Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Now that Lee Jae-Myung has become new South Korean President, the uncertainty revolving who will lead South Korea in the next five years is now over.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the market for the remainder of 2025.</li>
<li>The four investment themes include Korean Holdcos/Quasi Holdcos, Korean Cultural Contents, Securities, and SK Group Companies.</li>
</ul>


Now that Lee Jae-Myung has become new South Korean President, the uncertainty revolving who will lead South Korea in the next five years is now over.
In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the market for the remainder of 2025.
The four investment themes include Korean Holdcos/Quasi Holdcos, Korean Cultural Contents, Securities, and SK Group Companies.


Lee Jae-Myung Becomes the New South Korean President - Four Investment Themes That Could Outperform

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2025.</li>
<li>Among the 38 holdcos/opcos, there have been several pairs that have resulted in significant price ratio divergence which could provide trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal.</li>
<li>Given the resumption in short selling in Korea, there is going to be a lot more interest in pair trades in Korea, especially among the major Korean holdcos/opcos. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2025.
Among the 38 holdcos/opcos, there have been several pairs that have resulted in significant price ratio divergence which could provide trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal.
Given the resumption in short selling in Korea, there is going to be a lot more interest in pair trades in Korea, especially among the major Korean holdcos/opcos. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2025

<ul>
<li>We are positive on Orion Corp. Regardless of the overall market movement next year (up or down), we believe Orion Corp could outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months.</li>
<li>The company has millions of loyal customers in major overseas countries including China, Russia, and Vietnam. Despite difficult operating conditions, Orion continues to generate stable growth in sales and profits.</li>
<li>Orion Corp's valuations are attractive. Orion Corp is currently trading at 2024E EV/EBITDA of 4.4x (42% lower than average valuation multiple from 2019 to 2023).</li>
</ul>


We are positive on Orion Corp. Regardless of the overall market movement next year (up or down), we believe Orion Corp could outperform KOSPI in the next 6-12 months.
The company has millions of loyal customers in major overseas countries including China, Russia, and Vietnam. Despite difficult operating conditions, Orion continues to generate stable growth in sales and profits.
Orion Corp's valuations are attractive. Orion Corp is currently trading at 2024E EV/EBITDA of 4.4x (42% lower than average valuation multiple from 2019 to 2023).


<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2025.</li>
<li>A whopping 87% (33 out of 38) holdcos/quasi holdcos outperformed their opco counterparts in the past three months, which is one of the best ever in the past two decades.</li>
<li>This appears to be one of the classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" trading opportunities. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2025.
A whopping 87% (33 out of 38) holdcos/quasi holdcos outperformed their opco counterparts in the past three months, which is one of the best ever in the past two decades.
This appears to be one of the classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" trading opportunities. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2025

In this insight, we provide a comprehensive list of 24 stocks in Korea that provided differentiated dividends to its shareholders in 2020. These 24 stocks on average have been big alpha generators this year and they are up on average 32.4% YTD, outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 9.2% and 4.6%, respectively YTD. The average dividend yields of these 24 stocks are 2.3%.<div class="content-highlight">
All in all, the differentiated dividend paying stocks have been big alpha generators this year. However, we want to emphasize that the past performance do not predict future results and that these alpha generating returns may not occur again next year for this group of stocks. Among the 24 stocks below, we would focus on the top 5-10 market caps for a potential basket related strategy including the differentiated dividend paying stocks in Korea.
The top five market cap stocks in this list include the following:
<ul>
<li>Kumho Petrochem</li>
<li>Doosan</li>
<li>Zinus</li>
<li>Seah Besteel</li>
<li>Orion Holdings</li>
</ul>
</div>

In this insight, we provide a comprehensive list of 24 stocks in Korea that provided differentiated dividends to its shareholders in 2020. These 24 stocks on average have been big alpha generators this year and they are up on average 32.4% YTD, outperforming KOSPI and KOSDAQ that are up 9.2% and 4.6%, respectively YTD. The average dividend yields of these 24 stocks are 2.3%.
All in all, the differentiated dividend paying stocks have been big alpha generators this year. However, we want to emphasize that the past performance do not predict future results and that these alpha generating returns may not occur again next year for this group of stocks. Among the 24 stocks below, we would focus on the top 5-10 market caps for a potential basket related strategy including the differentiated dividend paying stocks in Korea.
The top five market cap stocks in this list include the following:

Kumho Petrochem
Doosan
Zinus
Seah Besteel
Orion Holdings



Alpha Generation from Differentiated Dividend Paying Stocks in Korea

South Korea

Orion Holdings Corp. manufactures snacks products. The Company produces and sells candies, gums, chocolates, pies, and other products. Orion Holdings also develops smart systems. Orion Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Orion Holdings (001800 KS)

Lee Jae-Myung Becomes the New South Korean President - Four Investment Themes That Could Outperform

In this insight, we discuss four investment themes (related to Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President) that could outperform the...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2025

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

2024 High Conviction: Orion Corp

We are positive on Orion Corp. Regardless of the overall market movement next year (up or down), we believe Orion Corp could outperform KOSPI in...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2025

A whopping 87% (33 out of 38) holdcos/quasi holdcos outperformed their opco counterparts in the past three months, which is one of the best ever in...

Douglas Kim

Alpha Generation from Differentiated Dividend Paying Stocks in Korea

We provide a comprehensive list of 24 stocks in Korea that provided differentiated dividends to its shareholders in 2020. These stocks on average...

Douglas Kim

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