Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following the results of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a>'s tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a>, NTT Data will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the close on 3 July. The stock is up a fair bit from its lows.</li>
<li>Nearly all the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp</a> shares not tendered will be held by passives and there will be selling in the stock as index providers move the float lower/delete.</li>
</ul>


Following the results of NTT (9432 JP)'s tender offer for NTT Data Corp (9613 JP), NTT Data will be deleted from the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX).

ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP) will be added to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the close on 3 July. The stock is up a fair bit from its lows.
Nearly all the NTT Data Corp shares not tendered will be held by passives and there will be selling in the stock as index providers move the float lower/delete.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Rohm (6963) To Replace NTT Data Group (9613)

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan, Vantage Capital Markets Japan

François-Xavier Pustoc'h

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan

Independent Financial Broker

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

We provide world class financial solutions to our extensive institutional client base including rapidly growing corporations, leading investment banks, commercial banks, asset managers, private equity funds, family offices and hedge funds.

Our services include capital market offerings and placements, wholesale brokerage and execution of cash and derivative products (both listed and OTC) across a range of asset classes.

VCM has offices in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Dubai from where we service our global client base. Our strength lies in the experience and quality of our teams, supported by excellent operations and infrastructure.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.50% and US +0.98% while Korea +5.08% (+21.39% in 1 month).</li><li>Japan Sectors: Mining Index -6.56%, Oil &amp; Coal -4.57% and Transportation -3.07%</li><li>JPY 5Y Rates down 1bp, ITRAXX Japan 5Y down 1.93 at 62.81</li></ul>

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.50% and US +0.98% while Korea +5.08% (+21.39% in 1 month).Japan Sectors: Mining Index -6.56%, Oil &amp; Coal -4.57% and Transportation -3.07%JPY 5Y Rates down 1bp, ITRAXX Japan 5Y down 1.93 at 62.81

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, June 25th)

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: After three consecutive down weeks, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> has entered oversold territory, triggering a potential upside signal in quantitative models.</li>
<li>
Trade Idea: With signs pointing to a short-term reversal, a Bull Call Spread strategy offers high return potential (~12x premium) with limited upfront cost. </li>
<li>
Why Read: This Insight presents a timely, actionable trade idea with a well-defined risk/reward profile—ideal for investors seeking tactical exposure. Details Provided.</li>
</ul>



Context: After three consecutive down weeks, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) has entered oversold territory, triggering a potential upside signal in quantitative models.

Trade Idea: With signs pointing to a short-term reversal, a Bull Call Spread strategy offers high return potential (~12x premium) with limited upfront cost. 

Why Read: This Insight presents a timely, actionable trade idea with a well-defined risk/reward profile—ideal for investors seeking tactical exposure. Details Provided.


Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Oversold: Your High-Potential Options Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global equities slightly lower last week: World -0.47%, Japan +0.21%, Europe -2.57% and S&amp;P 500 -0.39%, Korea +1.17%</li>
<li>Japan Sectors Performers: Mining +8.08%, Marine Transportation +4.04%, Oil &amp; Coal Products +4.09% vs. Ai Transportation -4.90%, Insurance -3.73% and Non-Ferrous Metals -2.69%</li>
<li>JPY 5Y Rates were stable down 3bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y softening up 3.71 at 64.71</li>
</ul>


Global equities slightly lower last week: World -0.47%, Japan +0.21%, Europe -2.57% and S&amp;P 500 -0.39%, Korea +1.17%
Japan Sectors Performers: Mining +8.08%, Marine Transportation +4.04%, Oil &amp; Coal Products +4.09% vs. Ai Transportation -4.90%, Insurance -3.73% and Non-Ferrous Metals -2.69%
JPY 5Y Rates were stable down 3bps, ITRAXX Japan 5Y softening up 3.71 at 64.71


Weekly Macroeconomic Report (June 16th, 2025)

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>A quick look at the tactical forecast models for some key markets impacted by the Israeli attack to Iran on June 13th.</li>
<li>We analyze: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil Futures (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold Futures (GOLD COMDTY)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> </li>
<li>Keep in mind that high volatility can push easily a market into the model's tails, and forecasts in tails area rely on less data (i.e. less accurate). </li>
</ul>


A quick look at the tactical forecast models for some key markets impacted by the Israeli attack to Iran on June 13th.
We analyze: Crude Oil Futures (CL1 COM COMDTY) , Gold Futures (GOLD COMDTY) , Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) , Nikkei 225 Index, Hang Seng Index and NIFTY Index 
Keep in mind that high volatility can push easily a market into the model's tails, and forecasts in tails area rely on less data (i.e. less accurate). 


Key Markets Tactical Outlooks After Israel Strike on Iran

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Rohm (6963) To Replace NTT Data Group (9613)

Rohm has outperformed its peers by 4.4% since the announcement of NKY inclusion. Day 1 outperformance was 7.5% and part of those gains were given...

Brian Freitas

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, June 25th)

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.50% and US +0.98% while Korea +5.08% (+21.39% in 1 month). Japan Sectors: Mining Index -6.56%, Oil & Coal...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Oversold: Your High-Potential Options Strategy

Toyota Motor (7203 JP // TM US) may be poised for a short-term rebound, making a Bull Call Spread strategy an attractive tactical trade idea with...

Gaudenz Schneider

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (June 16th, 2025)

Global equities slightly lower last week: World -0.47%, Japan +0.21%, Europe -2.57% and S&P 500 -0.39%, Korea +1.17%. Japan Sectors Performers:...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Key Markets Tactical Outlooks After Israel Strike on Iran

Analysis of tactical forecast models for key markets impacted by Israeli attack on Iran. We analyze: Crude Oil, Gold, Nasdsaq100 Index, Nikkei...

Nico Rosti

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Rohm (6963) To Replace NTT Data Group (9613)

Rohm has outperformed its peers by 4.4% since the announcement of NKY inclusion. Day 1 outperformance was 7.5% and part of those gains were given...

Brian Freitas

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (2025, June 25th)

Japanese Equities flat vs. World +1.50% and US +0.98% while Korea +5.08% (+21.39% in 1 month). Japan Sectors: Mining Index -6.56%, Oil & Coal...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Oversold: Your High-Potential Options Strategy

​Toyota Motor (7203 JP // TM US) may be poised for a short-term rebound, making a Bull Call Spread strategy an attractive tactical trade idea with...

Gaudenz Schneider

Weekly Macroeconomic Report (June 16th, 2025)

Global equities slightly lower last week: World -0.47%, Japan +0.21%, Europe -2.57% and S&P 500 -0.39%, Korea +1.17%. Japan Sectors Performers:...

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

Key Markets Tactical Outlooks After Israel Strike on Iran

​Analysis of tactical forecast models for key markets impacted by Israeli attack on Iran. We analyze: Crude Oil, Gold, Nasdsaq100 Index, Nikkei...

Nico Rosti

Toyota Motor (7203 JP // TM US) may be poised for a short-term rebound, making a Bull Call Spread strategy an attractive tactical trade idea with...

Analysis of tactical forecast models for key markets impacted by Israeli attack on Iran. We analyze: Crude Oil, Gold, Nasdsaq100 Index, Nikkei...