Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>This morning, the <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/NTT-to-make-NTT-Data-wholly-owned-unit-via-tender-offer-worth-up-to-20bn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> says <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> has decided, 5 years after taking Docomo private, to buy out minorities in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>NTT owns 58%. The article suggests a "30-40% premium" (¥3,900-4,200) "is likely", with the parent spending ¥2-3trln (¥3,380-5,060) on the deal. The numbers are a bit all over the place.</li>
<li>It will go limit up today to ¥3,492. A deal should be announced today after the close when NTT Data reports earnings. There's a cool index event too.</li>
</ul>


This morning, the Nikkei says NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) has decided, 5 years after taking Docomo private, to buy out minorities in NTT Data Corp (9613 JP). 
NTT owns 58%. The article suggests a "30-40% premium" (¥3,900-4,200) "is likely", with the parent spending ¥2-3trln (¥3,380-5,060) on the deal. The numbers are a bit all over the place.
It will go limit up today to ¥3,492. A deal should be announced today after the close when NTT Data reports earnings. There's a cool index event too.


NTT (9432) To Overpay To Take Over NTT Data (9613) Subsidiary?

<ul>
<li>We have a deal in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a>. It's big, liquid, and a great place to hide for long-only investors who are bearish the market.</li>
<li>Li Shufu-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> offers an ordinary 13.6% premium for 65.7-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">Zeekr (ZK US)</a>. Li/Geely have the necessary votes to force a privatisation.  But still might bump terms.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a> has now strongly overbid Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's strong overbid of Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's initial hostile offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We have a deal in NTT Data Corp (9613 JP). It's big, liquid, and a great place to hide for long-only investors who are bearish the market.
Li Shufu-backed Geely Auto (175 HK) offers an ordinary 13.6% premium for 65.7-held Zeekr (ZK US). Li/Geely have the necessary votes to force a privatisation.  But still might bump terms.

Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has now strongly overbid Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's strong overbid of Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's initial hostile offer for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Data Corp, Zeekr, Shibaura Electronics, Swire Pacific/ThaiNamthip

<ul>
<li>Pre-Open, we got a Nikkei article which suggested four different prices possible. We got something in the middle. I think NTT is probably overpaying here.</li>
<li>There is a fair bit of transparency in the documents and valuation. That is encouraging. There are no synergies counted in the fair calculations. That is discouraging.</li>
<li>This will not trade like a "normal" Japan risk arb situation. There will be nuances. </li>
</ul>


Pre-Open, we got a Nikkei article which suggested four different prices possible. We got something in the middle. I think NTT is probably overpaying here.
There is a fair bit of transparency in the documents and valuation. That is encouraging. There are no synergies counted in the fair calculations. That is discouraging.
This will not trade like a "normal" Japan risk arb situation. There will be nuances. 


[Japan M&A] NTT (9432) Overpays To Buy Out NTT Data (9613) Minorities

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. </li>
<li>The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  </li>
</ul>



NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.
The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. 
The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  


NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

Japan

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

For the month of May, 13 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$27bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

NTT (9432) To Overpay To Take Over NTT Data (9613) Subsidiary?

It looks like NTT will take over NTT Data. That is big news, but not entirely unexpected. It will probably be too expensive. It will create an...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Data Corp, Zeekr, Shibaura Electronics, Swire Pacific/ThaiNamthip

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan M&A] NTT (9432) Overpays To Buy Out NTT Data (9613) Minorities

The NTT deal for NTT Data comes in at ¥4,000/share which is a nice round (and high) number. NTT is overpaying. This will be a big deal - lots of...

Travis Lundy

NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

While below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation, the offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)