Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>PC Partners has solid bull base line support to stage a fresh bull cycle. Old high support and key lows rest at the 7.50 level. </li>
<li>RSI is due to rally off of the bull wedge breakout support. Buy volumes are constructive on strength with weak sell volume on recent weakness (underlying bullish).</li>
<li>12.50 and 14 bull targets with the later the hurdle to clear to open the way higher.</li>
</ul>


PC Partners has solid bull base line support to stage a fresh bull cycle. Old high support and key lows rest at the 7.50 level. 
RSI is due to rally off of the bull wedge breakout support. Buy volumes are constructive on strength with weak sell volume on recent weakness (underlying bullish).
12.50 and 14 bull targets with the later the hurdle to clear to open the way higher.


PC Partner (1263) 7.50 Buy Zone for New Chart Highs

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pc Partner posted record results with revenue and profits increasing by 99%% and 1,047% respectively. The final 1.61 HKD dividend was below my 2 HKD estimate but still solid.</li>
<li>Cash grew to 3.1 b HKD vs a market cap of 4.37 b HKD, or 70% of market cap. By end of FY22 cash could be 100% of market cap.</li>
<li>The outlook is mixed with short-term ASP pressure into 2Q22 but longer-term optimism into 2H22. As always visibility is low but offset by a cheap valuation and large cash buffer.</li>
</ul>


Pc Partner posted record results with revenue and profits increasing by 99%% and 1,047% respectively. The final 1.61 HKD dividend was below my 2 HKD estimate but still solid.
Cash grew to 3.1 b HKD vs a market cap of 4.37 b HKD, or 70% of market cap. By end of FY22 cash could be 100% of market cap.
The outlook is mixed with short-term ASP pressure into 2Q22 but longer-term optimism into 2H22. As always visibility is low but offset by a cheap valuation and large cash buffer.


PC Partner: Record FY21 Results and Strong Dividend. Cash Is 70% of Market Cap. Fair Value 18 HKD.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> announces an off-market buyback, there will be demand to replace the shares bought back, re-based higher.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a>is trading cheap as Elliott throws in the towel.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> selldown could be larger than people expect, and it is a decent chance to put on the arb trade. </li>
</ul>


If BHP Group (BHP AU) announces an off-market buyback, there will be demand to replace the shares bought back, re-based higher.

Bank of East Asia (23 HK)is trading cheap as Elliott throws in the towel.
The Sydney Airport (SYD AU) selldown could be larger than people expect, and it is a decent chance to put on the arb trade. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank Of East Asia, Sydney Airport, Boral

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pc-partner-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8492:1" rel="noopener">PC Partner (1263 HK)</a> issued a positive profit alert 15/12/2021.</li>
<li>Company will report FY21 results in 60 days which will be the best ever. 1H22 is on track to show growth YoY. </li>
<li>Forecast exceptional dividend to celebrate 25-yr since founding and 10-yr since IPO. </li>
</ul>



PC Partner (1263 HK) issued a positive profit alert 15/12/2021.
Company will report FY21 results in 60 days which will be the best ever. 1H22 is on track to show growth YoY. 
Forecast exceptional dividend to celebrate 25-yr since founding and 10-yr since IPO. 


Preview PC Partner FY21 Earnings: Record Profit + Record Dividend + Strong Outlook for FY22

