Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.</li>
<li>But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.</li>
<li>It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.</li>
</ul>


The US economy’s resilience hasn’t come from the many – it’s come from the top 10% as the “wealth effect” from rising asset prices has boosted spending.
But it works in reverse too.  Since the richest make up nearly half of America’s consumer spending, that could lead to a serious economic fallout.
It’s worth considering protecting your portfolio. I’ve pulled together one list of companies that should do well and another that could suffer from the change in climate.


A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.</li>
<li>Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/consumer-staples-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27536:1" rel="noopener">XLP</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">XLK</a>.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.
The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.
Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the XLP and XLK.


Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

Research from Value Investing, Value Investing

Value Investing

Research from Value Investing

I am a value investor. "Value", as defined in Value Investing, is simply the act of buying something for less than its worth. I treat my equity investment as a loan to the business - where the priority is to get back my principal in full, rather than achieving maximum yield. I consider my equity investment as a slightly higher risk loan extended to the business with slightly more accommodative loan covenants - hence justifying a slightly higher yield. While I identify as a value investor and cover all stocks and macro topics indiscriminately, most of my research will have an ASEAN bent as that’s where I’m geographically located.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Imagine a racetrack with 10 horses. The first two horses (NFLX and DIS) are peeling away from everyone else; with NFLX still having a sizeable lead over DIS.</li><li>But the stage is set for DIS to start accelerating faster than NFLX.</li><li>This is how I would describe the US Media sector today, and Disney’s Q1 results released yesterday only serves to bolster that narrative.</li></ul>

Imagine a racetrack with 10 horses. The first two horses (NFLX and DIS) are peeling away from everyone else; with NFLX still having a sizeable lead over DIS.But the stage is set for DIS to start accelerating faster than NFLX.This is how I would describe the US Media sector today, and Disney’s Q1 results released yesterday only serves to bolster that narrative.

Disney Q1 Earnings: Finally Ready to Take Share from Netflix

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Pop Mart (9992 HK)'s share price is down 33% from its peak levels in late August 2025. Going forward, we expect further downside risk on Pop Mart.</li>
<li>We highlight the growing concerns about the declining resale values of Labubu. After reaching their peak prices in this summer, the resale prices of Labubu dolls have continued to drop.</li>
<li>Its share price declining below the critical HK$250 support on big volumes suggest negative technicals on this stock. </li>
</ul>


Pop Mart (9992 HK)'s share price is down 33% from its peak levels in late August 2025. Going forward, we expect further downside risk on Pop Mart.
We highlight the growing concerns about the declining resale values of Labubu. After reaching their peak prices in this summer, the resale prices of Labubu dolls have continued to drop.
Its share price declining below the critical HK$250 support on big volumes suggest negative technicals on this stock. 


Pop Mart International: Increasing Concerns About Resale Price Declines

Podcast on In-depth Business Talks, Speedwell Research

The Synopsis

Podcast on In-depth Business Talks

Speedwell Research

Speedwell Research spends hundreds of hours researching public businesses each month and in "The Synopsis" they share their key learnings. Most business podcasts are superficial and assume their listeners are unsophisticated. In contrast, The Synopsis trusts listeners are interested in learning about complex, industry-specific issues, so long as they are explained clearly. We cover businesses from inception to current day, coupling business analysis and an investors lens. Start listening today to become a better analyst and investor.

<ul><li>Stock market rally gains momentum after news of upcoming summit between Trump and Xi Jinping, supported by inflation data.</li><li>Netflix reports higher revenue and profit in 3Q, driven by subscriber gains, record ad sales, and price increases.</li><li>Netflix continues to be a leader in streaming, emphasizing advertising revenue and confident in future growth with advances in AI.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Stock market rally gains momentum after news of upcoming summit between Trump and Xi Jinping, supported by inflation data.Netflix reports higher revenue and profit in 3Q, driven by subscriber gains, record ad sales, and price increases.Netflix continues to be a leader in streaming, emphasizing advertising revenue and confident in future growth with advances in AI.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Briefing. Netflix's Shift in Focus, Intel Shows Signs of Life, Could Yelp Save Airbnb's Services?...

United States

Netflix Inc. is an Internet subscription service for watching tv shows and movies. Subscribers can instantly watch unlimited TV shows and movies streamed over the Internet to their TVs, computers and mobile devices and in the United States, subscribers can receive standard definition DVDs and Blu-ray Discs delivered to their homes.

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Netflix Inc (NFLX US)

A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

The top 10% account for around 50% of consumer spending in the US. This insight looks at the sectors and companies that could win and lose from the...

Finimize Research

Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

US$300bn tracks the Select Sector Indices. Implementation of proposed changes will set off a US$35bn trade. Apple could be bought by multiple...

Brian Freitas

Pop Mart International: Increasing Concerns About Resale Price Declines

Pop Mart (9992 HK)'s share price is down 33% from its peak levels in late August 2025. Going forward, we expect further downside risk on Pop Mart.

Douglas Kim

Briefing. Netflix's Shift in Focus, Intel Shows Signs of Life, Could Yelp Save Airbnb's Services?...

Equities rally as news of Trump-Xi summit boosts investor confidence, while Netflix reports strong revenue growth driven by subscriber gains and ad...

The Synopsis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Defensive Portfolio Prepared For The Wealth Effect’s Reversal

The top 10% account for around 50% of consumer spending in the US. This insight looks at the sectors and companies that could win and lose from the...

Finimize Research

Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

US$300bn tracks the Select Sector Indices. Implementation of proposed changes will set off a US$35bn trade. Apple could be bought by multiple...

Brian Freitas

Disney Q1 Earnings: Finally Ready to Take Share from Netflix

Imagine a racetrack with 10 horses. The first two horses (NFLX and DIS) are peeling away from everyone else; with NFLX still having a sizeable lead...

Value Investing

Pop Mart International: Increasing Concerns About Resale Price Declines

Pop Mart (9992 HK)'s share price is down 33% from its peak levels in late August 2025. Going forward, we expect further downside risk on Pop Mart.

Douglas Kim

Briefing. Netflix's Shift in Focus, Intel Shows Signs of Life, Could Yelp Save Airbnb's Services?...

Equities rally as news of Trump-Xi summit boosts investor confidence, while Netflix reports strong revenue growth driven by subscriber gains and ad...

The Synopsis