IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In response to the potential Bain competing offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, KKR has waived the precondition and launched its offer at unchanged JPY8,800 per share.</li>
<li>Bain’s due diligence ends on 20 September, and it aims to submit a binding proposal in October. This timeline will thwart KKR’s offer, which closes on 21 October.</li>
<li>KKR’s offer launch at unchanged terms is delaying the inevitable and will have to bump to succeed. A potential bidding war is likely to push the offer price to JPY10,500. </li>
</ul>


In response to the potential Bain competing offer for Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), KKR has waived the precondition and launched its offer at unchanged JPY8,800 per share.
Bain’s due diligence ends on 20 September, and it aims to submit a binding proposal in October. This timeline will thwart KKR’s offer, which closes on 21 October.
KKR’s offer launch at unchanged terms is delaying the inevitable and will have to bump to succeed. A potential bidding war is likely to push the offer price to JPY10,500. 


Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR's Cop-Out as It Launches at Unchanged Terms, Next Move Bain

<ul>
<li>Nikkei reports that Bain will launch a competing tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a> around JPY9,200-9,300 per share, around 5% higher than KKR's offer. </li>
<li>The Board responded that Bain submitted a non-binding proposal on 26 July. The special committee will consider its feasibility if a binding proposal is submitted. </li>
<li>KKR has three options to respond to a higher Bain offer: revise it, launch a hostile offer at unchanged terms, or walk away. The first option is the most likely.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei reports that Bain will launch a competing tender offer for Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) around JPY9,200-9,300 per share, around 5% higher than KKR's offer. 
The Board responded that Bain submitted a non-binding proposal on 26 July. The special committee will consider its feasibility if a binding proposal is submitted. 
KKR has three options to respond to a higher Bain offer: revise it, launch a hostile offer at unchanged terms, or walk away. The first option is the most likely.


Fuji Soft (9749 JP): Bain’s Rumoured Counteroffer

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

<ul>
<li>Following media reports, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a> announced a pre-conditional tender offer from KKR at JPY8,800 per share, a 1.0% discount to the last close price of JPY8,890 (8 August).</li>
<li>The pre-condition is approvals under competition laws of Japan, Vietnam and possibly Belgium. The offer is anticipated to commence in mid-September.</li>
<li>The offer is a knockout bid and the culmination of an auction process. The board's recommendation and the irrevocables from activist shareholders ensure this deal is done.</li>
</ul>


Following media reports, Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) announced a pre-conditional tender offer from KKR at JPY8,800 per share, a 1.0% discount to the last close price of JPY8,890 (8 August).
The pre-condition is approvals under competition laws of Japan, Vietnam and possibly Belgium. The offer is anticipated to commence in mid-September.
The offer is a knockout bid and the culmination of an auction process. The board's recommendation and the irrevocables from activist shareholders ensure this deal is done.


Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY8,800

<ul>
<li>Nikkei and Bloomberg report that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a> will be privatised through a KKR-sponsored MBO at a price just below JPY9,000, a 21.8% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The rumoured privatisation proposal is the culmination of a sale process initiated by 3D Investment Partners, the largest shareholder, in September 2023.</li>
<li>The Board will meet tomorrow to discuss the proposal. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and a knockout bid, suggesting a done deal if a binding proposal materialises.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei and Bloomberg report that Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) will be privatised through a KKR-sponsored MBO at a price just below JPY9,000, a 21.8% premium to the last close.
The rumoured privatisation proposal is the culmination of a sale process initiated by 3D Investment Partners, the largest shareholder, in September 2023.
The Board will meet tomorrow to discuss the proposal. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and a knockout bid, suggesting a done deal if a binding proposal materialises.


Fuji Soft (9749 JP): A Rumoured KKR-Sponsored MBO

Japan

NS Solutions Corporation operates system consulting services and proposal of solutions.  The Company also manages operation and maintenance of engineering systems and develops software.

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NS Solutions (2327 JP)

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR's Cop-Out as It Launches at Unchanged Terms, Next Move Bain

KKR’s offer launch at unchanged terms is delaying the inevitable. It will have to be bumped to succeed. A potential bidding war could push the...

Arun George

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): Bain’s Rumoured Counteroffer

Bain is rumoured to launch a counteroffer. KKR has three options to respond to a higher Bain offer: revise it, launch a hostile offer at unchanged...

Arun George

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY8,800

The offer is a knockout bid and the culmination of an auction process. The board's recommendation and the irrevocables from activist shareholders...

Arun George

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): A Rumoured KKR-Sponsored MBO

Reports by two reputable media outlets suggest that the privatisation proposal is real. The rumoured offer represents an all-time high and a...

Arun George

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