Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a>'s stock prices have taken a beating this year, but they still make it into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum (BPCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> will be out of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> but will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN)</a> will be added to a global index on 28 February and will then be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)'s stock prices have taken a beating this year, but they still make it into the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) in March.

Bharat Petroleum (BPCL IN) and Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) will be out of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) but will be added to the NSE Nifty Next50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX). 

Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) will be added to a global index on 28 February and will then be added to the NSE Nifty Next50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.


NIFTY50/NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Zomato, JioFin Slide In as BPCL, Britannia Drop Out; US$3.3bn Trade

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> are a hair's breadth apart on market cap and only one of them could be added to the index.</li>
<li>With quantitative criteria now being used to add stocks to the F&amp;O segment, it is possible there is no change to the index methodology to limit inclusion to F&amp;O members.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.

Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) and Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) are a hair's breadth apart on market cap and only one of them could be added to the index.
With quantitative criteria now being used to add stocks to the F&amp;O segment, it is possible there is no change to the index methodology to limit inclusion to F&amp;O members.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Final List of Potential Changes in March

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Reduction of personal income tax can lead to an additional aggregate income of INR 1 Lakh crores, which can create additional consumption of INR 5 lakh crores; uplifting GDP.</li>
<li>USA and China are the good cases studies where such kind of consumption boom happened</li>
<li>With India at inflection point of $2000 GDP, discretionary consumption set for boom.</li>
</ul>


Reduction of personal income tax can lead to an additional aggregate income of INR 1 Lakh crores, which can create additional consumption of INR 5 lakh crores; uplifting GDP.
USA and China are the good cases studies where such kind of consumption boom happened
With India at inflection point of $2000 GDP, discretionary consumption set for boom.


Thematic Report: Cut in Personal Taxes Can Lead to Surge in Consumption & GDP Growth

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

NIFTY50/NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Zomato, JioFin Slide In as BPCL, Britannia Drop Out; US$3.3bn Trade

Zomato and JioFin have taken a beating this year but make it into the NIFTY. BPCL and Britannia have sold off and will be deleted. Hyundai India is...

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% and one-way trade is INR 7.65bn. With over US$40bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Final List of Potential Changes in March

There could be 7 changes for the NIFTYJR in March. The forecast adds have underperformed since the start of the year as momentum has sold off....

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report: Cut in Personal Taxes Can Lead to Surge in Consumption & GDP Growth

Reduction in personal income tax can potentially boost India's GDP by creating additional consumption and following the examples of USA and China.

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY50/NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Zomato, JioFin Slide In as BPCL, Britannia Drop Out; US$3.3bn Trade

Zomato and JioFin have taken a beating this year but make it into the NIFTY. BPCL and Britannia have sold off and will be deleted. Hyundai India is...

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% and one-way trade is INR 7.65bn. With over US$40bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Final List of Potential Changes in March

There could be 7 changes for the NIFTYJR in March. The forecast adds have underperformed since the start of the year as momentum has sold off....

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report: Cut in Personal Taxes Can Lead to Surge in Consumption & GDP Growth

​Reduction in personal income tax can potentially boost India's GDP by creating additional consumption and following the examples of USA and China.

Nimish Maheshwari

Reduction in personal income tax can potentially boost India's GDP by creating additional consumption and following the examples of USA and China.