agro-kanesho-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17621:1" rel="noopener">Agro Kanesho (4955 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nishimoto-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44086:1" rel="noopener">Nishimoto (9260 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chita-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9882:1" rel="noopener">Chita Kogyo (5993 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>. Also <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-logistics-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35733:1" rel="noopener">Silk Logistics (SLH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga (AVARGA SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Six new deals this week! TOs for Agro Kanesho (4955 JP), Nishimoto (9260 JP), Chita Kogyo (5993 JP), Macromill (3978 JP). Also Silk Logistics (SLH AU) and Avarga (AVARGA SP).
Key updates took place on: Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), ASMPT (522 HK), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), Seven &amp; I (3382 JP), and Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Agro Kanesho, Nishimoto, Chita Kogyo, Macromill, Silk Logistics, Avarga, MAHB

Japan

NEC Networks & System Integration Corporation designs, constructs, and maintains communication systems.  The Company's services include system integration services for digital switching, local area network (LAN), and mobile communication systems.  NEC Networks & System Integration also constructs information infrastructure and intelligent building facilities.

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Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP)

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II - Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

NEC extended its TOB for ICT subsidiary NESIC (1973). It wasn't a fair price before. They don't want to raise. They may not get done. This piece...

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NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I - Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity

After warning they wouldn't pay more and begging holders to tender, NEC today extended their TOB for NEC Networks. There are 3-4 possible outcomes....

Travis Lundy

NEC Networks & System (1973 JP): Oasis Stake Could Be a Headache for NEC

Since announcing the offer, the shares have traded at or above terms. Including Oasis’ pre-tender stake, the total potential “NO” volume is 35.0m...

Arun George

NEC Network (1973 JP) Tender Offer - The Landscape Has Fully Changed

2 days before the Tender Offer closes, NEC put out a PR saying NEC thought the TOB was good for them and the future of NESIC. I don't care about...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Agro Kanesho, Nishimoto, Chita Kogyo, Macromill, Silk Logistics, Avarga, MAHB

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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