Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 potential changes for the HSIII Index in September. There are couple of names that are close to the inclusion/ deletion thresholds.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will go to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> following lock-up expiry that increases the Free-Float Adjusted Factor (FAF) by a factor of 7-8x.</li>
<li>There are large capping changes too and the estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$5.65bn (US$720m).</li>
</ul>


There are 3 potential changes for the HSIII Index in September. There are couple of names that are close to the inclusion/ deletion thresholds.
The largest inflows will go to Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) following lock-up expiry that increases the Free-Float Adjusted Factor (FAF) by a factor of 7-8x.
There are large capping changes too and the estimated one-way turnover is 9.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$5.65bn (US$720m).


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Constituent, FAF & Capping Changes

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Our analysis of quarterly returns of each Asian market and each of the sectors within them shows clear cyclical patterns of performance, driven, we believe, by market/sector rotation by investors.</li>
<li>These cyclical patterns indicate that in the near-term, investors could rotate out of onshore China, India, Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand and rotate into Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia and Philippines.</li>
<li>Korean Technology, Financials and Industrials, Hong Kong Energy, Communications and Technology Services, and Malaysian and Philippines Industrial Services are the secularly outperforming sectors among these likely beneficiary sectors.  </li>
</ul>


Our analysis of quarterly returns of each Asian market and each of the sectors within them shows clear cyclical patterns of performance, driven, we believe, by market/sector rotation by investors.
These cyclical patterns indicate that in the near-term, investors could rotate out of onshore China, India, Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand and rotate into Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia and Philippines.
Korean Technology, Financials and Industrials, Hong Kong Energy, Communications and Technology Services, and Malaysian and Philippines Industrial Services are the secularly outperforming sectors among these likely beneficiary sectors.  


Asian Equities: Cyclical Patterns and Sector/Market Rotations Tell Us Where to Look Next

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s gaming industry surged in the first half of 2025, posting its fastest growth in five years, fueled by hit mobile titles, rising e-sports revenues and the continued boom in mini-games.</li><li>According to an report released Thursday by the China Audio-Video and Digital Publishing Association at the ChinaJoy Digital Entertainment Conference in Shanghai, the domestic gaming market generated 168 billion yuan ($23 billion) in revenue from January to June, up 14.1% year-on-year.</li><li>The country counted 679 million gamers, a modest 0.7% rise, marking the fourth straight year of user growth below 1%.</li></ul>

China’s gaming industry surged in the first half of 2025, posting its fastest growth in five years, fueled by hit mobile titles, rising e-sports revenues and the continued boom in mini-games.According to an report released Thursday by the China Audio-Video and Digital Publishing Association at the ChinaJoy Digital Entertainment Conference in Shanghai, the domestic gaming market generated 168 billion yuan ($23 billion) in revenue from January to June, up 14.1% year-on-year.The country counted 679 million gamers, a modest 0.7% rise, marking the fourth straight year of user growth below 1%.

China Proves a Winner in the Gaming Market as Growth Hits a Five-Year High 

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jul): Ntes, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Constituent, FAF & Capping Changes

There could be 3 constituent changes in Sep. A big FAF increase is forecast for Horizon Robotics. Plenty of capping changes. Put together, that...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equities: Cyclical Patterns and Sector/Market Rotations Tell Us Where to Look Next

Asian market returns evince cyclical patterns driven by investor rotation. Near-term shifts likely from onshore CN, India, SG, Indonesia to HK,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

China Proves a Winner in the Gaming Market as Growth Hits a Five-Year High

China’s gaming industry surged in the first half of 2025, posting its fastest growth in five years, fueled by hit mobile titles, rising e-sports...

Caixin Global

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jul): Ntes, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Constituent, FAF & Capping Changes

There could be 3 constituent changes in Sep. A big FAF increase is forecast for Horizon Robotics. Plenty of capping changes. Put together, that...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equities: Cyclical Patterns and Sector/Market Rotations Tell Us Where to Look Next

​Asian market returns evince cyclical patterns driven by investor rotation. Near-term shifts likely from onshore CN, India, SG, Indonesia to HK,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

China Proves a Winner in the Gaming Market as Growth Hits a Five-Year High

China’s gaming industry surged in the first half of 2025, posting its fastest growth in five years, fueled by hit mobile titles, rising e-sports...

Caixin Global

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (Jul): Ntes, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Ntes - S, Jd, Bidu, Meituan, Li Auto, Hua Hong Semi, Kingdee Int'L.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian market returns evince cyclical patterns driven by investor rotation. Near-term shifts likely from onshore CN, India, SG, Indonesia to HK,...