External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Jan 2025 NEV Sales to Fall MoM Despite Solid Dec Leading Indicators

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;</li>
<li>This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;</li>
<li>We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.</li>
</ul>


US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;
This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;
We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.


Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>
Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;</li>
<li>
EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;</li>
<li>
SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...</li>
</ul>



Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;

EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;

SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...


China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

<ul>
<li>TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)</li>
<li>1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)</li>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)
1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)
1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）</li>
<li>300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）</li>
<li>ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）
300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）
ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Auto - Jan 2025 NEV Sales to Fall MoM Despite Solid Dec Leading Indicators

We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

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P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Auto - Jan 2025 NEV Sales to Fall MoM Despite Solid Dec Leading Indicators

We summarize the Dec 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

​US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

​China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

​Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

​Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...