External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 220 as we expect slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas production</li><li>Q3FY26 quarter’s reported EBITDA at ~INR 173bn (-8.7% YoY, -2.1% QoQ) and PAT at ~INR 84bn (+1.6% YoY, -15.0% QoQ) were marginally lower than our estimates due to lower-than-expected crude oil production volume</li><li>Petronet LNG: Our REDUCE recommendation on Petronet LNG (PLNG) with a revised TP of INR 275 is based on (1) muted volume growth, (2) delayed capacity expansion, and (3) subdued return ratios resulting from the high capex cycle expected in the next five years</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 220 as we expect slower ramp-up in oil &amp; gas productionQ3FY26 quarter’s reported EBITDA at ~INR 173bn (-8.7% YoY, -2.1% QoQ) and PAT at ~INR 84bn (+1.6% YoY, -15.0% QoQ) were marginally lower than our estimates due to lower-than-expected crude oil production volumePetronet LNG: Our REDUCE recommendation on Petronet LNG (PLNG) with a revised TP of INR 275 is based on (1) muted volume growth, (2) delayed capacity expansion, and (3) subdued return ratios resulting from the high capex cycle expected in the next five yearsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Petronet LNG, Indraprastha Gas

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are not fighting the trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring a few potential concerns</li>
<li>Concerns: notably global Consumer Staples (KXI-US) near 5.5-month RS highs, crude oil prices bottoming, and gasoline prices (UGA) breaking out from a 3.5+ year downtrend</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities. Remain Overweight Emerging Markets, Taiwan, Korea, Spain, Japan, and Canada</li>
</ul>


We are not fighting the trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring a few potential concerns
Concerns: notably global Consumer Staples (KXI-US) near 5.5-month RS highs, crude oil prices bottoming, and gasoline prices (UGA) breaking out from a 3.5+ year downtrend
Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities. Remain Overweight Emerging Markets, Taiwan, Korea, Spain, Japan, and Canada


Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The US-Iran conflict and naval deployments recently triggered a 16% crude surge, shattering the muted Q3 growth expectations.</li>
<li>Rising oil prices now generate massive revenue windfalls for upstream extractors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20751:1" rel="noopener">Oil India Ltd (OINL IN)</a> , while simultaneously squeezing marketing margins for major fuel retailers.</li>
<li>Pivot toward upstream giants and complex refiners to capture geopolitical alpha, as the "Iran Premium" continues to reshape Indian energy market valuations.</li>
</ul>


The US-Iran conflict and naval deployments recently triggered a 16% crude surge, shattering the muted Q3 growth expectations.
Rising oil prices now generate massive revenue windfalls for upstream extractors like Oil India Ltd (OINL IN) , while simultaneously squeezing marketing margins for major fuel retailers.
Pivot toward upstream giants and complex refiners to capture geopolitical alpha, as the "Iran Premium" continues to reshape Indian energy market valuations.


US-Iran Conflict: An Opportunity or Threat for Indian Oil Companies?

<ul><li>Bajaj FinServ: Bajaj FinServ (BJFIN) delivered a strong performance during H1FY26 across all its key operating businesses</li><li>BAGIC clocked 9% YoY GDPI growth, even as profitability clocked in marginally ahead of estimates on the back of higher realized capital gains and a favourable loss ratio</li><li>BALIC continued to benefit from a strategic shift in product mix, witnessing strong 47% VNB growth and a 560bps improvement in margins, despite 8% decline in APE</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj FinServ: Bajaj FinServ (BJFIN) delivered a strong performance during H1FY26 across all its key operating businessesBAGIC clocked 9% YoY GDPI growth, even as profitability clocked in marginally ahead of estimates on the back of higher realized capital gains and a favourable loss ratioBALIC continued to benefit from a strategic shift in product mix, witnessing strong 47% VNB growth and a 560bps improvement in margins, despite 8% decline in APEContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj FinServ, ONGC, BSE, Bharat Forge, Ather Energy...

<ul><li>We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher refining GRMs</li><li>Upstream segment earnings to decline by 0.2% YoY but grow by 6.3% QoQ owing to sequential rise in crude prices and rupee depreciation</li><li>We expect high LNG spot rate to have an adverse impact on natural gas offtake volume from Industrial and Commercial customers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher refining GRMsUpstream segment earnings to decline by 0.2% YoY but grow by 6.3% QoQ owing to sequential rise in crude prices and rupee depreciationWe expect high LNG spot rate to have an adverse impact on natural gas offtake volume from Industrial and Commercial customersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Gas (Q2FY26 Result Preview): Strong refining margins to lift earnings

India

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) is India's largest crude oil and natural gas company, engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. It supplies crude oil, natural gas, and value-added products to major Indian oil and gas refining and marketing companies. The company is headquartered in New Delhi, India, and was founded on August 14, 1956.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC IN)

HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Petronet LNG, Indraprastha Gas

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 220 as we expect slower ramp-up in oil & gas production Q3FY26...

HDFC Securities

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives; Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities....

Vermilion Research

US-Iran Conflict: An Opportunity or Threat for Indian Oil Companies?

US-Iran conflict sparks 16% crude surge, benefiting upstream extractors like Oil India Ltd but squeezing fuel retailers' margins. Geopolitical...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj FinServ, ONGC, BSE, Bharat Forge, Ather Energy...

BAGIC clocked 9% YoY GDPI growth, even as profitability clocked in marginally ahead of estimates on the back of higher realized capital gains and a...

HDFC Securities

Oil and Gas (Q2FY26 Result Preview): Strong refining margins to lift earnings

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

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HSIE Results Daily: ONGC, Petronet LNG, Indraprastha Gas

ONGC: We maintain our REDUCE rating on ONGC, with a target price of INR 220 as we expect slower ramp-up in oil & gas production Q3FY26...

HDFC Securities

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives: Energy, Materials, Real Estate, Telecom, Utes

Opportunity in Global Cyclical Value and Defensives; Actionable Themes: Energy, Materials, Transports, Real Estate, Telecom, and Utilities....

Vermilion Research

US-Iran Conflict: An Opportunity or Threat for Indian Oil Companies?

​US-Iran conflict sparks 16% crude surge, benefiting upstream extractors like Oil India Ltd but squeezing fuel retailers' margins. Geopolitical...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj FinServ, ONGC, BSE, Bharat Forge, Ather Energy...

BAGIC clocked 9% YoY GDPI growth, even as profitability clocked in marginally ahead of estimates on the back of higher realized capital gains and a...

HDFC Securities

Oil and Gas (Q2FY26 Result Preview): Strong refining margins to lift earnings

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by 46.8% YoY, +14% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due...

HDFC Securities

US-Iran conflict sparks 16% crude surge, benefiting upstream extractors like Oil India Ltd but squeezing fuel retailers' margins. Geopolitical...