Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  Indian IPOs delivered some decent performance while HK IPOs are likely to pick up as well.</li>
<li>There were a number of placement and blocks this week, after the expiry of lockups in a few Indian names.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front,  Indian IPOs delivered some decent performance while HK IPOs are likely to pick up as well.
There were a number of placement and blocks this week, after the expiry of lockups in a few Indian names.


ECM Weekly (20th Nov 2022) - I-Tail, Growatt, Lygend, SinoHytech, Meituan/Tencent, Olympus, Paytm

<ul>
<li>MUFG aims to raise around US$255m via selling around 1% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:356:1" rel="noopener">Olympus Corp (7733 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The stock has been doing well recently and MUFG has sold before. Although, the recent earnings updates didn’t go down too well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


MUFG aims to raise around US$255m via selling around 1% of Olympus Corp (7733 JP).
The stock has been doing well recently and MUFG has sold before. Although, the recent earnings updates didn’t go down too well.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.


Olympus Placement - Had Been Doing Well, till Recently

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TSE announced its first large FFW rebalance under new rules and Market Segmentation. ~1,000 names see FFW drop 5% or more. 100+ rise 5+%. Reverse funding trades are significant.</li>
<li>Top BUY flow: Toyota, Olympus, Daiichi Sankyo, Tokio Marine, JP Holdings with an average of 4.0 days' ADV to buy. Softbank/9984, MitCorp, Hitachi, Suzuki, Marubeni average 4.8 days to SELL.</li>
<li>493 names start their phased weight reduction out of TOPIX because they do not meet the hurdle for minimum trading value. <em>And... Shinsei is the most impressive SELL name.</em>
</li>
</ul>


The TSE announced its first large FFW rebalance under new rules and Market Segmentation. ~1,000 names see FFW drop 5% or more. 100+ rise 5+%. Reverse funding trades are significant.
Top BUY flow: Toyota, Olympus, Daiichi Sankyo, Tokio Marine, JP Holdings with an average of 4.0 days' ADV to buy. Softbank/9984, MitCorp, Hitachi, Suzuki, Marubeni average 4.8 days to SELL.
493 names start their phased weight reduction out of TOPIX because they do not meet the hurdle for minimum trading value. And... Shinsei is the most impressive SELL name.



TOPIX October 2022 Rebal - BIG Names with BIG Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>At the October rebalance, there are 970 stocks that will have a lower FFW while 114 stocks will have a higher FFW. 493 stocks will undergo a Phased Weight Reduction.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.54% resulting in a one-way trade of ¥1.815tn. 500 stocks have over 4 days ADV to trade, 100 stocks have over 9 days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Setting the threshold at +/-US$50m to trade, the stocks with inflows have outperformed the stocks with outflows by 6.5% over the last four months.</li>
</ul>


At the October rebalance, there are 970 stocks that will have a lower FFW while 114 stocks will have a higher FFW. 493 stocks will undergo a Phased Weight Reduction.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.54% resulting in a one-way trade of ¥1.815tn. 500 stocks have over 4 days ADV to trade, 100 stocks have over 9 days ADV to trade.
Setting the threshold at +/-US$50m to trade, the stocks with inflows have outperformed the stocks with outflows by 6.5% over the last four months.


TOPIX October Rebalance: BIG One With ¥1.8tn a Side to Trade

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmdc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28673:1" rel="noopener">JMDC Inc (4483 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/omron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15904:1" rel="noopener">Omron Corp (6645 JP)</a> . </li>
<li>The company plans to use the proceeds to repay some of its debt that was taken on earlier to acquire other companies.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



JMDC Inc (4483 JP) aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest shareholder, Omron Corp (6645 JP) . 
The company plans to use the proceeds to repay some of its debt that was taken on earlier to acquire other companies.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


JMDC Placement - Lots to like but past Deals Have Been Mixed and It Is Expensive

Japan

OLYMPUS CORPORATION manufactures optoelectronic products. The Company's products include cameras, video sets, endoscopes for medicine and industrial use, microscopes, analytical equipment, office communication systems, and laseroptical scanners.

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Olympus (7733 JT)

ECM Weekly (20th Nov 2022) - I-Tail, Growatt, Lygend, SinoHytech, Meituan/Tencent, Olympus, Paytm

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Olympus Placement - Had Been Doing Well, till Recently

MUFG aims to raise around US$255m via selling around 1% of Olympus Corp (7733 JP). In this note, we run the deal through our framework.

Sumeet Singh

TOPIX October 2022 Rebal - BIG Names with BIG Flows

The annual TOPIX FFW rebalance is larger this year than normal, with the twist that 493 names will now start to be phased out completely.

Travis Lundy

TOPIX October Rebalance: BIG One With ¥1.8tn a Side to Trade

Lower FFWs on 970 stocks and higher FFWs on 114 stocks will result in one-way turnover of 2.52% leading to a one-way trade of ¥1.8tn at the close...

Brian Freitas

JMDC Placement - Lots to like but past Deals Have Been Mixed and It Is Expensive

JMDC Inc (4483 JP) aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest...

Sumeet Singh

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