Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Last evening post market close, the results of the JPX Nikkei 400 review were announced. There are 41 inclusions and 40 deletions to bring the number of constituents back to 400 and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 August.</p><p>This is the list of inclusions and exclusions.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 396.578px;"><h3>Inclusions</h3></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 349.422px;"><h3>Exclusions</h3></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1417.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mirait Holdings Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">1333.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Maruha Nichiro Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1942.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kandenko Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">2222.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Kotobuki Spirits Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">1973.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">NEC Networks &amp; System Integration Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">3086.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">J.Front Retailing Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">2281.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Prima Meat Packers Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">3197.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Skylark Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3244.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Samty Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4185.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">JSR Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3254.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Pressance Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4189.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">KH Neochem Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3880.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Daio Paper Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4324.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Dentsu Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3923.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Rakus Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4530.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">3941.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Rengo Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4666.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Park24 Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4205.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Zeon Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">4755.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Rakuten Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4552.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">JCR Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5401.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nippon Steel Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4553.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Towa Pharmaceutical Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5411.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">JFE Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4587.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">PeptiDream Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">5801.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Furukawa Electric Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4812.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Information Services International-Dentsu Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6481.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">THK Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4848.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Fullcast Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6588.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Toshiba Tec Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">4901.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Fujifilm Holdings Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6753.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Sharp Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">5706.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6770.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Alps Alpine Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6055.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Japan Material Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">6877.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Obara Group Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6183.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7261.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Mazda Motor Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6235.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Optorun Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7458.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Daiichikosho Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6361.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Ebara Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7731.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nikon Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6544.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">7751.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Canon Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">6727.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Wacom Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">8267.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Aeon Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7177.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">GMO Financial Holdings Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9001.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Tobu Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7516.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9003.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Sotetsu Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">7947.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">FP Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9005.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Tokyu Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8194.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Life Corp</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9007.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Odakyu Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8425.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mizuho Leasing Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9008.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keio Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8595.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">JAFCO Group Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9009.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keisei Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8892.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Es-con Japan Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9020.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">East Japan Railway Co</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">8919.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Katitas Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9021.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">West Japan Railway Co</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9069.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Senko Group Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9024.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Seibu Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9090.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Maruwa Unyu Kikan Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9041.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9101.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Nippon Yusen KK</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9044.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nankai Electric Railway Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9104.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9045.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Keihan Holdings Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9143.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">SG Holdings Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9048.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Nagoya Railroad Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9375.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Kintetsu World Express Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9201.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Japan Airlines Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9418.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">USEN NEXT HOLDINGS Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9202.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">ANA Holdings Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9517.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">eREX Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9603.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">H.I.S. Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9519.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Renova Inc</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;">9706.T</td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;">Japan Airport Terminal Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 75.2969px;">9787.T</td>
<td style="width: 321.281px;">Aeon Delight Co Ltd</td>
<td style="width: 84.3281px;"></td>
<td style="width: 265.094px;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn.</p><p>Among the inclusions, the largest impacts will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daio-paper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3211:1" rel="noopener">Daio Paper Corp (3880 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-leasing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12780:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Leasing Co (8425 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26070:1" rel="noopener">SG Holdings (9143 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katitas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26073:1" rel="noopener">Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-elevator-service-holdi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25910:1" rel="noopener">Japan Elevator Service Holdi (6544 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kandenko-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3726:1" rel="noopener">Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senko-group-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5287:1" rel="noopener">SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (9069 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7703:1" rel="noopener">Fp Corp (7947 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prima-meat-packers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8035:1" rel="noopener">Prima Meat Packers (2281 JP)</a>.</p><p>Deletions with the largest impacts will be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/odakyu-electric-railway-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5405:1" rel="noopener">Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nankai-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:633:1" rel="noopener">Nankai Electric Railway Co (9044 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keio-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1223:1" rel="noopener">Keio Corp (9008 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sotetsu-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20274:1" rel="noopener">Sotetsu Holdings (9003 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tobu-railway-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15463:1" rel="noopener">Tobu Railway (9001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3357:1" rel="noopener">Tokyu Corp (9005 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-tec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17697:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Tec (6588 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisamitsu-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17008:1" rel="noopener">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP)</a>.</p><p>There are changes proposed to the index, mainly on selection criteria for stocks and on qualitative criteria including appointment of independent outside directors and of female corporate directors.</p>

Last evening post market close, the results of the JPX Nikkei 400 review were announced. There are 41 inclusions and 40 deletions to bring the number of constituents back to 400 and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 August.This is the list of inclusions and exclusions.








