Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

<p>The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-non-it-industries-overcoming-deflation-not-enough" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:4491">Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough</a> ), where we demonstrated why overcoming deflation alone will not resolve Japan's economic problems.  We observed clear out-performance of the "deflationary" IT vs non-IT sector in terms of productivity.  We then examined the role of Investment-Specific Technology (relative capital vs consumer goods deflation) in productivity growth and found it responsible for…</p>

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough ), where we demonstrated why overcoming deflation alone will not resolve Japan's economic problems.  We observed clear out-performance of the "deflationary" IT vs non-IT sector in terms of productivity.  We then examined the role of Investment-Specific Technology (relative capital vs consumer goods deflation) in productivity growth and found it responsible for…

Overcoming Deflation Is Not Enough Part II: Japanese Services

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Fukuoka Financial Group / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong></p><p>Wednesday 31 August 2016</p><p><strong>Japan stock long plays</strong></p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz</a> </strong>3:17 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/012/504/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1472616736" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="12504"><figcaption class="figcaption">Long Japan stocks plays</figcaption></figure><p> </p>
</div><p>Our call on a weaker JPY puts into play Yen sensitive stocks paritulalry since the Nikkie overall remains rather boxed (prefer to load up on September weakness).</p><div>SMFG (8316) - Breakout today above 3,500 . Long from 3,620 with ST dip swing risk to 3,500. ST rally target at 3,900 representing MT inflection resistance above which we would…</div>

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz 3:17 min.
Long Japan stocks plays 
Our call on a weaker JPY puts into play Yen sensitive stocks paritulalry since the Nikkie overall remains rather boxed (prefer to load up on September weakness).SMFG (8316) - Breakout today above 3,500 . Long from 3,620 with ST dip swing risk to 3,500. ST rally target at 3,900 representing MT inflection resistance above which we would…

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…</p>

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

<p>Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:</p><h2>Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not Enough</h2><p>There is "bad…</p>

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not EnoughThere is "bad…

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data observation period is done. No rank changes in the top candidates since mid-Jan. Capping for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> is confirmed. </li>
<li>For me, it is 2 or 3 ADDs, depending. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> is still tops. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP)</a> second. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7266:1" rel="noopener">Shift Inc (3697 JP)</a> third.</li>
<li>Kokusai is +26.7% in 5 weeks since I <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-6525-upcoming-lockup-expiry-and-big-index-demand" target="_blank" rel="noopener">wrote</a> bullishly, despite news/confirmation of getting the boot from a global index at end-Feb. Baycurrent is +39.7% (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baycurrent-consulting-6532-high-growth-ok-multiple-big-index-inclusion-coming-up" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>). Now we count flows.</li>
</ul>


The data observation period is done. No rank changes in the top candidates since mid-Jan. Capping for Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is confirmed. 
For me, it is 2 or 3 ADDs, depending. Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) is still tops. BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) second. Shift Inc (3697 JP) third.
Kokusai is +26.7% in 5 weeks since I wrote bullishly, despite news/confirmation of getting the boot from a global index at end-Feb. Baycurrent is +39.7% (link). Now we count flows.


[Quiddity Index Feb25] Nikkei 225 Mar Rebal: 2 or 3 IN, 2 or 3 OUT, ~$3bn 1-Way, 1 Squeeze.

Japan

OBIC Co., Ltd. provides computer system integration, office automation, consultation, and system support services primarily for small and medium size companies.  The Company sells, leases, and maintains computers, peripherals, and related systems.  OBIC also develops and sells customized software and network systems.

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OBIC Co Ltd (4684 JP)

Overcoming Deflation Is Not Enough Part II: Japanese Services

The under-performance of Japan's non-IT sector was our focus last time (see Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough ), where we...

Naomi Fink

Japan Bullish Breakout Stock Bets

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 31 August 2016Japan stock long playsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/GHtat5tVz 3:17 min. Our...

Thomas Schroeder

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be. Europacifica CEO Naomi...

Naomi Fink

[Quiddity Index Feb25] Nikkei 225 Mar Rebal: 2 or 3 IN, 2 or 3 OUT, ~$3bn 1-Way, 1 Squeeze.

This is the last Nikkei rebal preview before announcement. We have capping confirmed for Fastie, and the three ADDs have been doing well. There are...

Travis Lundy

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