Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a> has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a> at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.</li>
<li>The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.</li>
<li>There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a>'s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).</li>
</ul>



Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire Altium Ltd (ALU AU) at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.
The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.
There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) on Altium Ltd (ALU AU)'s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).


Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

<ul>
<li>The Scheme Meeting for PSP's acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> will be held on 30 January and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group</a> could stop trading after the close on 8 February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/strike-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12473:1" rel="noopener">Strike Energy (STX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siteminder-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34688:1" rel="noopener">SiteMinder (SDR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/audinate-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26757:1" rel="noopener">Audinate (AD8 AU)</a> are potential inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at an ad hoc rebalance.</li>
<li>For the stocks that are not added at the ad hoc rebalance, there is a very high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> inclusion at the March rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The Scheme Meeting for PSP's acquisition of Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) will be held on 30 January and Costa Group could stop trading after the close on 8 February.

Strike Energy (STX AU), SiteMinder (SDR AU) and Audinate (AD8 AU) are potential inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at an ad hoc rebalance.
For the stocks that are not added at the ad hoc rebalance, there is a very high probability of S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) inclusion at the March rebalance.


Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

<ul>
<li>There are 4 trading days to go in the review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX indices. Announcement is on 2 September with implementation on 16 September.</li>
<li>There could be 6 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, increasing to 8 if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU)</a> continues to be halted and if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK)</a> is privatised.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month. Short interest has increased on a few potential deletes. There will be pre-positions built up.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 trading days to go in the review period for the September rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX indices. Announcement is on 2 September with implementation on 16 September.
There could be 6 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), increasing to 8 if AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU) continues to be halted and if Link Administration (LNK) is privatised.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month. Short interest has increased on a few potential deletes. There will be pre-positions built up.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

<ul>
<li>There could be one change to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in July following the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Then there will be a whole bunch of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September as part of the regular rebalance. </li>
<li>There is large short interest on a couple of the potential adds and a lot of the potential deletes. That will drive stock price moves closer to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There could be one change to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in July following the privatisation of Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU). 
Then there will be a whole bunch of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September as part of the regular rebalance. 
There is large short interest on a couple of the potential adds and a lot of the potential deletes. That will drive stock price moves closer to implementation.


S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>TA Associates and Viburnum Funds’ non-binding indicative privatisation proposal is A$1.70 per <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infomedia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11385:1" rel="noopener">Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU)</a> share in cash, a 32.8% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The timing of the bid looks opportunistic in the context of the shares hitting a 3-year low on 9 May. Viburnum with a 14.5% stake is the largest shareholder.</li>
<li>The Board notes expressions of interest from other parties. TA and Viburnum’s bid is the catalyst for other bidders to show their hands.  </li>
</ul>


TA Associates and Viburnum Funds’ non-binding indicative privatisation proposal is A$1.70 per Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU) share in cash, a 32.8% premium to the last close.
The timing of the bid looks opportunistic in the context of the shares hitting a 3-year low on 9 May. Viburnum with a 14.5% stake is the largest shareholder.
The Board notes expressions of interest from other parties. TA and Viburnum’s bid is the catalyst for other bidders to show their hands.  


Infomedia Receives a A$1.70 Per Share Offer from TA Associates and Viburnum

Australia

Nuix Pty Ltd operates as atechnology company. The Company offers software platform for indexing, searching, analyzing, and extracting knowledge from unstructured data that includes digital investigation, cybersecurity, e-Discovery, information governance, and email migration and privacy. Nuix serves customers worldwide.

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Nuix Limited (NXL AU)

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

Renesas has entered a SIA to acquire Altium at A$68.5/share for an implied equity value of A$9.1bn. The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last...

Brian Freitas

Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

The PSP/Costa Group Scheme Meeting takes place on 30 Jan and CGC could stop trading on 8 Feb. There will be an ad hoc rebalance for the ASX200 and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

There are a LOT of potential changes to the S&P/ASX indices as we near the end of the review period. The potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

There are a lot of potential changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices over the next few months. Passive trading impact is high on a lot of stocks...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

Renesas has entered a SIA to acquire Altium at A$68.5/share for an implied equity value of A$9.1bn. The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last...

Brian Freitas

Costa Group (CGC AU): Potential ASX200 Replacements

The PSP/Costa Group Scheme Meeting takes place on 30 Jan and CGC could stop trading on 8 Feb. There will be an ad hoc rebalance for the ASX200 and...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

There are a LOT of potential changes to the S&P/ASX indices as we near the end of the review period. The potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

There are a lot of potential changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices over the next few months. Passive trading impact is high on a lot of stocks...

Brian Freitas

Infomedia Receives a A$1.70 Per Share Offer from TA Associates and Viburnum

TA and Viburnum's indicative offer of A$1.70 is a 32.8% premium to the last close. Expressions of interest from other bidders suggest the potential...

Arun George

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes As Review Period End Nears

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes