External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Apart from the strongest sales volume guidance for 3Q22 among the NEV trio, NIO could also post the highest sales volume in 4Q22, in our view, aided by new models, including the ET7, ES7 and ET5.</li><li>We estimate that NIO’s current order backlog for the ET7 and ES7 is already enough to meet our 4Q22 sales assumption.</li><li>The sales MoM growth could be a positive catalyst for its share price.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apart from the strongest sales volume guidance for 3Q22 among the NEV trio, NIO could also post the highest sales volume in 4Q22, in our view, aided by new models, including the ET7, ES7 and ET5.We estimate that NIO’s current order backlog for the ET7 and ES7 is already enough to meet our 4Q22 sales assumption.The sales MoM growth could be a positive catalyst for its share price.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Strongest 4Q22 sales volume among NEV trio

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (2007699D HK)</a>, a Chinese EV manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$1.5 billion HKEx IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/leapmotor-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79449" rel="noopener">Leapmotor IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/leapmotor-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79536" rel="noopener">Leapmotor IPO: The Bear Case</a></strong></em> and <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/leapmotor-ipo-look-before-you-leap" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:79904" rel="noopener">Leapmotor IPO: Look Before You Leap</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Leapmotor's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (2007699D HK), a Chinese EV manufacturer, is pre-marketing a US$1.5 billion HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in Leapmotor IPO: The Bull Case, Leapmotor IPO: The Bear Case and Leapmotor IPO: Look Before You Leap. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Leapmotor's potential valuation range. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we spoke about the company’s past performance,  PHIP updates and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In our previous note, we spoke about the company’s past performance,  PHIP updates and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we spoke about the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
As of end Jun 22, it had delivered a total of 104,829 cars with most of its sales coming from its mini units, T03.
In our previous notes, we spoke about the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Leaders in 2Q Volumes but Lags on Margins

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (2007699D HK)</a> is said to be looking to raise between US$1bn-US$1.5bn by selling 290.9m shares in its IPO. At the top end, the company will be valued at HK$53bn.</li>
<li>The performance of its peers over the last year leaves a lot to be desired and could lead to lower demand in the IPO.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (2007699D HK)</a> should be added to the HSCI and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index</a>, though timing depends on when the stock lists on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (2007699D HK) is said to be looking to raise between US$1bn-US$1.5bn by selling 290.9m shares in its IPO. At the top end, the company will be valued at HK$53bn.
The performance of its peers over the last year leaves a lot to be desired and could lead to lower demand in the IPO.

Leapmotor (2007699D HK) should be added to the HSCI and the Hang Seng Tech Index, though timing depends on when the stock lists on the HKEX (388 HK). 


China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Strongest 4Q22 sales volume among NEV trio

We estimate that NIO’s current order backlog for the ET7 and ES7 is already enough to meet our 4Q22 sales assumption. The sales MoM growth could be...

CMB International

Leapmotor IPO: Valuation First-Look

Leapmotor recently disclosed that it delivered 12,525 units in August. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at...

Arun George

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Leaders in 2Q Volumes but Lags on Margins

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Leapmotor IPO - Index Inclusion Timeline

Leapmotor is said to be looking to raise between US$1-1.5bn by selling 290.9m shares in its IPO. At the top end, the company will be valued at...

Brian Freitas

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