IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japan Catalyst’s <a href="https://www.japancatalyst.com/pdf/JCI_TAISHO_20231201_eng.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">press release</a> supports the idea of a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a> MBO but not the proposed offer price as it implies a P/B less than 1.0x.</li>
<li>The press release is a discovery exercise encouraging other like-minded shareholders to show their hand. The shares are trading marginally above the JPY8,620 offer.</li>
<li>While justifiable, a bump is unlikely due to the lack of a substantial activist shareholder, irrevocables, no competing bid and the offer’s 55.5% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
</ul>


Japan Catalyst’s press release supports the idea of a Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP) MBO but not the proposed offer price as it implies a P/B less than 1.0x.
The press release is a discovery exercise encouraging other like-minded shareholders to show their hand. The shares are trading marginally above the JPY8,620 offer.
While justifiable, a bump is unlikely due to the lack of a substantial activist shareholder, irrevocables, no competing bid and the offer’s 55.5% premium to the undisturbed price.


Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): Japan Catalyst Pushes for a Bump

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a> has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY8,620 per share, a 55.5% premium to the undisturbed (24 November). </li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 66.67% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>Irrevocables represent a 40.31% ownership ratio. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 44% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive vs. historical and peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP) has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY8,620 per share, a 55.5% premium to the undisturbed (24 November). 
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 66.67% ownership ratio.
Irrevocables represent a 40.31% ownership ratio. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 44% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive vs. historical and peer multiples.


Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY8,620

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ono-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8979:1" rel="noopener">Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP)</a> reported double-digit growth in revenue, operating profit, and net profit in H1FY24. Opdivo recorded revenue of ¥75B (+7% YoY). Forxiga revenue jumped 36% YoY to ¥36B.</li>
<li>Encouraged by strong performance of Forxiga and receipt of lump-sum income associated with the patent litigation settlement, Ono has raised FY24 guidance by mid-to-high single-digit percentage across all the parameters.</li>
<li>The company aims to overcome Opdivo patent cliff and accelerate growth by launching multiple products in the U.S. and Europe with large addressable markets.</li>
</ul>



Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) reported double-digit growth in revenue, operating profit, and net profit in H1FY24. Opdivo recorded revenue of ¥75B (+7% YoY). Forxiga revenue jumped 36% YoY to ¥36B.
Encouraged by strong performance of Forxiga and receipt of lump-sum income associated with the patent litigation settlement, Ono has raised FY24 guidance by mid-to-high single-digit percentage across all the parameters.
The company aims to overcome Opdivo patent cliff and accelerate growth by launching multiple products in the U.S. and Europe with large addressable markets.


Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Record H1 Earnings; Forxiga Is Flying High; FY24 Guidance Updated

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiichi-sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3014:1" rel="noopener">Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)</a> reported strong H1FY24 results, with double-digit growth in revenue, core operating profit, and net profit, mainly driven by its global mainstay product Enhertu.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo and Merck entered into a global development and commercialization agreement for three of Daiichi Sankyo’s drug candidates, for a total potential consideration of up to $22 billion.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo has raised FY24 revenue, core operating profit, and net profit forecast by 7%, 11%, and 17%, respectively. FY24 revenue is expected to grow 21% YoY to ¥1,550 billion.</li>
</ul>



Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) reported strong H1FY24 results, with double-digit growth in revenue, core operating profit, and net profit, mainly driven by its global mainstay product Enhertu.
Daiichi Sankyo and Merck entered into a global development and commercialization agreement for three of Daiichi Sankyo’s drug candidates, for a total potential consideration of up to $22 billion.
Daiichi Sankyo has raised FY24 revenue, core operating profit, and net profit forecast by 7%, 11%, and 17%, respectively. FY24 revenue is expected to grow 21% YoY to ¥1,550 billion.


Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Landmark ADC Deal Pushes FY24 Revenue Guidance Higher

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiichi-sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3014:1" rel="noopener">Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)</a> reported a 25% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY24, mainly driven by oncology drug Enhertu. The company reiterated FY24 guidance, with revenue and operating profit growing double-digit.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo’s drug candidate datopotamab deruxtecan demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful progression-free survival benefit in certain types of breast cancer patients in pivotal phase 3 trial.</li>
<li>Enhertu is well-positioned for geography and indication expansion as well as market share gain. Strengthening oncology portfolio and rich late-stage pipeline entail significant growth opportunity for the company.</li>
</ul>



Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) reported a 25% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY24, mainly driven by oncology drug Enhertu. The company reiterated FY24 guidance, with revenue and operating profit growing double-digit.
Daiichi Sankyo’s drug candidate datopotamab deruxtecan demonstrated statistically significant and clinically meaningful progression-free survival benefit in certain types of breast cancer patients in pivotal phase 3 trial.
Enhertu is well-positioned for geography and indication expansion as well as market share gain. Strengthening oncology portfolio and rich late-stage pipeline entail significant growth opportunity for the company.


Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Strong Start of FY24; Partnered Oncology Drug Candidate Hits First Goal

Japan

ONO PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD. manufactures and sells pharmaceuticals.  The Company mainly researches and develops prescription drugs.

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Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP)

Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): Japan Catalyst Pushes for a Bump

While justifiable, a bump is unlikely due to the lack of a substantial activist shareholder, irrevocables, no competing bid and the offer’s 55.5%...

Arun George

Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY8,620

The minimum acceptance condition requires a 44% minority acceptance rate. The offer is attractive vs. historical and peer multiples.

Arun George