Inclusions
Exclusions


1417.T
Mirait Holdings Corp
1333.T
Maruha Nichiro Corp


1942.T
Kandenko Co Ltd
2222.T
Kotobuki Spirits Co Ltd


1973.T
NEC Networks &amp; System Integration Corp
3086.T
J.Front Retailing Co Ltd


2281.T
Prima Meat Packers Ltd
3197.T
Skylark Holdings Co Ltd


3244.T
Samty Co Ltd
4185.T
JSR Corp


3254.T
Pressance Corp
4189.T
KH Neochem Co Ltd


3880.T
Daio Paper Corp
4324.T
Dentsu Group Inc


3923.T
Rakus Co Ltd
4530.T
Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co Inc


3941.T
Rengo Co Ltd
4666.T
Park24 Co Ltd


4205.T
Zeon Corp
4755.T
Rakuten Group Inc


4552.T
JCR Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd
5401.T
Nippon Steel Corp


4553.T
Towa Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
5411.T
JFE Holdings Inc


4587.T
PeptiDream Inc
5801.T
Furukawa Electric Co Ltd


4812.T
Information Services International-Dentsu Ltd
6481.T
THK Co Ltd


4848.T
Fullcast Holdings Co Ltd
6588.T
Toshiba Tec Corp


4901.T
Fujifilm Holdings Corp
6753.T
Sharp Corp


5706.T
Mitsui Mining and Smelting Co Ltd
6770.T
Alps Alpine Co Ltd


6055.T
Japan Material Co Ltd
6877.T
Obara Group Inc


6183.T
BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings Inc
7261.T
Mazda Motor Corp


6235.T
Optorun Co Ltd
7458.T
Daiichikosho Co Ltd


6361.T
Ebara Corp
7731.T
Nikon Corp


6544.T
Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co Ltd
7751.T
Canon Inc


6727.T
Wacom Co Ltd
8267.T
Aeon Co Ltd


7177.T
GMO Financial Holdings Inc
9001.T
Tobu Railway Co Ltd


7516.T
Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd
9003.T
Sotetsu Holdings Inc


