Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. </li>
<li>Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).</li>
<li>Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. 
Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).
Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials


MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong equities extended their rally with broad participation and continued outperformance versus North American technology stocks.</li>
<li>Single stock option activity rebounded, with Call trading most active during the week’s strongest market session and Xiaomi seeing a large uptick in volume.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary stood out as the strongest sectors during another broadly positive week.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong equities extended their rally with broad participation and continued outperformance versus North American technology stocks.
Single stock option activity rebounded, with Call trading most active during the week’s strongest market session and Xiaomi seeing a large uptick in volume.
Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary stood out as the strongest sectors during another broadly positive week.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly July 27–31: Rally Broadens While Xiaomi Option Volumes Surge

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: Will the bear market end the blockchain funding frenzy?</li><li>Analysis: New Oriental’s livestreaming a hit, but hurdles remain to long-term success</li><li>Local officials punished for abusing China’s health code system</li></ul>

In Depth: Will the bear market end the blockchain funding frenzy?Analysis: New Oriental’s livestreaming a hit, but hurdles remain to long-term successLocal officials punished for abusing China’s health code system

CX Daily: Will the Bear Market End the Blockchain Funding Frenzy?

<ul><li>In Depth: Could Pfizer’s drug Paxlovid change China’s Covid policy?</li><li>Shackled mother was sold into forced marriages at least three times, probe finds</li><li>China loosens new mobile payment rules to put small businesses at ease</li></ul>

In Depth: Could Pfizer’s drug Paxlovid change China’s Covid policy?Shackled mother was sold into forced marriages at least three times, probe findsChina loosens new mobile payment rules to put small businesses at ease

CX Daily: Could Pfizer’s Drug Paxlovid Change China’s Covid Policy?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China Education Sector, specifically <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a>, should see better performance in 2022 as regulatory concerns gradually ease. 1H22 result for higher education segment should be a proof.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a> could reverse the bad fortune in 2022 on the back of realisation of undervalued assets, expansion of logistics facilities and better performance at Shenzhen Airlines.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> remains an undervalued asset play. Its ability to realise value of its investment portfolio, potential resumption of dividend payout and recovery of sportswear business are drivers.</li>
</ul>


China Education Sector, specifically China Education Group (839 HK), should see better performance in 2022 as regulatory concerns gradually ease. 1H22 result for higher education segment should be a proof.

Shenzhen International (152 HK) could reverse the bad fortune in 2022 on the back of realisation of undervalued assets, expansion of logistics facilities and better performance at Shenzhen Airlines.

China Dongxiang (3818 HK) remains an undervalued asset play. Its ability to realise value of its investment portfolio, potential resumption of dividend payout and recovery of sportswear business are drivers.


Our Three Worst Calls in Last Year and Any Room for a Reversal in 2022?

China

New Oriental Education & Technology Group is a leading provider of private educational services in China, offering a comprehensive range of programs including language training, test preparation courses, and online education. The company has expanded its offerings to include livestreaming e-commerce and private label products. It was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (9901 HK)

New Oriental Education & Technology Group

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New Oriental Education & Technology Group (9901 HK)

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly July 27–31: Rally Broadens While Xiaomi Option Volumes Surge

Hong Kong equities extended their rally with broad participation, while rebounding option activity, heavy Xiaomi trading and consumer-sector...

John Ley

CX Daily: Will the Bear Market End the Blockchain Funding Frenzy?

In Depth: Will the bear market end the blockchain funding frenzy? Analysis: New Oriental’s livestreaming a hit, but hurdles remain to long-term...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Could Pfizer’s Drug Paxlovid Change China’s Covid Policy?

In Depth: Could Pfizer’s drug Paxlovid change China’s Covid policy? Shackled mother was sold into forced marriages at least three times, probe finds

Caixin Global

Our Three Worst Calls in Last Year and Any Room for a Reversal in 2022?

China Education Sector, Shenzhen Intl and China Dongxiang are the three worst calls that we made in last year. We believe there is room for a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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