Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in May.</li>
<li>The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of May where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.</li>
<li>Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in May.
The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of May where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.


Japan - Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.</li>
<li>Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.</li>
<li>The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.</li>
</ul>



Activia Properties (3279 JP) announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.
Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.
The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.


Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

Nomura Real Estate Master Fund / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-real-estate-master-fu" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22930:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Real Estate Master Fund, (3462 JP)</a> - the largest REIT in the 'Diversified REIT' JREIT space - announced sponsor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-real-estate-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19866:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Real Estate (3231 JP)</a> would up its stake.</li>
<li>They would lift their stake from 4.47% by 2.54% to 7.01%. There is a reason for this, just like there was last time with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-excellent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12745:1" rel="noopener">Japan Excellent (8987 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Understanding the reason is how you understand the trade to do. </li>
</ul>


Today, Nomura Real Estate Master Fund, (3462 JP) - the largest REIT in the 'Diversified REIT' JREIT space - announced sponsor Nomura Real Estate (3231 JP) would up its stake.
They would lift their stake from 4.47% by 2.54% to 7.01%. There is a reason for this, just like there was last time with Japan Excellent (8987 JP). 
Understanding the reason is how you understand the trade to do. 


Nomura Real Estate To Buy Nomura RE Master Fund Units

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-building-fund-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1900:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)</a> announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.</li>
<li>That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. </li>
<li>A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.
That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. 
A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.


Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Japan Prime Realty Investmen / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-prime-realty-investmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:495:1" rel="noopener">Japan Prime Realty Investment (8955 JP)</a> (<strong>"JPR"</strong>) announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 38,100 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,900 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥16bn (~US$135mn). </li>
<li>Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of JPR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Japan Prime Realty Investment (8955 JP) ("JPR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 38,100 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,900 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥16bn (~US$135mn). 
Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of JPR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.


Japan Prime Realty REIT (8955 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Japan

NOMURA REAL ESTATE MASTER FUND, INC. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is formed through merger of Nomura real estate master fund, Nomura real estate office fund, and Nomura real estate residential fund.

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Nomura Real Estate Master Fund (3462 JP)

Japan - Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that could be sold by passive global investors in May. Shorts have increased on all stocks and the extent of...

Brian Freitas

Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

Activia Properties had good results to November 2023. A large disposal at a loss will drag May earnings down while rental gains will offset. The J...

Travis Lundy

Nomura Real Estate To Buy Nomura RE Master Fund Units

Nomura will buy Nomura RE Master Fund units. The proposed quantity is 10% of ADV for 6+ months. The goal? Get the Price/NAV up, so NREMF can buy...

Travis Lundy

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Japan's oldest and largest REIT - announced a small secondary offering. That provides an occasion to look at J-REIT...

Travis Lundy

Japan Prime Realty REIT (8955 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Large-cap diversified JREIT JPR announced a ~US$135mn follow-on public equity offering to fund their recent property acquisition. This might act as...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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