7947.T
FP Corp
9005.T
Tokyu Corp


8194.T
Life Corp
9007.T
Odakyu Electric Railway Co Ltd


8425.T
Mizuho Leasing Co Ltd
9008.T
Keio Corp


8595.T
JAFCO Group Co Ltd
9009.T
Keisei Electric Railway Co Ltd


8892.T
Es-con Japan Ltd
9020.T
East Japan Railway Co


8919.T
Katitas Co Ltd
9021.T
West Japan Railway Co


9069.T
Senko Group Holdings Co Ltd
9024.T
Seibu Holdings Inc


9090.T
Maruwa Unyu Kikan Co Ltd
9041.T
Kintetsu Group Holdings Co Ltd


9101.T
Nippon Yusen KK
9044.T
Nankai Electric Railway Co Ltd


9104.T
Mitsui OSK Lines Ltd
9045.T
Keihan Holdings Co Ltd


9143.T
SG Holdings Co Ltd
9048.T
Nagoya Railroad Co Ltd


9375.T
Kintetsu World Express Inc
9201.T
Japan Airlines Co Ltd


9418.T
USEN NEXT HOLDINGS Co Ltd
9202.T
ANA Holdings Inc


9517.T
eREX Co Ltd
9603.T
H.I.S. Co Ltd


9519.T
Renova Inc
9706.T
Japan Airport Terminal Co Ltd


9787.T
Aeon Delight Co Ltd




Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn.Among the inclusions, the largest impacts will be on Daio Paper Corp (3880 JP), Mizuho Leasing Co (8425 JP), SG Holdings (9143 JP), Katitas Co Ltd (8919 JP), Aeon Delight (9787 JP), Japan Elevator Service Holdi (6544 JP), Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP), SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (9069 JP), Fp Corp (7947 JP) and Prima Meat Packers (2281 JP).Deletions with the largest impacts will be Odakyu Electric Railway (9007 JP), Nankai Electric Railway Co (9044 JP), Keio Corp (9008 JP), Sotetsu Holdings (9003 JP), Tobu Railway (9001 JP), Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP), Tokyu Corp (9005 JP), Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP), Toshiba Tec (6588 JP) and Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP).There are changes proposed to the index, mainly on selection criteria for stocks and on qualitative criteria including appointment of independent outside directors and of female corporate directors.

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Big Turnover, Big Impact & A Market Consultation

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>For the week from 22-26 March, Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-int-l-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22803:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Int’L Holding (1579 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Communication Services, Financials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaskawa-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2458:1" rel="noopener">Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE Inc (4477 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/peptidream-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13514:1" rel="noopener">Peptidream Inc (4587 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monex-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14211:1" rel="noopener">Monex Group Inc (8698 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-pacific-international-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13475:1" rel="noopener">Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16032:1" rel="noopener">Nexon (3659 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a>. Shorts increased in the Industrials sectors, and decreased in the Financials, Communication Services and Health Care sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a> during the week. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unimicron-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18778:1" rel="noopener">Unimicron Technology (3037 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-semiconductor-memory" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9373:1" rel="noopener">Elite Semiconductor Memory (3006 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">AU Optronics (2409 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>. </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.For the week from 22-26 March, Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Baidu (9888 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Yihai Int’L Holding (1579 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Lenovo (992 HK) while there was short covering on Meituan (3690 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK), Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) and China Literature (772 HK). Shorts increased in the Communication Services, Financials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP), BASE Inc (4477 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) and Peptidream Inc (4587 JP) while shorts decreased on Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP), Monex Group Inc (8698 JP), Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP), Nexon (3659 JP) and Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP). Shorts increased in the Industrials sectors, and decreased in the Financials, Communication Services and Health Care sectors.In Korea, shorts decreased on Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS) and Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS) during the week. Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Largan Precision (3008 TT), Pegatron Corp (4938 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) while shorts were covered on Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), Elite Semiconductor Memory (3006 TT), AU Optronics (2409 TT) and TSMC (2330 TT). 

Asia Short Interest: Baidu, Kuaishou, Smoore, Yaskawa, BASE, Toshiba, Celltrion, Samsung, Largan

