Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. At the moment it is difficult to point to any problems in the market aside from increasingly bullish sentiment from market participants and the worry that things are getting overheated and over-extended. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Large-Cap, Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Small-Cap, Metals, Steel, Integrated, U.S., and Aluminum.

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. At the moment it is difficult to point to any problems in the market aside from increasingly bullish sentiment from market participants and the worry that things are getting overheated and over-extended. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Large-Cap, Oil &amp; Gas Equip/Svcs., Small-Cap, Metals, Steel, Integrated, U.S., and Aluminum.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Too Good To Be True?

Yesterday’s break below 3425 short-term support in the S&amp;P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too bearish overall.

Yesterday’s break below 3425 short-term support in the S&amp;P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too bearish overall.

In last week’s Compass we posited that the bulls were back in control as the bullish gap from Sept. 28 was left unfilled despite the president and first lady getting COVID-19. With breadth continuing to improve and several cyclical areas of the market breaking out to new highs, our outlook remains bullish and we believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials &amp; Manufacturing: Metals, Steel Integrated, U.S., Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity, Cement/Aggregates, and Agricultural Equipment.

In last week’s Compass we posited that the bulls were back in control as the bullish gap from Sept. 28 was left unfilled despite the president and first lady getting COVID-19. With breadth continuing to improve and several cyclical areas of the market breaking out to new highs, our outlook remains bullish and we believe a “buy the dip” mentality is warranted.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials &amp; Manufacturing: Metals, Steel Integrated, U.S., Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity, Cement/Aggregates, and Agricultural Equipment.

U. S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Buy Dips

Multi-asset Macro/Emerging Markets Strategist

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities.<ul class="">
<li>
This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR and Saudi stocks. Stay short Italian stocks and bonds vs Stoxx 600 and Bunds. Consider fading Trump steel tariff news via relative value short US steel names vs Japanese peers. Stay strategic short Swedish Krona vs EUR. We stay constructive on JPY.</li>
<li>
Monday: Markets digest Italy vote/Germany SPD referendum, Trump tariffs on steel. Also: Australia MI CPI…</li>
</ul>

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities.

This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR and Saudi stocks. Stay short Italian stocks and bonds vs Stoxx 600 and Bunds. Consider fading Trump steel tariff news via relative value short US steel names vs Japanese peers. Stay strategic short Swedish Krona vs EUR. We stay constructive on JPY.

Monday: Markets digest Italy vote/Germany SPD referendum, Trump tariffs on steel. Also: Australia MI CPI…


Week Ahead in Global Macro: US NFP, Tariffs, ECB, BOJ, RBA, China NPC/CPI/Trade, BOC, BNM

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.

U.S. Equity Outlook: Sector Themes & Synopsis

United States

Nucor Corporation manufactures steel products.  The Company's products include carbon and alloy steel, steel joists, steel deck, cold finished steel, steel grinding balls, steel bearing products, and metal buildingsystems. Nucor also brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron and HBI/DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap.

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Nucor Corp (NUE US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Too Good To Be True?

Our outlook remains bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Market Sending Mixed Signals

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Materials, Health Care, & Services

Vermilion Research

U. S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Buy Dips

With breadth continuing to improve and several cyclicals breaking out to new highs, our outlook remains bullish and we believe a “buy the dip”...

Vermilion Research

Week Ahead in Global Macro: US NFP, Tariffs, ECB, BOJ, RBA, China NPC/CPI/Trade, BOC, BNM

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR...

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

U.S. Equity Outlook: Sector Themes & Synopsis

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)