US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Ibex sold its entire 28% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepkor-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40337:1" rel="noopener">Pepkor Holdings (PPH SJ)</a> for $1.5bn in a Secondary Offering completed on 22 July 2025.</li>
<li>The free float is expected to increase by 28 percentage points causing a significant upweight in Global and South African indices at the close of 25 July 2025.</li>
<li>Aggregated passive fund demand is estimated at 103m shares, $160m and 15 ADV at the close of 25 July.</li>
</ul>


Ibex sold its entire 28% stake in Pepkor Holdings (PPH SJ) for $1.5bn in a Secondary Offering completed on 22 July 2025.
The free float is expected to increase by 28 percentage points causing a significant upweight in Global and South African indices at the close of 25 July 2025.
Aggregated passive fund demand is estimated at 103m shares, $160m and 15 ADV at the close of 25 July.


Pepkor Holdings (PPH SJ): Upweight in Global & South African Indices Following $1.5B Offering

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

<ul>
<li>Following Ibex’s disposal of its 28% stake in Pepcor earlier this week, Pepcor (PPH) will be upweighted in the closing auction today.</li>
<li>PPH’s free float will increase to 99.82% from 71.61%. Passive funds and hedgers will need to increase their exposure by between 37 and 47bps.</li>
<li>In addition, active managers looking to maintain their active positioning would need to buy PPH, failure to do so would result in an underweight of 39bps (assuming a Capped ALSI benchmark and an active weight of 0%).</li>
</ul>


Following Ibex’s disposal of its 28% stake in Pepcor earlier this week, Pepcor (PPH) will be upweighted in the closing auction today.
PPH’s free float will increase to 99.82% from 71.61%. Passive funds and hedgers will need to increase their exposure by between 37 and 47bps.
In addition, active managers looking to maintain their active positioning would need to buy PPH, failure to do so would result in an underweight of 39bps (assuming a Capped ALSI benchmark and an active weight of 0%).


JSE Indexation Research: PPH to Be Upweighted in Closing Auction Today, PPH Rebalance Yesterday

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last week Friday, JSE indices were rebalanced in the closing auction. Turnover for the day was R53.7bn, R37bn traded in the closing auction (68%).</li>
<li>Turnover at the June rebalance was R58bn, 66% traded in the closing auction.</li>
<li>Foreign activity in MRP on Friday suggests that there was a large buyer, despite muted index weight changes.</li>
</ul>


Last week Friday, JSE indices were rebalanced in the closing auction. Turnover for the day was R53.7bn, R37bn traded in the closing auction (68%).
Turnover at the June rebalance was R58bn, 66% traded in the closing auction.
Foreign activity in MRP on Friday suggests that there was a large buyer, despite muted index weight changes.


JSE Sep24 Rebalance: Foreigners Bid up MRP, PPH Trades 11 Times ADV

South Africa

Pepkor Holdings Ltd is a retailer, focused on customers in the defensive discount and value retail segments. The Company's product range is biased towards basic products and services including apparel, general merchandise, cellular, financial services products, household goods and building materials.

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Pepkor Holdings (PPH SJ)