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Supun Walpola

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Forensic Accounting

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>This insight has been produced jointly by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/shifara-samsudeen-acma-cgma" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3297" rel="noopener">Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA</a> ​and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/supun-walpola" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1650" rel="noopener">Supun Walpola</a> ​at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/companies/lightstream-research" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="companies:909" rel="noopener">LightStream Research</a> ​</p>
</div>
<ul>
<li>In this Smartkarma Original, we provide a guide on short-sell strategies employed by short-sellers to identify, analyse, and subsequently target companies. We also provide our recommendations to companies to prevent, detect, and combat short-sell attacks.</li>
<li>We believe companies whose share prices have increased significantly within a short period of time and whose valuations are at significant premiums to their peers become vulnerable for short-sell attacks. The share price of the short-sell targets in our sample increased by 89.2% on average from its 52-week low to the date of release of the short-sell report. The EV/Revenue, EV/OP, P/E, and P/B multiples of the short-sell targets in our sample were at premiums of 241.2%, 37.6%, 42.5%, and 118.7% on average over their peers, respectively.</li>
<li>Short sellers also seem to target companies that significantly outperform their peers on operating matrices. Short-sellers imply that such outperformance is due to fabricated results. The OP margin of the short-sell targets in our sample were around 4.5x higher than their peers.</li>
<li>It is conventional wisdom that insiders cash-out when they are no longer confident about the prospects of the company. Short sellers try to exploit this idea and are often on the lookout for instances where insiders are continuously cashing out, either by way of selling their stake in the company, or through back door transactions like share pledges, collar transactions, and high levels of compensation.</li>
<li>Short-sellers show no mercy when it comes to questionable or complex corporate structures like VIE arrangements either. Short-sellers are of the view that such dubious corporate structures enable companies to round trip revenue and assets to fabricate financial results. Short-sellers are also on the lookout for suspicious M&amp;A transactions with related parties, particularly overvalued asset sales to and undervalued asset purchases from insiders.     </li>
<li>When a company fakes revenue or profit at the income statement level, it leads to a fake cash problem, i.e. the company then has to forge significant cash balances to match its inflated profit. Short sellers believe that inflated capex or R&amp;D expenses are helpful tools to burn fake cash as these expenses often do not raise any suspicion if they do not generate instant returns.</li>
<li>Short-sellers also seem to target companies and insiders that historically have a bad reputation. We also came across several instances where short-sellers have questioned the track record of auditors, underwriters, and appraisers that were employed by the target companies. Short-sellers also consider frequent auditor changes and audit fees that are either too-high or too-low as red-flags.</li>
<li>Short-sellers regularly keep an eye out for companies with weaker corporate governance practices. However, some of the cases that we came across in our research suggest that traditional corporate governance matrices have limited relevance in exposing fraudsters in this day and age. Short-sellers now seem to question the true “independence” of independent directors and are sceptical about companies with high board turnover.</li>
<li>A short-seller can identify a plethora of red-flags for a company, but a short-sell attack is seldom successful without any smoking-gun evidence. Therefore, short-sellers often thrive on finding that one key piece of evidence that would make their thesis irrefutable. In most of the cases we looked at, this smoking gun evidence has come in the form of alternative filings, which include the likes of filings with the local regulators, credit reports, and tax filings. Short sellers have often used these alternative filings to reconcile reported financials and in some cases to trace the “true” ownership of assets.</li>
<li>We believe recent short-sell reports on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luckin-coffee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28046:1" rel="noopener">Luckin Coffee (LK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gsx-techedu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28069:1" rel="noopener">GSX Techedu (GSX US)</a> raise the bar for modern-day short-sellers. The anonymous short-sell report on Luckin was backed by 11,000+ hours of store traffic video and 25,000+ customer receipts while Grizzly’s short-sell report on GSX Techedu used a variety of alternative data sources such as customer reviews, web traffic, keyword search results and app rankings as smoking-gun evidence.</li>
<li>Short-seller attacks have become part of today’s investment world and companies should learn to co-exist with them and more importantly, to defend these attacks, companies should have a plan in place while strengthening their fundamentals and improving corporate disclosures.  </li>
<li>In order to prevent short-seller attacks we recommend companies to 1) be honest about any errors and make due restatements to reported financials, 2) adopt conservative accounting practices, 3) avoid providing aggressive earnings guidance, 4) provide detailed disclosures when deviating from accepted accounting standards, 5) avoid withholding or delaying bad news such as product failures, litigation, profit warnings, layoffs, etc. from the market, 6) improve corporate governance measures, 7) and improve company disclosures particularly regarding company acquisitions, divestitures, and capital investments.</li>
<li>If a company has always been committed to providing complete disclosures and its shareholders are kept informed about both good and bad news regarding a company, the best way to approach the shorts may be to completely ignore them. However, a company should respond to a short sell attack if the allegations laid out by the shorts were unreasonable or misleading or if it is impacting the company’s valuation.</li>
</ul>


This insight has been produced jointly by Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA ​and Supun Walpola ​at LightStream Research ​


