Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 9 May, Netmarble announced that it plans to sell 2.6% stake in HYBE for 219.9 billion won. </li>
<li>The transaction is based on PRS (price return swap) basis. Previous to this deal, Netmarble sold 2.5 million shares (about 6%) of HYBE shares in November 2023. </li>
<li>We continue to remain negative on HYBE including on this deal involving Netmarble's plan to sell additional 2.6% stake in HYBE.</li>
</ul>


After the market close on 9 May, Netmarble announced that it plans to sell 2.6% stake in HYBE for 219.9 billion won. 
The transaction is based on PRS (price return swap) basis. Previous to this deal, Netmarble sold 2.5 million shares (about 6%) of HYBE shares in November 2023. 
We continue to remain negative on HYBE including on this deal involving Netmarble's plan to sell additional 2.6% stake in HYBE.


Netmarble Plans to Sell 2.6% Stake in HYBE Through PRS (Price Return Swap).

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Apr 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We estimate the short interests to be USD 6.6bn and highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Apr 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We estimate the short interests to be USD 6.6bn and highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 19th): Samsung Electronics

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Opposition's probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative's momentum. However, market sentiment doesn't universally echo these worries.</li>
<li>Value-Up stocks' recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.</li>
<li>Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition's influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.</li>
</ul>


Opposition's probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative's momentum. However, market sentiment doesn't universally echo these worries.
Value-Up stocks' recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition's influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.


Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index and a bunch of local indices ended last week. The announcement of the changes will be made in 1 week to 4 weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 8 February.</li>
<li>The inflows to mainland China ETFs continue for another week. There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:282:1" rel="noopener">iShares India ETF (INDA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-india-small-cap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32064:1" rel="noopener">Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index and a bunch of local indices ended last week. The announcement of the changes will be made in 1 week to 4 weeks.

Strike Energy (STX AU) will replace Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 8 February.
The inflows to mainland China ETFs continue for another week. There were big inflows to iShares India ETF (INDA US) and Ishares India Small-Cap (SMIN US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended yesterday, the changes will be announced early March and implemented at the close of trading on 14 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. There could be two changes for the BBIG Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> is up 65.5% in the last month and we'd look to lighten positions on this move higher.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended yesterday, the changes will be announced early March and implemented at the close of trading on 14 March.
We forecast one change for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. There could be two changes for the BBIG Index.

Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) is up 65.5% in the last month and we'd look to lighten positions on this move higher.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

South Korea

Netmarble Corporation develops and publishes mobile games. The Company develops and publishes casual games, action, sports games, strategy, simulation games, and social casino games. Netmarble offers services worldwide.

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Netmarble (251270 KS)

Netmarble Plans to Sell 2.6% Stake in HYBE Through PRS (Price Return Swap).

After the market close on 9 May, Netmarble announced that it plans to sell 2.6% stake in HYBE for 219.9 billion won. We continue to remain negative...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 19th): Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week. We estimate the short interests to be USD 6.6bn and highlighted short interest changes in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

This post outlines my observations on the post-election flows of Value-up beneficiary stocks, derived from recent local institutional trades.

Sanghyun Park

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: N225, ASX, STAR50, NIFTY50, KRX New Deal, UOL SP, Korea Passive

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Douzone Bizon Does It Again

There should be 1 change for each of the Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices plus 2 changes for the BBIG Index. Douzone Bizon is repeating what...

Brian Freitas

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