Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 4 May, Singapore-based builder and operator of aluminum high-speed boats <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a> announced a Voluntary Unconditional Offer from its Chairman and Dymon Group at S$.82/share. </li>
<li>The Offer Price was a lifetime high and likely sufficient to push for compulsory acquisition. However, the Offerors have now sweetened terms to S$0.83/share. </li>
<li>As to be expected, this is trading to terms. Volume remains light.</li>
</ul>


On the 4 May, Singapore-based builder and operator of aluminum high-speed boats Penguin International (PBS SP) announced a Voluntary Unconditional Offer from its Chairman and Dymon Group at S$.82/share. 
The Offer Price was a lifetime high and likely sufficient to push for compulsory acquisition. However, the Offerors have now sweetened terms to S$0.83/share. 
As to be expected, this is trading to terms. Volume remains light.


Penguin Int'l (PBS SP): Chairman & Dymon's Bumped & Final Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a> disclosed a revised and final voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia, Executive Chairman and Managing Director at S$0.83, a 16.9% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>Unlike the previous offer, the final offer will not be reduced for the FY22 dividend. The final offer price is attractive and represents a 10-year share price high. </li>
<li>An attractive offer makes it also likely that the offeror hits the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold, which requires a minority acceptance rate of around 44%.</li>
</ul>



Penguin International (PBS SP) disclosed a revised and final voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia, Executive Chairman and Managing Director at S$0.83, a 16.9% premium to the undisturbed price. 
Unlike the previous offer, the final offer will not be reduced for the FY22 dividend. The final offer price is attractive and represents a 10-year share price high. 
An attractive offer makes it also likely that the offeror hits the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold, which requires a minority acceptance rate of around 44%.


Penguin International (PBS SP): Dymon Asia’s Unconditional and Final Offer of S$0.83

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following an <a href="https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/wing-tai-an-under-appreciated-property-play-ripe-for-privatisation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Staits Times article</a> this week - or perhaps just a coincidence - property play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wing-tai-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19015:1" rel="noopener">Wing Tai Holdings (WINGT SP)</a> popped 8%. </li>
<li>Yesterday's close of S$1.47/share, compares to its book value of S$4.24 (as at 31 Dec 2023). Cash on hand is S$684mn against borrowings of ~S$770mn.</li>
<li>And the Cheng family has been buying up shares, almost every day since last September. That stake is currently 61.45%. Another <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wing-tai-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11882:1" rel="noopener">Wing Tai Malaysia (WING MK)</a> privatisation in the making?</li>
</ul>


Following an Staits Times article this week - or perhaps just a coincidence - property play Wing Tai Holdings (WINGT SP) popped 8%. 
Yesterday's close of S$1.47/share, compares to its book value of S$4.24 (as at 31 Dec 2023). Cash on hand is S$684mn against borrowings of ~S$770mn.
And the Cheng family has been buying up shares, almost every day since last September. That stake is currently 61.45%. Another Wing Tai Malaysia (WING MK) privatisation in the making?


<ul>
<li>Back in December 2022, agri-food play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a> spun-off its 62.5% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austasia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36655:1" rel="noopener">AustAsia Group (2425 HK)</a>, as discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/qAzLD" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd: Trading Cheap After AustAsia In-Specie Distribution</a> 
</li>
<li>Last Friday, Bloomberg reported its key shareholder, Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively control ~75.5%, are considering taking Japfa private.</li>
<li>The family <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/20240311%20Japfa%20Ltd%20Holding%20announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=791556" target="_blank" rel="noopener">acknowledges</a> it has been approached by various financiers, investment banks, but nothing definitive has emerged. Still, Japfa is worth a revisit.</li>
</ul>


Back in December 2022, agri-food play Japfa Ltd (JAP SP) spun-off its 62.5% stake in AustAsia Group (2425 HK), as discussed in Japfa Ltd: Trading Cheap After AustAsia In-Specie Distribution 

Last Friday, Bloomberg reported its key shareholder, Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively control ~75.5%, are considering taking Japfa private.
The family acknowledges it has been approached by various financiers, investment banks, but nothing definitive has emerged. Still, Japfa is worth a revisit.


Japfa (JAP SP): Impressive Gain. But No Firm Offer

<ul>
<li>For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September 2023, 8 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$2bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in September was 37%. The average YTD is 35%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sept 2023: JMDC, Pact, Takisawa, Golden Eagle Energy, Dic Corp

Singapore

Penguin International Limited operates as an integrated marine and offshore services company. The Company specializes in design, construction, and operation of high-speed aluminum ships. Penguin International owns and operates a fleet of vessels as well as aluminum shipbuilding yards. Penguin International serves customers worldwide.

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Penguin International (PBS SP)

Penguin Int'l (PBS SP): Chairman & Dymon's Bumped & Final Offer

On balance, I would expect compulsory acquisition to be triggered. If you can buy a spread or two below terms, do so. This deal is unconditional....

David Blennerhassett