In this Smartkarma Original, we provide a guide on short-sell strategies employed by short-sellers to identify, analyse, and subsequently target companies. We also provide our recommendations to companies to prevent, detect, and combat short-sell attacks.
We believe companies whose share prices have increased significantly within a short period of time and whose valuations are at significant premiums to their peers become vulnerable for short-sell attacks. The share price of the short-sell targets in our sample increased by 89.2% on average from its 52-week low to the date of release of the short-sell report. The EV/Revenue, EV/OP, P/E, and P/B multiples of the short-sell targets in our sample were at premiums of 241.2%, 37.6%, 42.5%, and 118.7% on average over their peers, respectively.
Short sellers also seem to target companies that significantly outperform their peers on operating matrices. Short-sellers imply that such outperformance is due to fabricated results. The OP margin of the short-sell targets in our sample were around 4.5x higher than their peers.
It is conventional wisdom that insiders cash-out when they are no longer confident about the prospects of the company. Short sellers try to exploit this idea and are often on the lookout for instances where insiders are continuously cashing out, either by way of selling their stake in the company, or through back door transactions like share pledges, collar transactions, and high levels of compensation.
Short-sellers show no mercy when it comes to questionable or complex corporate structures like VIE arrangements either. Short-sellers are of the view that such dubious corporate structures enable companies to round trip revenue and assets to fabricate financial results. Short-sellers are also on the lookout for suspicious M&amp;A transactions with related parties, particularly overvalued asset sales to and undervalued asset purchases from insiders.     
When a company fakes revenue or profit at the income statement level, it leads to a fake cash problem, i.e. the company then has to forge significant cash balances to match its inflated profit. Short sellers believe that inflated capex or R&amp;D expenses are helpful tools to burn fake cash as these expenses often do not raise any suspicion if they do not generate instant returns.
Short-sellers also seem to target companies and insiders that historically have a bad reputation. We also came across several instances where short-sellers have questioned the track record of auditors, underwriters, and appraisers that were employed by the target companies. Short-sellers also consider frequent auditor changes and audit fees that are either too-high or too-low as red-flags.
Short-sellers regularly keep an eye out for companies with weaker corporate governance practices. However, some of the cases that we came across in our research suggest that traditional corporate governance matrices have limited relevance in exposing fraudsters in this day and age. Short-sellers now seem to question the true “independence” of independent directors and are sceptical about companies with high board turnover.
A short-seller can identify a plethora of red-flags for a company, but a short-sell attack is seldom successful without any smoking-gun evidence. Therefore, short-sellers often thrive on finding that one key piece of evidence that would make their thesis irrefutable. In most of the cases we looked at, this smoking gun evidence has come in the form of alternative filings, which include the likes of filings with the local regulators, credit reports, and tax filings. Short sellers have often used these alternative filings to reconcile reported financials and in some cases to trace the “true” ownership of assets.
We believe recent short-sell reports on Luckin Coffee (LK US) and GSX Techedu (GSX US) raise the bar for modern-day short-sellers. The anonymous short-sell report on Luckin was backed by 11,000+ hours of store traffic video and 25,000+ customer receipts while Grizzly’s short-sell report on GSX Techedu used a variety of alternative data sources such as customer reviews, web traffic, keyword search results and app rankings as smoking-gun evidence.
Short-seller attacks have become part of today’s investment world and companies should learn to co-exist with them and more importantly, to defend these attacks, companies should have a plan in place while strengthening their fundamentals and improving corporate disclosures.  
In order to prevent short-seller attacks we recommend companies to 1) be honest about any errors and make due restatements to reported financials, 2) adopt conservative accounting practices, 3) avoid providing aggressive earnings guidance, 4) provide detailed disclosures when deviating from accepted accounting standards, 5) avoid withholding or delaying bad news such as product failures, litigation, profit warnings, layoffs, etc. from the market, 6) improve corporate governance measures, 7) and improve company disclosures particularly regarding company acquisitions, divestitures, and capital investments.
If a company has always been committed to providing complete disclosures and its shareholders are kept informed about both good and bad news regarding a company, the best way to approach the shorts may be to completely ignore them. However, a company should respond to a short sell attack if the allegations laid out by the shorts were unreasonable or misleading or if it is impacting the company’s valuation.


