APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Paradeep Phosphates / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Paradeep Phosphates raised around US$194m in its India IPO. The IPO consisted of a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>Subscription for PP's IPO had been tepid and previous deals with similar subscription rates had produced mixed performances upon debut.</li>
<li>Were the firm to trade towards its closer peers’ average, there is a 5% upside potential and -18.6% downside potential on the FY23E and FY24E EV/EBITDA front, respectively. </li>
</ul>


Paradeep Phosphates raised around US$194m in its India IPO. The IPO consisted of a mix of primary and secondary shares.
Subscription for PP's IPO had been tepid and previous deals with similar subscription rates had produced mixed performances upon debut.
Were the firm to trade towards its closer peers’ average, there is a 5% upside potential and -18.6% downside potential on the FY23E and FY24E EV/EBITDA front, respectively. 


Paradeep Phosphates IPO Trading - Tepid Demand and Anchor Quality Isn't the Greatest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 performance: Nuvoco has reported extremely good set of numbers given the challenging environment with EBITDA of Rs4.25bn against our expectation of Rs3.8bn.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Capex update: Nuvoco plans to augment its cement volume by ~2.4mn mt from both north and east regions.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Outlook: Given the increased competition in the eastern region post recent capex by various companies, it will be challenging for Nuvoco to sustain this performance.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 performance: Nuvoco has reported extremely good set of numbers given the challenging environment with EBITDA of Rs4.25bn against our expectation of Rs3.8bn.Capex update: Nuvoco plans to augment its cement volume by ~2.4mn mt from both north and east regions.Outlook: Given the increased competition in the eastern region post recent capex by various companies, it will be challenging for Nuvoco to sustain this performance.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd - Good Results Amid Challenging Environment

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.</li>
<li>Post listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN)</a> should be added to the LargeCap segment while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (1058656D IN)</a> should be added to the MidCap segment.</li>
<li>On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.</li>
</ul>


Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.
Post listing, Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN) should be added to the LargeCap segment while Delhivery (1058656D IN) should be added to the MidCap segment.
On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.


India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 8 stocks migrating upward from Mid to Large Cap and 9 stocks migrating from Small to Mid Cap.</li>
<li>We expect 12 stocks to migrate downward from Large to Mid Cap and 19 stocks from Mid to Small Cap. Four new listings will be added to the Large Caps.</li>
<li>Historically, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the stocks migrating lower as the active funds rebalance their portfolios to meet regulations around stocks held based on the fund classification.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 8 stocks migrating upward from Mid to Large Cap and 9 stocks migrating from Small to Mid Cap.
We expect 12 stocks to migrate downward from Large to Mid Cap and 19 stocks from Mid to Small Cap. Four new listings will be added to the Large Caps.
Historically, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the stocks migrating lower as the active funds rebalance their portfolios to meet regulations around stocks held based on the fund classification.


India: Half-Yearly Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Paytm (PAYTM IN) raised around US$2.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.</li>
<li>The company is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and counts <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1044:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US)</a> among its investors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Paytm (PAYTM IN) raised around US$2.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.
The company is backed by Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK), Softbank Group (9984 JP) and counts Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl A (BRK/A US) among its investors.
In this note, we will talk about the subscription levels and the trading dynamics.


Paytm IPO Trading - Largest IPO with Lowest Coverage, Skipped by Domestics

India

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited is a leading Indian building materials company that manufactures and sells cement, ready-mix concrete (RMX), and modern building materials (MBM). Its product portfolio includes various types of cement, as well as construction chemicals, wall putty, tile adhesives, and other specialized building solutions. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nuvoco Vistas (NUVOCO IN)

Paradeep Phosphates IPO Trading - Tepid Demand and Anchor Quality Isn't the Greatest

Paradeep Phosphates raised around US$194m in its India IPO. Subscription for PP's IPO had been tepid and previous deals with similar subscription...

Clarence Chu

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd - Good Results Amid Challenging Environment

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd (Nuvoco) has reported good set of results for 4QFY22, with EBITDA coming in at Rs4.25bn (up 87% QoQ) against our...

Nirmal Bang

India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see quite a few changes to the Large/Mid/Small Cap classification for Indian stocks. The upward...

Brian Freitas

India: Half-Yearly Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Upward migrations include 8 stocks from MidCap to LargeCap & 9 from SmallCap to MidCap. 4 new listings will join the LargeCaps and 6 new listings...

Brian Freitas

Paytm IPO Trading - Largest IPO with Lowest Coverage, Skipped by Domestics

Paytm (PAYTM IN) raised around US$2.5bn via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)