Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Four-Plus years ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/open-house-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19550:1" rel="noopener">Open House (3288 JP)</a> bought the stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pressance-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17783:1" rel="noopener">Pressance Corp (3254 JP)</a> owned by its embattled CEO (who had been arrested for a scandal). </li>
<li>Four years ago, Open House launched a partial tender and capital injection to go to ~65%. A takeout was a matter of time.</li>
<li>That time has come. Today Open House announced a Tender Offer to take Pressance fully-private. This is an easy deal. A done deal. Done too cheap.</li>
</ul>


Four-Plus years ago, Open House (3288 JP) bought the stake in Pressance Corp (3254 JP) owned by its embattled CEO (who had been arrested for a scandal). 
Four years ago, Open House launched a partial tender and capital injection to go to ~65%. A takeout was a matter of time.
That time has come. Today Open House announced a Tender Offer to take Pressance fully-private. This is an easy deal. A done deal. Done too cheap.


Open House Finally Takes Out Pressance (3254) - Done Deal Done Cheap

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pressance-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17783:1" rel="noopener">Pressance Corp (3254 JP)</a> announced a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/open-house-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19550:1" rel="noopener">Open House (3288 JP)</a> at JPY2,390 per share, a 22.1% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.  </li>
<li>The low minimum acceptance condition (2.3 million or 3.25% ownership ratio) suggests a done deal. The offer runs from 14 January to 26 February (30 business days).</li>
</ul>



Pressance Corp (3254 JP) announced a tender offer from Open House (3288 JP) at JPY2,390 per share, a 22.1% premium to the last close.
While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.  
The low minimum acceptance condition (2.3 million or 3.25% ownership ratio) suggests a done deal. The offer runs from 14 January to 26 February (30 business days).


Pressance (3254 JP): Open House (3288 JP) JPY2,390 Tender Offer a Done Deal

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were index review announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and STAR100 Index later in the week.</li>
<li>Another week of outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK)</a> as inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US)</a> continue.</li>
</ul>


There were index review announcements for the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the STAR50 INDEX and STAR100 Index later in the week.
Another week of outflows for Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK) as inflows to iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US) continue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/open-house-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19550:1" rel="noopener">Open House</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20269:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Chemical</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koei-tecmo-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20277:1" rel="noopener">Koei Tecmo Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kose-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18009:1" rel="noopener">Kose Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oji-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11348:1" rel="noopener">Oji Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-reit-investment-cb077099-8006-45e4-83cf-6ac7f19cd384" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11283:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Reit Investment</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tosoh-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7011:1" rel="noopener">Tosoh Corp</a> will have passive selling at the close on 29 February.</li>
<li>Short interest has increased on all these stocks over the last few weeks and there has been big underperformance versus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX Index</a>.</li>
<li>Cumulative excess volume has increased on the stocks and there will be short covering in the last week of the month.</li>
</ul>



BayCurrent Consulting, Open House, Sumitomo Chemical, Koei Tecmo Holdings, Kose Corp, Oji Holdings, Daiwa House Reit Investment and Tosoh Corp will have passive selling at the close on 29 February.
Short interest has increased on all these stocks over the last few weeks and there has been big underperformance versus the Nikkei 225 Index and TOPIX Index.
Cumulative excess volume has increased on the stocks and there will be short covering in the last week of the month.


Japan - Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

<ul>
<li>There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.</li>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.</li>
</ul>


There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
The review period for the March rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

Japan

Open House Co.,Ltd. provides real estate services. The Company offers services including renting, buying, selling and appraising real estate.

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Open House (3288 JP)

Open House Finally Takes Out Pressance (3254) - Done Deal Done Cheap

Open House bought control of Pressance four years ago. Now they are buying it out. It's clearly being done at the wrong price but Open House,...

Travis Lundy

Pressance (3254 JP): Open House (3288 JP) JPY2,390 Tender Offer a Done Deal

While the offer is below book value, it represents an all-time high and broadly aligns with the mid-point of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range.

Arun George

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Japan - Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

8 stocks in Japan will have big passive selling at the close on 29 February. Short interest has increased on the stocks and cumulative excess...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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