Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.
We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Healthy demand outlook: Demand for consumer discretionary remains intact for PAGE even though it is tepid for others – due to value for money products with reasonable prices to hold on to consumers.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Margins: The management undertook price hikes by ~8% during Dec ’21 in response to input cost increases, the effect of which can be attributed to this quarter.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Distribution reach expansion: PAGE will continue to maintain the pace of outlet expansion both across EBOs and MBOs and is looking to reach ~1,50,000 MBO outlets in the next couple of years and double the EBO count from 1,000 EBOs in the next 4 years.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Healthy demand outlook: Demand for consumer discretionary remains intact for PAGE even though it is tepid for others – due to value for money products with reasonable prices to hold on to consumers.Margins: The management undertook price hikes by ~8% during Dec ’21 in response to input cost increases, the effect of which can be attributed to this quarter.Distribution reach expansion: PAGE will continue to maintain the pace of outlet expansion both across EBOs and MBOs and is looking to reach ~1,50,000 MBO outlets in the next couple of years and double the EBO count from 1,000 EBOs in the next 4 years.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Page Industries - Strong Set of Numbers; Long-Term Growth Visible

<ul>
<li>Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.</li>
<li>Post listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN)</a> should be added to the LargeCap segment while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (1058656D IN)</a> should be added to the MidCap segment.</li>
<li>On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.</li>
</ul>


Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.
Post listing, Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN) should be added to the LargeCap segment while Delhivery (1058656D IN) should be added to the MidCap segment.
On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.


India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%.</li>
<li>Value managers are increasing underweights, with today’s level of -5.52% below benchmark the lowest on record.  Key underweights are Reliance Industries, Infosys, HDFC Limited, Bajaj Finance and Bharti Airtel</li>
<li>For Aggressive Growth funds, Infosys was a key driver behind the recent spike in exposure, with 8.6% of funds buying in to the stock and average weights increasing by +0.42%.</li>
</ul>


The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%.
Value managers are increasing underweights, with today’s level of -5.52% below benchmark the lowest on record.  Key underweights are Reliance Industries, Infosys, HDFC Limited, Bajaj Finance and Bharti Airtel
For Aggressive Growth funds, Infosys was a key driver behind the recent spike in exposure, with 8.6% of funds buying in to the stock and average weights increasing by +0.42%.


India: Value/Growth Divide Hits New Peak Among GEM Funds.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.
Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Urban Brand

India

Page Industries Limited develops, produces, and distributes branded underwear for men, women, and children in India and Sri Lanka.

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Page Industries (PAG IN)

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

With 9 trading days to go in the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from Mid to Large and 7 stocks moving the other way. 2 new listings will be...

Brian Freitas

Page Industries - Strong Set of Numbers; Long-Term Growth Visible

Revenue of Rs 1,111 Cr (our estimates - Rs 1090 Cr), up 26% YoY, were led by volume growth of 9% YoY to 50 Mn pieces as well as a richer price mix.

Axis Direct

India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see quite a few changes to the Large/Mid/Small Cap classification for Indian stocks. The upward...

Brian Freitas

India: Value/Growth Divide Hits New Peak Among GEM Funds.

The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%. Value managers go max underweight,...

Steven Holden

Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Urban Brand

Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is...

Sumeet Singh

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