Short-Sell Strategies – How to Get Teflon Coated?

<div><p>The short notional in the market for the data released 3 March is US$24.60bn (up by US$388mm excluding FX movements) with the largest short positions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-yuden-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9924:1">Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Most shorted stocks as a percentage of free float are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anritsu-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3700:1">Anritsu Corp (6754 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-yuden-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9924:1">Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aruhi-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26072:1">Aruhi Corp (7198 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokai-carbon-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9145:1">Tokai Carbon (5301 JP)</a> while the stocks with the highest days to cover are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vital-ksk-holdings-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7398:1">Vital Ksk Holdings (3151 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aruhi-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26072:1"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/katakura-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2007:1">Katakura Industries (3001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-trust-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20246:1">J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>. </p></div><div><p>The largest increases in short notional over the week were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdk-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18847:1">TDK Corp (6762 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/peptidream-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13514:1">Peptidream Inc (4587 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-d-holdings-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3431:1">T&amp;D Holdings (8795 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minebea-mitsumi-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5032:1">Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)</a> while shorts were covered in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-heavy-industries-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5439:1">Subaru Corp (7270 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m3-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13316:1">M3 Inc (2413 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>.   </p></div><div><p>Sectorally, short positions increased in Industrials (US$194m), Information Technology (US$63m) and Materials (US$54m), while shorts were covered in Real Estate (US$35m) and Health Care (US$19m).</p></div>

The short notional in the market for the data released 3 March is US$24.60bn (up by US$388mm excluding FX movements) with the largest short positions in Itochu Corp (8001 JP), Toyota Motor (7203 JP), Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP), Canon Inc (7751 JP) and Fast Retailing (9983 JP). Most shorted stocks as a percentage of free float are Anritsu Corp (6754 JP), Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP), Aruhi Corp (7198 JP) and Tokai Carbon (5301 JP) while the stocks with the highest days to cover are Vital Ksk Holdings (3151 JP), Katakura Industries (3001 JP), J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP) and Itochu Corp (8001 JP). The largest increases in short notional over the week were TDK Corp (6762 JP), Peptidream Inc (4587 JP), T&amp;D Holdings (8795 JP) and Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP) while shorts were covered in Subaru Corp (7270 JP), M3 Inc (2413 JP), Fast Retailing (9983 JP) and Advantest Corp (6857 JP).   Sectorally, short positions increased in Industrials (US$194m), Information Technology (US$63m) and Materials (US$54m), while shorts were covered in Real Estate (US$35m) and Health Care (US$19m).

Japan - Small Caps and Micro Caps With High Short Interest Free Fall

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/117/963/original/2020-02-15_09-46-55.png?1581796265" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="117963"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>A YEAR TO FORGET</strong> - The aggregate earnings of Japanese listed companies peaked on December 26th 2018 and, over the last five quarters, have declined by ¥10.5 trillion or by 22%. Net margins have declined by 135 basis points over this period to 4.5%, 224 bps below the current operating margin. Whatever the uncertainties over the impact of Covid-19, the current quarter will see a further decline. A base-case outlook for aggregate Net Income is ¥30 trillion by May 2020, which, if the total market cap were to remain at current levels, would take the  PE to a ten-year high of 22.4 times. The decline in Operating Income has been more moderate at 11%, illustrating the still all-too-frequent write-offs that Japanse corporate routinely require as penance for their mostly-overseas capital misallocations.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/117/966/original/2020-02-16_05-32-51.png?1581798783" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="117966"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/117/967/original/2020-02-16_05-28-20.png?1581798803" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="117967"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>ACCELERATING DOWNTREND</strong> -  Trailing-twelve-month (TTM) Revenues are now declining quarter-on-quarter, and the pace of decline in Operating Income has accelerated for the fourth quarter in a row. The aggregate one year forward forecasts have seen falling QoQ revenues and OP since TTM-2. With only one month to go before the end of FY2020 for the majority of companies and with many December year-end companies looking forward ten months, a degree of optimism has slowed the pace of decline in the current quarter. We expect Covid-19 to result in many of these forecasts to be revised down at the interim results to be released in August. </p><p><strong>RECESSION</strong> - With GDP shrinking by an annualised 6.3% in the fourth quarter and Covid-19 having at least a similar impact in the current quarter, Japan will be in an, albeit 'technical', recession by the spring.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In the<strong> DETAIL</strong> below, we shall review the actual results and initial and revised forecasts by Sector and highlight the best and worst-performing companies by one-quarter revenue and margin changes. Part 2 will update our Results and Revision Scoring for the market, Sectors, Peer Groups and Companies.</p></div>

