Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 31sr July, Chinese property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joy-city-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10958:1" rel="noopener">Joy City (207 HK)</a> announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1023/2025102300920.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Document's now out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.</li>
</ul>


On the 31sr July, Chinese property play Joy City (207 HK) announced a Scheme buyback, @ $0.62/share (declared final), a 67.57% premium; but arguably a 158% premium to undisturbed.
Yes, this was a ~70% discount to NAV. However, Joy City had traded at P/B of 0.14x, on average, the past five years. Earnings have trended south in that timeframe.

The Scheme Document's now out, with a Court Meeting on the 17th November and expected payment around the 4th December. The IFA (Somerley) says "fair &amp; reasonable". It probably is.


Joy City (207 HK): 17th November Vote On COFCO's Offer

<ul>
<li>After suspending shares on the 30th September, SOE-Backed, Chinese property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minmetals-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1917:1" rel="noopener">Minmetals Land (230 HK)</a>, has now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1023/2025102300765.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer, by way of a Scheme buyback, from parent China Minmetals. </li>
<li>The Offer Price of HK$1/share, declared final, is a punchy 185.71% premium to last close. And also a 179% premium over the 30th June 2025 NAV. Optically, looks solid also.</li>
<li>Disinterested shareholders hold 38.12%. They should be happy with terms. This should wrap up (perhaps) late February 2026. </li>
</ul>


After suspending shares on the 30th September, SOE-Backed, Chinese property play Minmetals Land (230 HK), has now announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme buyback, from parent China Minmetals. 
The Offer Price of HK$1/share, declared final, is a punchy 185.71% premium to last close. And also a 179% premium over the 30th June 2025 NAV. Optically, looks solid also.
Disinterested shareholders hold 38.12%. They should be happy with terms. This should wrap up (perhaps) late February 2026. 


Minmetals Land (230 HK): An Offer Premium Of 179% To NAV? Yes Please

<ul>
<li>Consumer electronics play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idt-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5352:1" rel="noopener">IDT International (167 HK)</a> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1022/2025102200722.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to unfold. </li>
<li>On the 2nd October, IDT announced that Tiger Energy Technology, which holds 72.1% of share out, has been placed into receivership. Tiger Energy is 50% owned by Tiger Chen (ED).</li>
<li>IDT was recently suspended for 581 days after failing to publish its annual results. Upon resumption of trading, predicated on a re-organisation, the major shareholder promptly exited. Without telling anyone. </li>
</ul>


Consumer electronics play IDT International (167 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to unfold. 
On the 2nd October, IDT announced that Tiger Energy Technology, which holds 72.1% of share out, has been placed into receivership. Tiger Energy is 50% owned by Tiger Chen (ED).
IDT was recently suspended for 581 days after failing to publish its annual results. Upon resumption of trading, predicated on a re-organisation, the major shareholder promptly exited. Without telling anyone. 


IDT (167 HK): Expect Long-Dated MGO As Major Shareholder Placed In Receivership

<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rpmglobal-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16492:1" rel="noopener">RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iress-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15342:1" rel="noopener">Iress Ltd (IRE AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-kangji-medical-instrument-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28938:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP), RPMGlobal Holdings Limited (RUL AU) and Genting Malaysia (GENM MK).
Key updates/news took place on: Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), Iress Ltd (IRE AU), and Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. (9997 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Mandarin Oriental, RPMGlobal, Genting, Mayne Pharma, Iress, Kangji Medical

<ul>
<li>As with large, clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng (11 HK)</a>'s annualised spreads to widen (i.e. gross spread remains static) as investors hit their full quota early on. </li>
<li>The question is whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soft99-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18486:1" rel="noopener">Soft99 (4464 JP)</a>'s MBO Bidco raises the price to  ¥3,200 saying "let's split the difference", and that would make some people happy. It's doubtful they will.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK)</a> has benefited a little from the HK$500mn buyback programme announced last October. But a HK$11bn run up in market cap YTD? This looks stretched to me.</li>
</ul>


As with large, clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, expect Hang Seng (11 HK)'s annualised spreads to widen (i.e. gross spread remains static) as investors hit their full quota early on. 
The question is whether Soft99 (4464 JP)'s MBO Bidco raises the price to  ¥3,200 saying "let's split the difference", and that would make some people happy. It's doubtful they will.

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK) has benefited a little from the HK$500mn buyback programme announced last October. But a HK$11bn run up in market cap YTD? This looks stretched to me.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

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Joy City (207 HK): 17th November Vote On COFCO's Offer

Trading wide at a 3.8%/111.4% gross/annualised spread. To be expected. If small-cap illiquid arbs are your bent, get involved here. Otherwise, this...

David Blennerhassett

Minmetals Land (230 HK): An Offer Premium Of 179% To NAV? Yes Please

Clean deal. If small-cap illiquid arbs are your bent get involved here. I'd pay up to HK$0.95/share, assuming end of February 2026 payment.

David Blennerhassett

IDT (167 HK): Expect Long-Dated MGO As Major Shareholder Placed In Receivership

Consumer electronics play IDT International (167 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code. But don't expect your usual Offer to...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Mandarin Oriental, RPMGlobal, Genting, Mayne Pharma, Iress, Kangji Medical

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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