Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil &amp; gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.</li><li>Relative to the size of national oil &amp; gas reserves, Colombia's onshore discoveries in recent years may look marginal at best.</li><li>However, the size of the discoveries can be meaningful for smaller operators.</li></ul>

Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil &amp; gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.Relative to the size of national oil &amp; gas reserves, Colombia's onshore discoveries in recent years may look marginal at best.However, the size of the discoveries can be meaningful for smaller operators.

Oil & Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth Despite Colombia's Top-Down Challenges

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.</li>
<li>The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.</li>
<li>Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.
The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.


<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Growing production.</li>
<li>Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production.</li>
<li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Increasing dividend distribution to ~10% yield - 2Q23 production was 4,152 boe/d, above the estimates provided previously (4,125 boe/d).</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Growing production.
Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production.
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Increasing dividend distribution to ~10% yield - 2Q23 production was 4,152 boe/d, above the estimates provided previously (4,125 boe/d).


<ul><li>Chariot (CHAR LM) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: One step closer to FID – Production ramp-up quicker than expected – Chariot has completed the Front-End Engineering and Design (FEED) on the key components of the Anchois gas development project.</li><li>The FEED confirms a plateau production of 105 mmcf/d from three wells including the existing Anchois-2 well, subsea infrastructure to an onshore central processing facility and an onshore gas pipeline to the Maghreb Europe Gas Pipeline (tie-in agreement already signed).</li><li>Neptune Energy: FY22 results – FY22 production was 135 mboe/d.</li></ul>

Chariot (CHAR LM) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: One step closer to FID – Production ramp-up quicker than expected – Chariot has completed the Front-End Engineering and Design (FEED) on the key components of the Anchois gas development project.The FEED confirms a plateau production of 105 mmcf/d from three wells including the existing Anchois-2 well, subsea infrastructure to an onshore central processing facility and an onshore gas pipeline to the Maghreb Europe Gas Pipeline (tie-in agreement already signed).Neptune Energy: FY22 results – FY22 production was 135 mboe/d.

<ul><li>Over January, production was ~1,800 boe/d with short term outages due to weather at Ombu and Pepper.</li><li>This compares with production rate of 1,900-2,000 in November which included an initial high contribution at East Pepper (that has since declined, as expected).</li><li>4Q22 production of 3,727 boe/d including 1,132 boe/d at Thorsby and 2,595 boe/d at Brooks was below our expectations of 3,970 boe/d.</li></ul>

Over January, production was ~1,800 boe/d with short term outages due to weather at Ombu and Pepper.This compares with production rate of 1,900-2,000 in November which included an initial high contribution at East Pepper (that has since declined, as expected).4Q22 production of 3,727 boe/d including 1,132 boe/d at Thorsby and 2,595 boe/d at Brooks was below our expectations of 3,970 boe/d.

Canada

Parex Resources Inc. is an oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company owns interests in Colombia and Trinidad & Tobago.

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Parex Resources (PXT CN)

Oil & Gas Operators Guiding for Bottom-Up Growth Despite Colombia's Top-Down Challenges

Despite Colombia facing challenges growing oil & gas reserves on a national level, the country’s independent operators are scaling up.

Water Tower Research

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 04/08/2023

Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 10/03/2023

One step closer to FID – Production ramp-up quicker than expected – Chariot has completed the Front-End Engineering and Design (FEED) on the key...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 03/02/2023

4Q22 production of 3,727 boe/d including 1,132 boe/d at Thorsby and 2,595 boe/d at Brooks was below our expectations of 3,970 boe/d.

Auctus Advisors

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