Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
<li>The rankings will be finalized at the end of this week. Currently, we see one expected ADD/DEL but the expectations can change since there are three more trading days left.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.
The rankings will be finalized at the end of this week. Currently, we see one expected ADD/DEL but the expectations can change since there are three more trading days left.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: DSM Addition Unlikely; Engie Could Replace Kering (US$1bn+ Flows)

Global Head of Research & Head of Europe, Lucror Analytics

Felix Fischer

Global Head of Research & Head of Europe

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<h3>Europe High Yield Trade Book</h3>
<p><br>The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.  </p>

Europe High Yield Trade Book
 The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.  

Europe HY Trade Book - August 2024 - Lucror Analytics

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21492:1" rel="noopener">Kering (KER FP)</a> is the main candidate for direct deletion as it is the only constituent below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $750m and 9.7 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dsm-firmenich-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43730:1" rel="noopener">DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA)</a> is the main candidate for addition replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21492:1" rel="noopener">Kering (KER FP)</a> as it is the highest ranked non-constituent. Forecasted demand is $1.3bn and 22.5 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volkswagen-ag-2754ab9c-fd60-43d7-a087-b4ce4465a0eb" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:734:1" rel="noopener">Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR)</a> are only 2% above the exit threshold. Potential replacements are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/engie-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21449:1" rel="noopener">Engie SA (ENGI FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/argenx-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28604:1" rel="noopener">Argenx SE (ARGX US)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Kering (KER FP) is the main candidate for direct deletion as it is the only constituent below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $750m and 9.7 ADV.

DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA) is the main candidate for addition replacing Kering (KER FP) as it is the highest ranked non-constituent. Forecasted demand is $1.3bn and 22.5 ADV.

Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) and Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR) are only 2% above the exit threshold. Potential replacements are Engie SA (ENGI FP) and Argenx SE (ARGX US).


EURO STOXX 50: Kering Out of Fashion with $750M Deletion. DSM-Firmenich In with $1.3B Addition.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cap-gemini-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21411:1" rel="noopener">Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP)</a> is estimated to be excluded from the selection list in the long-run due to being pushed way above 60% coverage in the Technology sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merck-kgaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21676:1" rel="noopener">Merck KGaA (MRK GR)</a> switches between in and out of the selection list because it fluctuates close to the 60% coverage of the Health Care sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> has a higher probability of deletion from SX5E if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merck-kgaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21676:1" rel="noopener">Merck KGaA (MRK GR)</a>  qualifies to the selection list. Forecasted passive fund supply is  ~15 ADV.   </li>
</ul>



Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP) is estimated to be excluded from the selection list in the long-run due to being pushed way above 60% coverage in the Technology sector.

Merck KGaA (MRK GR) switches between in and out of the selection list because it fluctuates close to the 60% coverage of the Health Care sector.

Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) has a higher probability of deletion from SX5E if Merck KGaA (MRK GR)  qualifies to the selection list. Forecasted passive fund supply is  ~15 ADV.   


<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
<li>We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.
We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

Finland

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company that operates a network of production facilities for location intelligence and network infrastructure, as well as a network of sales and customer service. The Company also operates research and software development facilities worldwide.

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Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: DSM Addition Unlikely; Engie Could Replace Kering (US$1bn+ Flows)

The ES50 Sep 24 index review results will be announced later today. We see Kering (KER FP) as an expected DEL and Engie (ENGI FP) as an expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Europe HY Trade Book - August 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

EURO STOXX 50: Kering Out of Fashion with $750M Deletion. DSM-Firmenich In with $1.3B Addition.

DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA) is forecasted to be added to SX5E with a demand of $1.3B as a replacement of Kering (KER FP) with a forecasted supply of...

Dimitris Ioannidis

EURO STOXX 50: Exclusion by Sector

Merck KGaA's fluctuating ranking in the Health Care sector impacts the probability of Nokia's deletion from EURO STOXX 50 which can cause a passive...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

There could be 23 days of volume to buy in DSM-Firmenich and 15 days of volume to sell in Nokia as things stand. However, this is a low-conviction...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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