Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Semiconductor industry expected to grow by 10%</li><li>US semiconductor manufacturing expansion faces challenges</li><li>Trump and China agree to a 90-day pause on new tariffs, with uncertainty about future outcomes</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Semiconductor industry expected to grow by 10%US semiconductor manufacturing expansion faces challengesTrump and China agree to a 90-day pause on new tariffs, with uncertainty about future outcomesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 118: Weekly Update (Tariffs), AI Budget Spend, Semis and Saudi's

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We assume that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vanguard-international-semi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16011:1" rel="noopener">Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT)</a> will see an upside in its 2Q25 outlook by a few percentage points.</li>
<li>The DDIC (Display Driver IC) segment appears relatively flat, while PMIC (Power Management IC) may experience slight growth.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vanguard-international-semi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16011:1" rel="noopener">Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT)</a> and other Taiwanese semiconductor Fabs are not subject to the 125% tariff imposed by Beijing on U.S. products. </li>
</ul>


We assume that Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT) will see an upside in its 2Q25 outlook by a few percentage points.
The DDIC (Display Driver IC) segment appears relatively flat, while PMIC (Power Management IC) may experience slight growth.

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT) and other Taiwanese semiconductor Fabs are not subject to the 125% tariff imposed by Beijing on U.S. products. 


Vanguard (5347.TT): 2Q25 Outlook Slightly Upbeat; US Tariffs Remain a Negative Factor.

Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
Contrarian Cashflows is built around the principles of respect, honesty, open-mindedness and a touch of humour. Please consider these principles in any engagement interaction with me, other readers and the content on this blog. Misbehaviour is not tolerated.
If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

<ul>
<li>Welcome back to Monday Delights!</li>
<li>This is your Monday morning dose of inspiration. Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li>
<li>The ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li>
</ul>


Welcome back to Monday Delights!
This is your Monday morning dose of inspiration. Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
The ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.


Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and the immense growth spurt happened all right.</li><li>This last year was the year of AI through and through.</li><li>There’s a deep irony because anything related to AI had a phenomenal year while everything else languished. Surprisingly, SOXX underperformed the SPY, which seemed unheard of for the year that SOXX’s largest components ripped 100%+.</li></ul>

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and the immense growth spurt happened all right.This last year was the year of AI through and through.There’s a deep irony because anything related to AI had a phenomenal year while everything else languished. Surprisingly, SOXX underperformed the SPY, which seemed unheard of for the year that SOXX’s largest components ripped 100%+.

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1347 HK/NXPI US/TXN US/ADI US/ON US: China industry associations send warning over sourcing US chips (+/+/-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>ACMR US: Limited impact from the addition of its subsidiaries to entity-list (/)</li>
<li>ZTO US: Parcel volume delivery grew 32% yoy in the prior week (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1347 HK/NXPI US/TXN US/ADI US/ON US: China industry associations send warning over sourcing US chips (+/+/-/-/-/-)
ACMR US: Limited impact from the addition of its subsidiaries to entity-list (/)
ZTO US: Parcel volume delivery grew 32% yoy in the prior week (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/NXPI US/TXN US/ADI US/ON US/ACMR US/ZTO US/1810 HK/AAPL US

United States

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

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On Semiconductor (ON US)

Episode 118: Weekly Update (Tariffs), AI Budget Spend, Semis and Saudi's

The semiconductor industry is anticipated to grow by 10%, but US manufacturing expansion faces challenges and restrictions on Chinese chip makers,...

The Circuit

Vanguard (5347.TT): 2Q25 Outlook Slightly Upbeat; US Tariffs Remain a Negative Factor.

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor expected to see slight upside in 2Q25 outlook, with PMIC segment showing potential growth and no impact from Beijing's...

Patrick Liao

Monday Delight: 03/02/25

Welcome back to Monday Delights! This is your Monday morning dose of inspiration. Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that...

Contrarian Cashflows

2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and...

Fabricated Knowledge

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/NXPI US/TXN US/ADI US/ON US/ACMR US/ZTO US/1810 HK/AAPL US

China industry associations warn about sourcing US chips, limited impact on ACMR from entity-list, ZTO sees 32% yoy growth in parcel delivery volume.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Episode 118: Weekly Update (Tariffs), AI Budget Spend, Semis and Saudi's

The semiconductor industry is anticipated to grow by 10%, but US manufacturing expansion faces challenges and restrictions on Chinese chip makers,...

The Circuit

Vanguard (5347.TT): 2Q25 Outlook Slightly Upbeat; US Tariffs Remain a Negative Factor.

​Vanguard Intl Semiconductor expected to see slight upside in 2Q25 outlook, with PMIC segment showing potential growth and no impact from Beijing's...

Patrick Liao

Monday Delight: 03/02/25

Welcome back to Monday Delights! This is your Monday morning dose of inspiration. Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that...

Contrarian Cashflows

2025 AI & Semiconductor Outlook

Last year, I called 2024 the year of AI’s adolescence, and that was quite a call. I “predicted” growing pains or a tremendous growth spurt, and...

Fabricated Knowledge

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1347 HK/NXPI US/TXN US/ADI US/ON US/ACMR US/ZTO US/1810 HK/AAPL US

​China industry associations warn about sourcing US chips, limited impact on ACMR from entity-list, ZTO sees 32% yoy growth in parcel delivery volume.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor expected to see slight upside in 2Q25 outlook, with PMIC segment showing potential growth and no impact from Beijing's...

China industry associations warn about sourcing US chips, limited impact on ACMR from entity-list, ZTO sees 32% yoy growth in parcel delivery volume.