Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, a market consultation is being conducted and there could be several significant changes made to the index selection process.</li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th September 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
Currently, a market consultation is being conducted and there could be several significant changes made to the index selection process.
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th September 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Exp ADDs Down Vs Exp DELs Since Methodology Change; Time to Reverse?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Moelis Australia Ltd

MA Moelis Australia

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Moelis Australia Ltd

We are an ASX-listed financial services firm specialising in asset management, lending, corporate advisory and equities. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The refined outlook for Nuix's FY25 Annualised Contract Value (ACV) growth towards the lower end the range is not a surprise.</li><li>At the presentation of 1H25 results in February, management recited their guidance for 11-16% ACV growth during FY25.</li><li>However, Nuix also observed that the operating environment has become less predictable. Customers have taken longer to commit to new contra</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The refined outlook for Nuix's FY25 Annualised Contract Value (ACV) growth towards the lower end the range is not a surprise.At the presentation of 1H25 results in February, management recited their guidance for 11-16% ACV growth during FY25.However, Nuix also observed that the operating environment has become less predictable. Customers have taken longer to commit to new contraContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has suffered a continuous sell-off for the past 3 weeks. The index is deeply oversold, our model predicts an imminent reversal.</li>
<li>The reversal could lift the index to the 8091-8208 price area, but the index may start to fall again after that.</li>
<li>As posted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> there has been 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> (index rebalance), read his insight for further details on this.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has suffered a continuous sell-off for the past 3 weeks. The index is deeply oversold, our model predicts an imminent reversal.
The reversal could lift the index to the 8091-8208 price area, but the index may start to fall again after that.
As posted by Brian Freitas there has been 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (index rebalance), read his insight for further details on this.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX200 Index</a> and 11 adds/ 7 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>There is a huge increase in the number of index shares for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, triggering passive buying of nearly A$1.4bn at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices. Positioning varies across stocks and there could be some big movers over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 Index and 11 adds/ 7 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
There is a huge increase in the number of index shares for Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), triggering passive buying of nearly A$1.4bn at the close on 21 March.
The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices. Positioning varies across stocks and there could be some big movers over the next few days.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

<div><ul><li>Nuix enjoys strong relationships with its clients, demonstrated by the long tenure of its engagements and relatively low churn.</li><li>Nuix's data processing tools are highly regarded globally and deployed within governments, major corporations and law firms.</li><li>The emphasis of the current growth strategy has been sales of Nuix Neo; an enhanced platform combining productivity tools, AI features, Analytics and connectivity to 3rd party applications.</li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Nuix enjoys strong relationships with its clients, demonstrated by the long tenure of its engagements and relatively low churn.Nuix's data processing tools are highly regarded globally and deployed within governments, major corporations and law firms.The emphasis of the current growth strategy has been sales of Nuix Neo; an enhanced platform combining productivity tools, AI features, Analytics and connectivity to 3rd party applications.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Australia

Nuix Pty Ltd operates as atechnology company. The Company offers software platform for indexing, searching, analyzing, and extracting knowledge from unstructured data that includes digital investigation, cybersecurity, e-Discovery, information governance, and email migration and privacy. Nuix serves customers worldwide.

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Nuix Limited (NXL AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Exp ADDs Down Vs Exp DELs Since Methodology Change; Time to Reverse?

We believe the newly proposed methodology would be implemented during the September 2025 index review. The expected ADDs have been underperforming...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nuix Ltd - Trading Update

The refined outlook for Nuix's FY25 Annualised Contract Value (ACV) growth towards the lower end the range is not a surprise.

MA Moelis Australia

S&P/ASX 200 Index Outlook Post-Rebalance

The recently rebalanced ASX 200 index is in oversold territory. Our model predicts an imminent reversal and relief rally to the 8091-8208 range,...

Nico Rosti

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

There are 40 constituent changes across the indices. SIG is an add to 2 indices and also an upweight in 2 others - so big buying. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

Nuix Ltd - Complex Narrative

Nuix enjoys strong relationships with its clients, demonstrated by the long tenure of its engagements and relatively low churn.

MA Moelis Australia

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Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Exp ADDs Down Vs Exp DELs Since Methodology Change; Time to Reverse?

We believe the newly proposed methodology would be implemented during the September 2025 index review. The expected ADDs have been underperforming...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nuix Ltd - Trading Update

The refined outlook for Nuix's FY25 Annualised Contract Value (ACV) growth towards the lower end the range is not a surprise.

MA Moelis Australia

S&P/ASX 200 Index Outlook Post-Rebalance

The recently rebalanced ASX 200 index is in oversold territory. Our model predicts an imminent reversal and relief rally to the 8091-8208 range,...

Nico Rosti

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

There are 40 constituent changes across the indices. SIG is an add to 2 indices and also an upweight in 2 others - so big buying. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

Nuix Ltd - Complex Narrative

Nuix enjoys strong relationships with its clients, demonstrated by the long tenure of its engagements and relatively low churn.

MA Moelis Australia

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices