Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese equities advanced in a holiday-shortened week, buoyed by global risk-on sentiment and a weaker yen</li>
<li>Strangely, Services PMI rose to 52.4 in April, showing continued expansion with stronger new orders despite falling business confidence and other lead indicators</li>
<li>NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)  stock surged +41% this week following the announcement that parent company NTT will launch a tender offer to acquire all remaining shares</li>
</ul>


Japanese equities advanced in a holiday-shortened week, buoyed by global risk-on sentiment and a weaker yen
Strangely, Services PMI rose to 52.4 in April, showing continued expansion with stronger new orders despite falling business confidence and other lead indicators
NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)  stock surged +41% this week following the announcement that parent company NTT will launch a tender offer to acquire all remaining shares


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener"></a>'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Geely - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK)'s discount to NAV is less than half its 12-month average. And Geely is generally trading tighter to listed PRC auto peers. 
Preceding my comments on Geely - and NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>A Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/cybersecurity-firm-trend-micro-explores-sale-sources-say-2024-08-08/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> overnight says Trend Micro might be up for sale. This caused the ADRs to jump 10% overnight. The remaining co-founders are 65 and 70 this year. </li>
<li>The stock has effectively gone sideways the last few years as Value Act has been activisting. Now one has to exercise one's imagination to think about a possible sale price. </li>
<li>On a DCF basis, a PE fund couldn't reasonably do this. Multiples are too high. That means a strategic buyer would be more likely. But Who? Why? And How much?</li>
</ul>


A Reuters article overnight says Trend Micro might be up for sale. This caused the ADRs to jump 10% overnight. The remaining co-founders are 65 and 70 this year. 
The stock has effectively gone sideways the last few years as Value Act has been activisting. Now one has to exercise one's imagination to think about a possible sale price. 
On a DCF basis, a PE fund couldn't reasonably do this. Multiples are too high. That means a strategic buyer would be more likely. But Who? Why? And How much?


Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-cns-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35945:1" rel="noopener">LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS)</a> priced its IPO at KRW61,900 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$820 million. The shares will start trading on 5 February.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-cns-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:170085" rel="noopener">LG CNS IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-cns-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:171361" rel="noopener">LG CNS IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lg-cns-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:171569" rel="noopener">LG CNS IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>Since the prospectus's release, the peers have marginally re-rated. The valuation remains undemanding at the IPO price, and bullish grey market prices suggest a strong debut.</li>
</ul>



LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) priced its IPO at KRW61,900 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$820 million. The shares will start trading on 5 February.
We previously discussed the IPO in LG CNS IPO: The Bull Case, LG CNS IPO: The Bear Case and LG CNS IPO: Valuation Insights.
Since the prospectus's release, the peers have marginally re-rated. The valuation remains undemanding at the IPO price, and bullish grey market prices suggest a strong debut.


Highly Differentiated Ideas and Insights, Made in Japan

Made in Japan

Highly Differentiated Ideas and Insights

The mission of MIJ is to become your field guide to Business and Investing in Japan. My goal is to make businesses in Japan more accessible to everyone by breaking down cultural barriers and provide differentiated ideas and insights.

<ul><li>It’s been no secret that Japan has not been the most technologically forward society in the world…</li><li>As a consumer, it was only a few years ago you’d be carrying hard cash to pay for most things as many shops wouldn’t let you pay with your card.</li><li>If you’re an employee, the chances are that your office is still using a fax in one capacity or another. </li></ul>

It’s been no secret that Japan has not been the most technologically forward society in the world…As a consumer, it was only a few years ago you’d be carrying hard cash to pay for most things as many shops wouldn’t let you pay with your card.If you’re an employee, the chances are that your office is still using a fax in one capacity or another. 

Japan

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

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NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)

Japan Strategy Weekly | Tariff Relief

Japanese equities rose due to global risk-on sentiment and a weaker yen, Services PMI increased despite falling business confidence, and NTT Data...

Mark Chadwick

StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Geely is trading at a 20% disc. to NAV, half the 12-mth average. Shares are up 22% in the past month, and 78% over the past year. It may still bump...

David Blennerhassett

Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

Reuters has an article out saying that Buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro. Bain, Advent, EQT, KKR all in the mix. The stock went limit up...

Travis Lundy

LG CNS IPO: Trading Debut

Since the prospectus's release, the peers have marginally re-rated. The valuation remains undemanding at the IPO price, and bullish grey market...

Arun George

Why I think Japanese SaaS is undervalued

It’s been no secret that Japan has not been the most technologically forward society in the world…As a consumer, it was only a few years ago you’d...

Made in Japan

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Japan Strategy Weekly | Tariff Relief

​Japanese equities rose due to global risk-on sentiment and a weaker yen, Services PMI increased despite falling business confidence, and NTT Data...

Mark Chadwick

StubWorld: Geely Is (Mostly) Trading "Rich"; And May Still Bump Zeekr Terms

Geely is trading at a 20% disc. to NAV, half the 12-mth average. Shares are up 22% in the past month, and 78% over the past year. It may still bump...

David Blennerhassett

Trend Micro (4704) Up For Sale? Would Be a HUGE Buyout But How Huge? And Who?

Reuters has an article out saying that Buyout firms are "vying for" Trend Micro. Bain, Advent, EQT, KKR all in the mix. The stock went limit up...

Travis Lundy

LG CNS IPO: Trading Debut

Since the prospectus's release, the peers have marginally re-rated. The valuation remains undemanding at the IPO price, and bullish grey market...

Arun George

Why I think Japanese SaaS is undervalued

It’s been no secret that Japan has not been the most technologically forward society in the world…As a consumer, it was only a few years ago you’d...

Made in Japan

Japanese equities rose due to global risk-on sentiment and a weaker yen, Services PMI increased despite falling business confidence, and NTT Data...