External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. </li><li>NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. </li><li>The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>There was some excitement amongst market participant wether Norges Bank could once more hike by 50bp after the inflation up-shoot in June.</li><li>However with July inflation broadly in line with the central bank’s view, the excitement has disappeared.</li><li>We expect Norges Bank to stick to it plan from June and increase the key rate by 25bp to 4.0%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

There was some excitement amongst market participant wether Norges Bank could once more hike by 50bp after the inflation up-shoot in June.However with July inflation broadly in line with the central bank’s view, the excitement has disappeared.We expect Norges Bank to stick to it plan from June and increase the key rate by 25bp to 4.0%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank Preview: Sticking to the plan

<ul><li>Norges Bank hiked the key rate with 50bp last week to 3.75% and signalled new hikes both in August and September</li><li>They now see a key rate top at 4.25%, a forecast we agree with.</li><li>At close to 7%, core inflation has been much higher than anticipated yet again.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank hiked the key rate with 50bp last week to 3.75% and signalled new hikes both in August and SeptemberThey now see a key rate top at 4.25%, a forecast we agree with.At close to 7%, core inflation has been much higher than anticipated yet again.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NO rate forecast update: Nibor at 5% before year-end

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>High beta currencies have done well over the past week.</li><li>A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.</li><li>Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

High beta currencies have done well over the past week.A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

<ul><li>Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.</li><li>With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.</li><li>The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

Norway

The Norwegian krone is the official currency of the Kingdom of Norway.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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NGB: Borrowing Programme 2024

Norges Bank plans a large increase in bond issuance next year and could at the same time restart their swap program. We comment on last week's...

Nordea

Norges Bank Preview: Sticking to the plan

There was some excitement amongst market participant wether Norges Bank could once more hike by 50bp after the inflation up-shoot in June.

Nordea

NO rate forecast update: Nibor at 5% before year-end

Norges Bank hiked the key rate with 50bp last week to 3.75% and signalled new hikes both in August and September. They now see a key rate top at...

Nordea

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

We also expect NOK sales on behalf of the Government to be halved next year, starting from January. This should also support the NOK ahead.

Nordea

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