Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Five new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45177:1" rel="noopener">Webjet Group (WJL</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45177:1" rel="noopener"> AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-road-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12581:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Road (1884 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12749:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Corp (9066 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17731:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Construction (1821 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oneconnect-financial-technology-co-ltd-2e580cf8-6a65-4148-ac1e-f9a8a167856a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36656:1" rel="noopener">Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 48 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Five new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: Webjet Group (WJL AU), Nippon Road (1884 JP), Nissin Corp (9066 JP), Sumitomo Mitsui Construction (1821 JP), and Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU), PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), ESR Group (1821 HK), and Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Webjet, Nippon Road, Nissin Corp, Sumi Mitsui Construction, ESR, Oneconnect

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12749:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Corp (9066 JP)</a> has recommended a Bain-sponsored MBO tender offer of JPY8,100 per share, a 27.6% premium to the last close. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. However, it is light compared to precedent transaction multiples. </li>
<li>While the offer represents an all-time high, it is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. A counterbid cannot be ruled out. </li>
</ul>



Nissin Corp (9066 JP) has recommended a Bain-sponsored MBO tender offer of JPY8,100 per share, a 27.6% premium to the last close. 
The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples and historical trading ranges. However, it is light compared to precedent transaction multiples. 
While the offer represents an all-time high, it is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. A counterbid cannot be ruled out. 


Nissin Corp (9066 JP): Bain-Sponsored MBO at JPY8,100 Is Arguably Light

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The deal price is higher than the Bloomberg article insinuated. The closing date is earlier than the Bloomberg article suggested. But that doesn't mean it's enough. </li>
<li>The Large ToSTNeT-3 buyback last year changed the shareholder structure significantly, but many holders who sold are unknown. I would expect they were cross-holders. </li>
<li>For that, this deal is NOT a done deal. There may be games played on this deal. </li>
</ul>


The deal price is higher than the Bloomberg article insinuated. The closing date is earlier than the Bloomberg article suggested. But that doesn't mean it's enough. 
The Large ToSTNeT-3 buyback last year changed the shareholder structure significantly, but many holders who sold are unknown. I would expect they were cross-holders. 
For that, this deal is NOT a done deal. There may be games played on this deal. 


[Japan M&A] Bain Deal for Nissin (9066) Is Still Light Vs Comparable Deals

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12749:1" rel="noopener">Nissin Corp (9066 JP)</a> shares were up 10.3% based on a <a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/antitrust/japans-nissin-corp-said-to-plan-bain-backed-management-buyout" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg report</a> that it would be privatised through a Bain-sponsored MBO. </li>
<li>The deal is expected to exceed JPY100 billion. Assuming this refers to a market cap, the implied offer price is around JPY6,500 (21.5% premium to last close).</li>
<li>While the rumoured offer represents an all-time high share price, it is light compared to precedent and peer multiples. A long-dated offer makes it susceptible to a counterbid. </li>
</ul>



Nissin Corp (9066 JP) shares were up 10.3% based on a Bloomberg report that it would be privatised through a Bain-sponsored MBO. 
The deal is expected to exceed JPY100 billion. Assuming this refers to a market cap, the implied offer price is around JPY6,500 (21.5% premium to last close).
While the rumoured offer represents an all-time high share price, it is light compared to precedent and peer multiples. A long-dated offer makes it susceptible to a counterbid. 


Nissin Corp (9066 JP): A Rumoured Bain-Sponsored MBO?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kagome-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14533:1" rel="noopener">Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024.</li>
<li>At the time of the acquisition, the company has stated its intention to part finance the acquisition via issuance of treasury shares</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024.
At the time of the acquisition, the company has stated its intention to part finance the acquisition via issuance of treasury shares
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kagome Placement - Very Well Flagged Deal but Liquidity Might Be a Concern

Japan

NISSIN CORPORATION is a transport company.  The Company provides port-harbor, land, air transport services, and warehousing.  Nissin has operation bases overseas including the United States, China, Europe, and Russia.

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Nissin Corp (9066 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Webjet, Nippon Road, Nissin Corp, Sumi Mitsui Construction, ESR, Oneconnect

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett