Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expanded our coverage to seven gold companies, including Wesdome Gold Mining (WDO CN), which just released its Q1FY26 earnings. We will write a detailed insight on it shortly.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-philippines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40897:1" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM)</a> trades at an 11% dividend yield and 9.2x PE, while <a target="_blank">Apex Mining Co (APX PM)</a> trades at an 8.3x PE valuation with a 6% yield. </li>
<li>Amongst the large caps, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barrick-mining-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21023:1" rel="noopener">Barrick Mining (B US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> trade at 8.3x PE and 10x PE, respectively, with 7.2% and 8.1% FCF yields. </li>
</ul>


We expanded our coverage to seven gold companies, including Wesdome Gold Mining (WDO CN), which just released its Q1FY26 earnings. We will write a detailed insight on it shortly.

OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) trades at an 11% dividend yield and 9.2x PE, while Apex Mining Co (APX PM) trades at an 8.3x PE valuation with a 6% yield. 
Amongst the large caps, Barrick Mining (B US) and Newmont Mining (NEM US) trade at 8.3x PE and 10x PE, respectively, with 7.2% and 8.1% FCF yields. 


Gold At 4,500 USD/Oz: Seven Ideas To Look At In the Gold Space

<ul>
<li>
$3.1B Q1FY26 all-time record quarterly FCF; Annualized implies a 10% FCF yield, with a realized gold price of 4,900 USD/oz. </li>
<li>
Tanami Exp 2, Cadia PC2-3/PC1-2, Lihir Nearshore Barrier, and Red Chris Block Cave underpin a multi-year production ramp to ~6 Moz (vs. current 5.3 Moz).</li>
<li>
$6B new buyback authorization; $2.7B returned since Feb-26; $1.1B/yr dividend growing per-share as share count declines.</li>
</ul>



$3.1B Q1FY26 all-time record quarterly FCF; Annualized implies a 10% FCF yield, with a realized gold price of 4,900 USD/oz. 

Tanami Exp 2, Cadia PC2-3/PC1-2, Lihir Nearshore Barrier, and Red Chris Block Cave underpin a multi-year production ramp to ~6 Moz (vs. current 5.3 Moz).

$6B new buyback authorization; $2.7B returned since Feb-26; $1.1B/yr dividend growing per-share as share count declines.


Newmont Mining (NEM US): The World's Premier Gold Miner At ~10% FCF Yield

<ul>
<li>At gold prices of 4,500 USD/oz (vs. current price &gt;4,700 USD/oz), the stock trades at 9x PE and 4.2x EV-EBITDA, with a 3.5% dividend yield (50% payout on FCF). </li>
<li>
The North America IPO could be a catalyst for a structural re-rating, comprising holdings in NGM (61.5%), Pueblo Viejo (60%), and 100%-owned Fourmile, targeting completion by late 2026.</li>
<li>
This is a diversified 14-asset miner, with 85 million ounces of reserves (more than 17-year mine life) that provides a good, large-cap/liquid option geared to the gold price. </li>
</ul>


At gold prices of 4,500 USD/oz (vs. current price &gt;4,700 USD/oz), the stock trades at 9x PE and 4.2x EV-EBITDA, with a 3.5% dividend yield (50% payout on FCF). 

The North America IPO could be a catalyst for a structural re-rating, comprising holdings in NGM (61.5%), Pueblo Viejo (60%), and 100%-owned Fourmile, targeting completion by late 2026.

This is a diversified 14-asset miner, with 85 million ounces of reserves (more than 17-year mine life) that provides a good, large-cap/liquid option geared to the gold price. 


Barrick Gold (B US): An Option For Investors Looking At Diversified Asset, Large-Cap Gold Exposure

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apex-mining-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22952:1" rel="noopener">Apex Mining Co (APX PM)</a> is the Philippines' largest listed gold producer, operating two underground mines (Maco and Sangilo). It's in the early stages of developing another large tenement. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apex-mining-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22952:1" rel="noopener">Apex Mining Co (APX PM)</a> offers a high-quality, Philippine-domiciled vehicle for gold price exposure with growth prospects. </li>
<li>At a spot gold price of 4,500 USD/oz, the stock trades at 7.5x PE and 5.1x EV/EBITDA, with a 6.6% dividend yield. </li>
</ul>



Apex Mining Co (APX PM) is the Philippines' largest listed gold producer, operating two underground mines (Maco and Sangilo). It's in the early stages of developing another large tenement. 

Apex Mining Co (APX PM) offers a high-quality, Philippine-domiciled vehicle for gold price exposure with growth prospects. 
At a spot gold price of 4,500 USD/oz, the stock trades at 7.5x PE and 5.1x EV/EBITDA, with a 6.6% dividend yield. 


Apex Mining (APX PM): Cheap Play On Gold, With Massive Growth Angle

Director, Head of Research, Smartkarma

Pranav Rao

Director, Head of Research

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,300+ insights published on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>In this cut, we review the outlook for energy markets amid the Persian Gulf conflict, highlight coverage of gold miners large and small, and identify opportunities in Japanese financials.</li>
<li>Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Curator’s Cut - a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,300+ insights published on Smartkarma.
In this cut, we review the outlook for energy markets amid the Persian Gulf conflict, highlight coverage of gold miners large and small, and identify opportunities in Japanese financials.
Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.


Curator's Cut: Crude Reality, Reshuffling Gold Miners & Banking on Japanese Fintech

Philippines

OceanaGold Philippines, Inc. is a leading producer of gold and copper in the Philippines, engaged in the exploration, development, and utilization of mineral resources. The company operates the Didipio gold and copper mine in the northern Luzon region, producing gold dore bars (containing gold and silver) and copper concentrate. It was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Kasibu, Nueva Vizcaya, Philippines.

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OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM)

Gold At 4,500 USD/Oz: Seven Ideas To Look At In the Gold Space

We provide an update on the valuation of seven cheap gold companies at 4,500 USD/oz. Our selection of stocks ranges from large caps to small caps,...

Sameer Taneja

Newmont Mining (NEM US): The World's Premier Gold Miner At ~10% FCF Yield

NEM US: World's largest gold miner. Record $3.1B quarterly FCF. $6B buyback. 2026 trough; production ramps to 6Moz+ by 2028. 10.8x PE/6.0 EV-EBITDA...

Sameer Taneja

Barrick Gold (B US): An Option For Investors Looking At Diversified Asset, Large-Cap Gold Exposure

Barrick: net cash $2B, 9x P/E,4.2x EV-EBITDA at $4,500 gold. IPO of North American assets the re-rating catalyst. Fourmile — 13Moz at 17g/t — is...

Sameer Taneja

Apex Mining (APX PM): Cheap Play On Gold, With Massive Growth Angle

APX PM is the Philippines 2nd-largest gold producer, with 77% NI growth in FY25 and high growth in future years. High gold price leverage, 6.6%...

Sameer Taneja

Curator's Cut: Crude Reality, Reshuffling Gold Miners & Banking on Japanese Fintech

This Curator's Cut highlights energy market outlook, gold miners coverage, and opportunities in Japanese financials from Smartkarma insights....

Pranav Rao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Gold At 4,500 USD/Oz: Seven Ideas To Look At In the Gold Space

We provide an update on the valuation of seven cheap gold companies at 4,500 USD/oz. Our selection of stocks ranges from large caps to small caps,...

Sameer Taneja

Newmont Mining (NEM US): The World's Premier Gold Miner At ~10% FCF Yield

NEM US: World's largest gold miner. Record $3.1B quarterly FCF. $6B buyback. 2026 trough; production ramps to 6Moz+ by 2028. 10.8x PE/6.0 EV-EBITDA...

Sameer Taneja

Barrick Gold (B US): An Option For Investors Looking At Diversified Asset, Large-Cap Gold Exposure

Barrick: net cash $2B, 9x P/E,4.2x EV-EBITDA at $4,500 gold. IPO of North American assets the re-rating catalyst. Fourmile — 13Moz at 17g/t — is...

Sameer Taneja

Apex Mining (APX PM): Cheap Play On Gold, With Massive Growth Angle

APX PM is the Philippines 2nd-largest gold producer, with 77% NI growth in FY25 and high growth in future years. High gold price leverage, 6.6%...

Sameer Taneja

Curator's Cut: Crude Reality, Reshuffling Gold Miners & Banking on Japanese Fintech

​This Curator's Cut highlights energy market outlook, gold miners coverage, and opportunities in Japanese financials from Smartkarma insights....

Pranav Rao

This Curator's Cut highlights energy market outlook, gold miners coverage, and opportunities in Japanese financials from Smartkarma insights....