Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lionheart Studio  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>, which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>We spoke about the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS), which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
We spoke about the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.


LionHeart Studio IPO - Peer Comparison - Youngest and Most Untested

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>, which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS), which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Lion Heart Studio Pre-IPO - The Positives - Got One Hit

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NetDragon Websoft announced that it has appointed Ms. Tang Wu (a virtual humanoid robot powered by AI) as its new CEO which would be the first ever in the world. </li>
<li>The company's education revenue increased by 71.2% YoY to reach 2.4 billion RMB in 1H 2022. Profitability of the edtech business is also improving.</li>
<li>Despite the company's lower valuation multiples than its peers combined with catalysts including improving edtech business, we are cautious on its shares mainly due to the overall market related risks. </li>
</ul>


NetDragon Websoft announced that it has appointed Ms. Tang Wu (a virtual humanoid robot powered by AI) as its new CEO which would be the first ever in the world. 
The company's education revenue increased by 71.2% YoY to reach 2.4 billion RMB in 1H 2022. Profitability of the edtech business is also improving.
Despite the company's lower valuation multiples than its peers combined with catalysts including improving edtech business, we are cautious on its shares mainly due to the overall market related risks. 


Netdragon Websoft - Ms Tang Yu Becomes World's First Virtual Humanoid Robot CEO

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/qingci-games-ipo-future-imperfect-and-tense" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:62199" rel="noopener">Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense</a>, we stated that it is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title.  </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
In Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense, we stated that it is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title.  
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. 


Hong Kong

NetDragon Websoft, Inc. develops online internet games. The Company offers tracks player behaviour and purchasing patterns to design games that cater to their customers' tastes. NetDragon Websoft operates worldwide.

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Netdragon Websoft (777 HK)

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

LionHeart Studio IPO - Peer Comparison - Youngest and Most Untested

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Lion Heart Studio Pre-IPO - The Positives - Got One Hit

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. The company is majority...

Sumeet Singh

Netdragon Websoft - Ms Tang Yu Becomes World's First Virtual Humanoid Robot CEO

NetDragon Websoft announced that it has appointed Ms. Tang Wu (a virtual humanoid robot powered by AI) as its new CEO which would be the first ever...

Douglas Kim

Qingci Games IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. Consequently, we give the IPO a pass. Pricing is set for 9 Dec and...

Arun George

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