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Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>The government of Colombia seeks to accelerate the country’s path toward net zero emissions, while investors question the implications for the country’s oil &amp; gas industry.</li><li>This report is the third in a three-part WTR Energy Focus series on Colombia. It follows Oil &amp; Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth… and Striking a Balance Between Energy Security and Fiscal Stability.</li><li>Colombia’s natural gas demand will increase due to an energy transition and upstream operators with gas exposure realizing strong gas prices in an undersupplied market (as shown on right).</li></ul>

The government of Colombia seeks to accelerate the country’s path toward net zero emissions, while investors question the implications for the country’s oil &amp; gas industry.This report is the third in a three-part WTR Energy Focus series on Colombia. It follows Oil &amp; Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth… and Striking a Balance Between Energy Security and Fiscal Stability.Colombia’s natural gas demand will increase due to an energy transition and upstream operators with gas exposure realizing strong gas prices in an undersupplied market (as shown on right).

Energy Focus: Colombia Series (3 of 3) - The Path to Net Zero and Implications for Oil & Gas

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24 February.</li>
<li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.13 per share: Completing divestment of Blackspur – Blackspur has been sold for A$81.6 mm, after tax provisions and net debt adjustments.</li>
<li>Calima will distribute A$80 mm (~A$12.6 per share) as dividends.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24 February.
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.13 per share: Completing divestment of Blackspur – Blackspur has been sold for A$81.6 mm, after tax provisions and net debt adjustments.
Calima will distribute A$80 mm (~A$12.6 per share) as dividends.


<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete.</li>
<li>The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release.</li>
<li>Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete.
The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release.
Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days.


<ul><li>Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil &amp; gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.</li><li>Relative to the size of national oil &amp; gas reserves, Colombia's onshore discoveries in recent years may look marginal at best.</li><li>However, the size of the discoveries can be meaningful for smaller operators.</li></ul>

Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil &amp; gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.Relative to the size of national oil &amp; gas reserves, Colombia's onshore discoveries in recent years may look marginal at best.However, the size of the discoveries can be meaningful for smaller operators.

Oil & Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth Despite Colombia's Top-Down Challenges

<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.</li>
<li>The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.</li>
<li>Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.
The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.


Canada

Parex Resources Inc. is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company owns interests in Colombia and Trinidad & Tobago.

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Parex Resources (PXT CN)

Energy Focus: Colombia Series (3 of 3) - The Path to Net Zero and Implications for Oil & Gas

The government of Colombia seeks to accelerate the country’s path toward net zero emissions, while investors question the implications for the...

Water Tower Research

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/03/2024

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/02/2024

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is...

Auctus Advisors

Oil & Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth Despite Colombia's Top-Down Challenges

Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil & gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.

Water Tower Research

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered...

Auctus Advisors

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