Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 11th May, published on the 15th May.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.6bn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$129mn out of "Biotech". Net shorts increased A$2.1bn week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telstra-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:690:1" rel="noopener">Telstra Corp (TLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woolworths-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:500:1" rel="noopener">Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13978:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Resources (LOT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arafura-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16550:1" rel="noopener">Arafura Resources (ARU AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcmillan-shakespeare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3023:1" rel="noopener">Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 11th May, published on the 15th May.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.6bn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$129mn out of "Biotech". Net shorts increased A$2.1bn week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Telstra Corp (TLS AU), Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU), Lotus Resources (LOT AU), Arafura Resources (ARU AU), and Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU).


Aussie Shorts [11 May 2026]: Telstra, Woolworths, Lotus Res., Arafura Res., Mcmillan Shakespeare

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major support level we identified as support, and the MSCI ACWI ETF has broken below its 200-day MA, leading us to believe additional consolidation is likely.

Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major support level we identified as support, and the MSCI ACWI ETF has broken below its 200-day MA, leading us to believe additional consolidation is likely. 

EM and ACWI Showing Decisive Breakdowns - Metals & Miners Still Attractive

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Value/Growth style dynamic: Globally, it seems growth stocks as an investment style have been dominant since Q3-2012, which has not helped the value orientated small-mid cap Investor. Whilst there is an argument to say the value/growth style dynamic may reverse shortly in Asia-Pacific – ex-Japan, we feel exposure to growth at a reasonable price (GARP) coupled with a healthy FCF yield – via our amended Zulu Screen – would still provide some good returns for investors.</li><li>The Risk to this screen: When market sentiment is weak and forecasts not amended in a timely manner, the screen can be susceptible to selecting quality names.</li><li>Our screen selected 19 stocks among small-mid cap names in Australia, Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and India. </li><li>Of the 19 stocks identified: the average PEG Ratio was 0.46x, the Price to FCF yield was 7.2% and ROCE was 26.3%.</li><li>The Top 3 by stocks by overall ranking are all from Hong Kong: China Resources Holdings, Tianneng Power International and Longking Holdings, with Korea, Australia and Japan offering up the core value. Missing were candidates from Singapore, India and Taiwan.</li></ul>

The Value/Growth style dynamic: Globally, it seems growth stocks as an investment style have been dominant since Q3-2012, which has not helped the value orientated small-mid cap Investor. Whilst there is an argument to say the value/growth style dynamic may reverse shortly in Asia-Pacific – ex-Japan, we feel exposure to growth at a reasonable price (GARP) coupled with a healthy FCF yield – via our amended Zulu Screen – would still provide some good returns for investors.The Risk to this screen: When market sentiment is weak and forecasts not amended in a timely manner, the screen can be susceptible to selecting quality names.Our screen selected 19 stocks among small-mid cap names in Australia, Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and India. Of the 19 stocks identified: the average PEG Ratio was 0.46x, the Price to FCF yield was 7.2% and ROCE was 26.3%.The Top 3 by stocks by overall ranking are all from Hong Kong: China Resources Holdings, Tianneng Power International and Longking Holdings, with Korea, Australia and Japan offering up the core value. Missing were candidates from Singapore, India and Taiwan.

Notes from the Silk Road: Small-Mid Cap Screening for Zulu Warriors

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 4th May, published ~midday on the 8th May.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of  "Diversified Metals". Net shorts increased A$2.8bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woolworths-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:500:1" rel="noopener">Woolworths (WOW AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/james-hardie-industries-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10937:1" rel="noopener">James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beach-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:795:1" rel="noopener">Beach Energy (BPT AU)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 4th May, published ~midday on the 8th May.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of  "Diversified Metals". Net shorts increased A$2.8bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), Woolworths (WOW AU), James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU), Beach Energy (BPT AU), andIDP Education (IEL AU).


Aussie Shorts [4 May 2026]: Woodside Petroleum, Woolworths, James Hardie, Beach Energy, IDP Edu.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmerson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18705:1" rel="noopener">Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-african-resources-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23518:1" rel="noopener">Pan African Resources (PAF LN)</a>’s offer (0.1493 PAN CDI shares per ERM share) fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>Unusually, the IE’s valuation (A$0.087 to A$0.139) is well below the undisturbed price (A$0.33), apparently due to low liquidity and to the DCF valuation not factoring in all the reserves.</li>
<li>The key condition is ERM shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk as the substantial shareholders will be supportive (irrevocables or high premium to their price paid).</li>
</ul>


The Emmerson Resources (ERM AU) IE considers Pan African Resources (PAF LN)’s offer (0.1493 PAN CDI shares per ERM share) fair and reasonable.
Unusually, the IE’s valuation (A$0.087 to A$0.139) is well below the undisturbed price (A$0.33), apparently due to low liquidity and to the DCF valuation not factoring in all the reserves.
The key condition is ERM shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk as the substantial shareholders will be supportive (irrevocables or high premium to their price paid).


Emmerson Resources (ERM AU): Scheme Vote on 15 June

Australia

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

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Northern Star Resources (NST AU)

Aussie Shorts [11 May 2026]: Telstra, Woolworths, Lotus Res., Arafura Res., Mcmillan Shakespeare

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.6bn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$129mn out of...

David Blennerhassett

EM and ACWI Showing Decisive Breakdowns - Metals & Miners Still Attractive

Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major...

Vermilion Research

Notes from the Silk Road: Small-Mid Cap Screening for Zulu Warriors

The Value/Growth style dynamic: Globally, it seems growth stocks as an investment style have been dominant since Q3-2012, which has not helped...

David Lepper

Aussie Shorts [4 May 2026]: Woodside Petroleum, Woolworths, James Hardie, Beach Energy, IDP Edu.

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$767mn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$265mn out of "Metals". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Emmerson Resources (ERM AU): Scheme Vote on 15 June

This is a done deal as the scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for a 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.0%/6.6%.

Arun George

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