Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be seven ADDs and no DELs for the March 2025 rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$320mn for March 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.2%.</li>
</ul>


The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be seven ADDs and no DELs for the March 2025 rebal event.
We expect a one-way flow of US$320mn for March 2025, which translates to a turnover of 5.2%.


Quiddity MV Jr Gold Miners Mar25 Rebalance Flows: 7 ADDs No DELETEs And $640mm Round Trip Flows

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Pan American Silver (PAAS) reported FY24 revenues and EBITDA of US$2.8bn and US$1.0bn, up 22% and 51% y-o-y, respectively. The company achieved record net operating and free cash flows of US$724m and US$401m and moved to a net cash position of US$84m at end FY24. We have adjusted our estimates to reflect the results, FY25 operating and cost guidance and strong commodity prices, maintaining our discounted cash flow (DCF)-based valuation of PAAS at US$26.0/share. On our estimates, the stock trades at an undemanding FY25e EV/EBITDA of 6.4x and yields 1.8%.</p>

Pan American Silver (PAAS) reported FY24 revenues and EBITDA of US$2.8bn and US$1.0bn, up 22% and 51% y-o-y, respectively. The company achieved record net operating and free cash flows of US$724m and US$401m and moved to a net cash position of US$84m at end FY24. We have adjusted our estimates to reflect the results, FY25 operating and cost guidance and strong commodity prices, maintaining our discounted cash flow (DCF)-based valuation of PAAS at US$26.0/share. On our estimates, the stock trades at an undemanding FY25e EV/EBITDA of 6.4x and yields 1.8%.

Pan American Silver — Finishing the year on a strong note

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. </li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. We like it because a lot of money tracks it.</li>
<li>Below we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the Index Rebal Event in March 2025.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. 
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. We like it because a lot of money tracks it.
Below we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the Index Rebal Event in March 2025.


[Quiddity Index Feb25] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Mar25 Rebal: One Big Delete, 8.8% One Way.

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners Index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.</li>
<li>Below we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the Index Rebal Event in March 2025. </li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners Index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.
Below we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the Index Rebal Event in March 2025. 


[Quiddity Index Jan25] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Mar 25 Rebal: Multiple Adds, 4.4% 1-Way Turnover

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>No constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in December. But there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$269m. There are 8 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest flows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-american-silver-corp-ce7d7ca6-59e0-44f1-958f-e5b679750b06" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25937:1" rel="noopener">Pan American Silver</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/b2gold-corp-fee72de9-9219-4f08-9e4a-eff9db71e070" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33420:1" rel="noopener">B2Gold</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alamos-gold-inc-75888dd6-1d65-427e-950c-393b5d90ab2e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38624:1" rel="noopener">Alamos Gold</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmony-gold-mining-co-ltd-d293fe94-bbca-4158-9fbf-32bc457dfbcd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28569:1" rel="noopener">Harmony Gold Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eldorado-gold-corp-e1b47e21-d9a5-4258-bd94-49cbea7538ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38673:1" rel="noopener">Eldorado Gold</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k92-mining-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43238:1" rel="noopener">K92 Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iamgold-corp-5935fec7-fa4d-4edb-bfdb-971f391ebb16" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38714:1" rel="noopener">IAMGOLD</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/endeavour-silver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38789:1" rel="noopener">Endeavour Silver</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emerald-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17495:1" rel="noopener">Emerald Resources</a>.</li>
</ul>


No constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in December. But there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$269m. There are 8 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest flows are Evolution Mining, Pan American Silver, Westgold Resources, B2Gold, Alamos Gold, Harmony Gold Mining, Eldorado Gold, K92 Mining, IAMGOLD, Endeavour Silver and Emerald Resources.


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Big Flow in Some Stocks

United States

Pan American Silver Corporation is a primary silver producer.   The Company has seven operating mines in Mexico,  Peru, Argentina and Bolivia and several development projects in USA,  Mexico, Peru and Argentina.

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Pan American Silver (PAAS US)

Quiddity MV Jr Gold Miners Mar25 Rebalance Flows: 7 ADDs No DELETEs And $640mm Round Trip Flows

The MVIS Junior Gold Miner Index rebal was announced Friday. A couple of surprises and the DELETE missed because a drop in float. $320mm a side and...

Travis Lundy

Pan American Silver — Finishing the year on a strong note

Pan American Silver (PAAS) reported FY24 revenues and EBITDA of US$2.8bn and US$1.0bn, up 22% and 51% y-o-y, respectively. The company achieved...

Edison Investment Research

[Quiddity Index Feb25] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Mar25 Rebal: One Big Delete, 8.8% One Way.

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is an odd duck. It deletes names when they get too big. For that, it can be interesting, so the Quiddity team...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index Jan25] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Mar 25 Rebal: Multiple Adds, 4.4% 1-Way Turnover

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index rebalances twice a year. It is an interesting index as it has an upper cutoff AND caps. For March, there's one...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Big Flow in Some Stocks

No constituent changes but float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.6% and in a round-trip trade of US$269m. There...

Brian Freitas

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