Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia.</li><li>Firm price differentials point to strong supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to supply more volumes for those markets.</li><li>Demand would need to hold firm to absorb any such pick-up in supplies.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia.Firm price differentials point to strong supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to supply more volumes for those markets.Demand would need to hold firm to absorb any such pick-up in supplies.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

<ul><li>US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years.</li><li>In Middle East, CFR UAE Group I SN 500 price discount to Group II N500 shrinks to narrowest in more than seven months.</li><li>In Asia, FOB Asia Group I SN 500 price strengthens vs Group II N500 in May 2025 to firmest level in six months.</li></ul>

US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years.In Middle East, CFR UAE Group I SN 500 price discount to Group II N500 shrinks to narrowest in more than seven months.In Asia, FOB Asia Group I SN 500 price strengthens vs Group II N500 in May 2025 to firmest level in six months.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

<ul><li>Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays unusually high.</li><li>Firm base oils premium suggests supply remains tight and demand firm, incentivizing refiners to raise output.</li><li>Gap between Group II light and heavy-grade base oils prices widens more even after restart of growing number of base oils units following scheduled maintenance work.</li></ul>

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays unusually high.Firm base oils premium suggests supply remains tight and demand firm, incentivizing refiners to raise output.Gap between Group II light and heavy-grade base oils prices widens more even after restart of growing number of base oils units following scheduled maintenance work.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 18th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beone Medicines, Zj Innolight, Hua Hong Semi, Cspc Pharma, Smic, Yofc, Akeso.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 18th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beone Medicines, Zj Innolight, Hua Hong Semi, Cspc Pharma, Smic, Yofc, Akeso.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 18th): Knowledge Atlas, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beone Medicines, Cspc Pharma

China

PetroChina is a Chinese oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, production, transportation, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas, as well as new energy operations. It also refines crude oil and petroleum products, produces and markets petrochemical products, and sells natural gas. The company was founded on November 5, 1999, and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

PetroChina (857 HK)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia. Firm price differentials point to...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years. In Middle East, CFR...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil stays unusually high. Firm base oils premium suggests supply remains tight and...

Base Oil News

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 18th): Knowledge Atlas, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beone Medicines, Cspc Pharma

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Innovent Bio...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)