Source • Japan AnalyticsA YEAR TO FORGET - The aggregate earnings of Japanese listed companies peaked on December 26th 2018 and, over the last five quarters, have declined by ¥10.5 trillion or by 22%. Net margins have declined by 135 basis points over this period to 4.5%, 224 bps below the current operating margin. Whatever the uncertainties over the impact of Covid-19, the current quarter will see a further decline. A base-case outlook for aggregate Net Income is ¥30 trillion by May 2020, which, if the total market cap were to remain at current levels, would take the  PE to a ten-year high of 22.4 times. The decline in Operating Income has been more moderate at 11%, illustrating the still all-too-frequent write-offs that Japanse corporate routinely require as penance for their mostly-overseas capital misallocations.Source • Japan AnalyticsACCELERATING DOWNTREND -  Trailing-twelve-month (TTM) Revenues are now declining quarter-on-quarter, and the pace of decline in Operating Income has accelerated for the fourth quarter in a row. The aggregate one year forward forecasts have seen falling QoQ revenues and OP since TTM-2. With only one month to go before the end of FY2020 for the majority of companies and with many December year-end companies looking forward ten months, a degree of optimism has slowed the pace of decline in the current quarter. We expect Covid-19 to result in many of these forecasts to be revised down at the interim results to be released in August. RECESSION - With GDP shrinking by an annualised 6.3% in the fourth quarter and Covid-19 having at least a similar impact in the current quarter, Japan will be in an, albeit 'technical', recession by the spring.In the DETAIL below, we shall review the actual results and initial and revised forecasts by Sector and highlight the best and worst-performing companies by one-quarter revenue and margin changes. Part 2 will update our Results and Revision Scoring for the market, Sectors, Peer Groups and Companies.

🇯🇵 JAPAN • IT'S A WRAP! Part 1 - 2020-Q1 Earnings Results & Forecasts

Japan

PeptiDream Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that researches and develops peptide therapeutics to improve the life of patients.

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Peptidream Inc (4587 JP)

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Campbell Gunn

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JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Big Turnover, Big Impact & A Market Consultation

There are 41 adds and 40 deletes for the JPX NK 400 Index. One-way turnover is high at 8.16% and will result in a trade of JPY 468bn. There will be...

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The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

Short-Sell Strategies – How to Get Teflon Coated?

This insight has been produced jointly by Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA ​and Supun Walpola ​at LightStream Research ​ In this Smartkarma...

Supun Walpola

Japan - Small Caps and Micro Caps With High Short Interest Free Fall

The short notional in the market for the data released 3 March is US$24.60bn (up by US$388mm excluding FX movements) with the largest short...

Brian Freitas

🇯🇵 JAPAN • IT'S A WRAP! Part 1 - 2020-Q1 Earnings Results & Forecasts

A YEAR TO FORGET - The aggregate earnings of Japanese listed companies peaked on December 26th 2018 and, over the last five quarters, have declined...

Campbell Gunn

This insight has been produced jointly by Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA and Supun Walpola at LightStream Research In this Smartkarma...