Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in March. There are 2 more stocks that are close on free float market cap.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a>'s float is still below 10% and the stock will need to wait till the June rebalance to be added to the index. </li>
<li>The capping changes and the 2 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.8% and a round-trip trade of US$4.93bn.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 inclusions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in March. There are 2 more stocks that are close on free float market cap.

Zijin Gold (2259 HK)'s float is still below 10% and the stock will need to wait till the June rebalance to be added to the index. 
The capping changes and the 2 adds will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 6.8% and a round-trip trade of US$4.93bn.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 2 Adds Likely; US$5bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed and rebalanced quarterly during which names can be added or deleted from the index. Our expectations for the March 2026 index rebal event are presented here.</li>
<li>At the moment, we expect <em>at least</em> two ADDs for March 2026, with one-way flow of US$2.9bn. </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed and rebalanced quarterly during which names can be added or deleted from the index. Our expectations for the March 2026 index rebal event are presented here.
At the moment, we expect at least two ADDs for March 2026, with one-way flow of US$2.9bn. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 2 ADDs Likely, One More Maybe; US$2.9bn One-Way Flow

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Vulcan Energy Resources / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and three changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 14 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th March 2026.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and three changes for ASX 200. Separately we see 14 ADDs and 8 DELs for ASX 300.
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th March 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Many Names With Multiple Days to Trade

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy, National Australia Bank, Rio Tinto, CSL.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD29.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

Australia

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

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Northern Star Resources (NST AU)

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) March Rebalance: 2 Adds Likely; US$5bn Trade

There could be 2 adds in March with another 2 stocks in close range. Capping and constituent changes are estimated to result in turnover of 6.8%...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 2 ADDs Likely, One More Maybe; US$2.9bn One-Way Flow

MV Global Gold may see 2-3 ADDs but the vast majority of the flows will come from re-capping/un-capping as smalls have outperformed the large.

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Many Names With Multiple Days to Trade

With roughly five weeks left in the reference period, our expectations for the ASX March 2026 index review can still change since there are...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Dec): Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Santos, Lynas Rare Earths, WiseTech Global, Woodside Energy,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 18th): Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Transurban, ANZ, Brambles, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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