Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.
$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.
We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.


Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Hua Hong Semi, Knowledge Atlas.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 26th): Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 18th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC, China Mobile, Lenovo, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Iluvatar Corex, Ke.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 18th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC, China Mobile, Lenovo, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Iluvatar Corex, Ke.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 18th): Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Kingboard, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Kingboard Laminates, China Hongqiao, Ke, Kingdee.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Kingboard, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Kingboard Laminates, China Hongqiao, Ke, Kingdee.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 12th): Tencent, Kingboard, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Smic, Ke, Kingdee

Hong Kong

New World China Land Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties in China.  The projects include a wide range of residential, office and commercial developments, mass residential community housing projects.  The Company also operates hotels.

Price Gauge
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New World China Land (917 HK)

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 26th): Kingboard, Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Smic, Tencent, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Kingboard (148 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), Kingboard...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 18th): Alibaba, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, Kingboard, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jun 12th): Tencent, Kingboard, Knowledge Atlas, Alibaba, Smic, Ke, Kingdee

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Kingboard (148 HK), Knowledge Atlas...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)