Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Sumco to stop silicon wafer production at Miyazaki plant by 2026, impacting supply chain for semiconductor industry.</li><li>MediaTek experiences revenue spike in January due to tariff uncertainty and Chinese subsidies, indicating potential market volatility.</li><li>Pegatron maintains consistent performance in January amid transition period, highlighting company stability.</li></ul>

Sumco to stop silicon wafer production at Miyazaki plant by 2026, impacting supply chain for semiconductor industry.MediaTek experiences revenue spike in January due to tariff uncertainty and Chinese subsidies, indicating potential market volatility.Pegatron maintains consistent performance in January amid transition period, highlighting company stability.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Feb-2025): Sumco to cease Miyazaki plant's wafer production by 2026.

<ul><li>Nvidia's Blackwell rack design overheating issues causing potential shipment delays</li><li>AMD leading server market in 3Q24, Intel fighting back in PC market </li><li>Trump's tariff changes impacting Chinese EV makers, with 4 strategies to navigate the changes. Huawei and Xiaomi dominate China's AI smartphone market with over 50% market share.</li></ul>

Nvidia's Blackwell rack design overheating issues causing potential shipment delaysAMD leading server market in 3Q24, Intel fighting back in PC market Trump's tariff changes impacting Chinese EV makers, with 4 strategies to navigate the changes. Huawei and Xiaomi dominate China's AI smartphone market with over 50% market share.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Nov-2024): Nvidia Blackwell rack design overheats, delays shipments.

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Foxconn's reforms at Sharp result in significant profit growth in 2Q24.</li><li>Taiwan supply chains brace for impact of Trump's imminent global tariffs.</li><li>Apple to boost iPhone production in India following Trump victory, taking advantage of evolving global trade dynamics.</li></ul>

Foxconn's reforms at Sharp result in significant profit growth in 2Q24.Taiwan supply chains brace for impact of Trump's imminent global tariffs.Apple to boost iPhone production in India following Trump victory, taking advantage of evolving global trade dynamics.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2024): Foxconn reforms boost Sharp's profits.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Finland

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company. The Company produces a broad range of technological devices and software, and operates networks, sales ,and communication channels worldwide.

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Nokia Oyj (NOK US)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Feb-2025): Sumco to cease Miyazaki plant's wafer production by 2026.

Sumco to cease silicon wafer production in Miyazaki by 2026, MediaTek revenue up in January, Pegatron steady amid transition, Trump imposes steel...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Nov-2024): Nvidia Blackwell rack design overheats, delays shipments.

Nvidia facing delays due to overheating issues, AMD dominates server market, Trump's tariff impact on Chinese EV makers, Huawei and Xiaomi lead...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Nov-2024): Foxconn reforms boost Sharp's profits.

Foxconn's reforms lead to Sharp's profit growth, Taiwan braces for Trump's tariffs, Nokia and Dixon start manufacturing in India, Apple boosts...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

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