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pc-partner-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8492:1" rel="noopener">PC Partner (1263 HK)</a> is a "funny" stock to follow. On a full-year basis, the company has always been profitable since its IPO in 2012. Yet investors value the company as if it is perenially going out of business. The company mostly trades at a single-digit P/E and has zero sell-side coverage. Management has been mostly shareholder-friendly and paid out very regular dividends to long-term shareholders.Since our last insight in August we have received many questions from old and new investors: can this last? Surely, this must be a one-off profit for Pc Partner? Are the numbers real? How do you value this business? What is going on here? Why is it so cheap?After weeks of speaking to competitors and industry contacts in Taiwan, the US, and Singapore we are fundamentally more optimistic that this period of supernatural profits is not behind us for a while. We are making this statement knowing full-well that the industry that Pc Partner is a part of can be very fickle and the outlook can change quickly.All that being said we believe (oh oh, the most dangerous words!)this time is different. Supply-chain constraints and strong gaming demand coupled with TSMC implementing the largest price increase in a decade have meant that 3Q21 pricing has continued to increase over 1H21. We are now entering seasonally the strongest quarter with all indications that pricing will remain exceptional. Bottom line: Pc Partner has been wrongly valued by investors for too long. We are raising our forecast for FY21 profits substantially, make some FY22 scenario analysis for the bears and raise our Fair Value to 18 HKD, or 143% upside from here. *our headline is not a typo: At yesterday's close of 7.4 HKD, this stock trades at 1.2x P/E and 40% FY21 dividend yield. More details are below the fold.

PC Partner (1263 HK) is a "funny" stock to follow. On a full-year basis, the company has always been profitable since its IPO in 2012. Yet investors value the company as if it is perenially going out of business. The company mostly trades at a single-digit P/E and has zero sell-side coverage. Management has been mostly shareholder-friendly and paid out very regular dividends to long-term shareholders.Since our last insight in August we have received many questions from old and new investors: can this last? Surely, this must be a one-off profit for Pc Partner? Are the numbers real? How do you value this business? What is going on here? Why is it so cheap?After weeks of speaking to competitors and industry contacts in Taiwan, the US, and Singapore we are fundamentally more optimistic that this period of supernatural profits is not behind us for a while. We are making this statement knowing full-well that the industry that Pc Partner is a part of can be very fickle and the outlook can change quickly.All that being said we believe (oh oh, the most dangerous words!)this time is different. Supply-chain constraints and strong gaming demand coupled with TSMC implementing the largest price increase in a decade have meant that 3Q21 pricing has continued to increase over 1H21. We are now entering seasonally the strongest quarter with all indications that pricing will remain exceptional. Bottom line: Pc Partner has been wrongly valued by investors for too long. We are raising our forecast for FY21 profits substantially, make some FY22 scenario analysis for the bears and raise our Fair Value to 18 HKD, or 143% upside from here. *our headline is not a typo: At yesterday's close of 7.4 HKD, this stock trades at 1.2x P/E and 40% FY21 dividend yield. More details are below the fold. 

PC Partner: Just the Wrong Price; Raising Fair Value Est to 18 HKD; 1.2x P/E and 40% Div Yield FY21

Hong Kong

PC Partner Group Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and sells computer electronics, including video graphics cards, motherboards, and mini-PCs under brands like ZOTAC, Inno3D, and Manli. The company also provides electronics manufacturing services for various consumer electronic products. Headquartered in Singapore, it was founded in 1997.

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PC Partner (PCPG SP)

PC Partner (1263) 7.50 Buy Zone for New Chart Highs

PC Partners has solid bull base line support to stage a fresh bull cycle. Old high support and key lows rest at the 7.50 level.

Thomas Schroeder

PC Partner: Record FY21 Results and Strong Dividend. Cash Is 70% of Market Cap. Fair Value 18 HKD.

Pc Partner has delivered record revenues and profits in FY21. The dividend yield on FY21 results is over 20%. Fair Value remains unchanged at 18 HKD.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank Of East Asia, Sydney Airport, Boral

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Preview PC Partner FY21 Earnings: Record Profit + Record Dividend + Strong Outlook for FY22

Pc Partner issued a positive profit alert last month. We preview its FY21 results due in 60 days and expect more of the same in FY22. On an ex-cash...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

PC Partner: Just the Wrong Price; Raising Fair Value Est to 18 HKD; 1.2x P/E and 40% Div Yield FY21

Pc Partner has been wrongly valued for too long. We significantly raise FY21 earnings, show how FY22 earnings could look like, and present a matrix...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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