External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimates</li><li>Higher investments in digital, brand building and R&amp;D led to higher other expenses YoY and higher depreciation</li><li>Q2 was a subdued quarter, in line with expectations</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimatesHigher investments in digital, brand building and R&amp;D led to higher other expenses YoY and higher depreciationQ2 was a subdued quarter, in line with expectationsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies, Petronet LNG, Metro Brands

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).</li>
<li>Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 16 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn (US$736m).
Since June, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 551.2/56.2/27.8bn, a beat/(miss) of 7.6/0.7/(6.6)%</li><li>P&amp;M margins came in at 7.6% (+20bps YoY) and LT expects to maintain a positive YoY margin expansion trend in ensuing quarters and retained 8.2-8.25% guidance for FY25</li><li>Despite Q1FY25 being an election quarter/lower labour availability, LT reported strong 15% revenue growth and maintained 15/10% revenue/order inflow guidance for FY25</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 551.2/56.2/27.8bn, a beat/(miss) of 7.6/0.7/(6.6)%P&amp;M margins came in at 7.6% (+20bps YoY) and LT expects to maintain a positive YoY margin expansion trend in ensuing quarters and retained 8.2-8.25% guidance for FY25Despite Q1FY25 being an election quarter/lower labour availability, LT reported strong 15% revenue growth and maintained 15/10% revenue/order inflow guidance for FY25Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Axis Bank, SBI Life Insurance, SRF, Petronet LNG

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Currently, the share of natural gas in energy basket is just 6.7%, Which India is aiming for 15% by 2030.</li>
<li>Capex in Place- expanding the Dahej Plant, Petchem facility(20000Cr) will be operational in 4-5 years, Kochi utilization will improve</li>
<li>20% Volume Growth expected by Management, with a rising LNG portion in overall Gas Consumption in India.</li>
</ul>


Currently, the share of natural gas in energy basket is just 6.7%, Which India is aiming for 15% by 2030.
Capex in Place- expanding the Dahej Plant, Petchem facility(20000Cr) will be operational in 4-5 years, Kochi utilization will improve
20% Volume Growth expected by Management, with a rising LNG portion in overall Gas Consumption in India.


The Beat Ideas- Petronet LNG: Driving Growth in India's Natural Gas Sector

<ul><li>GAIL: Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 137 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 127mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segment</li><li>Q1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segment</li><li>However, sharp pick-up in natural gas transmission volumes, higher tariff and higher gas marketing volumes supported earnings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAIL: Our BUY recommendation on GAIL with a target price of INR 137 is based on (1) an increase in gas transmission volume to 127mmscmd by FY25 on the back of an increase in domestic gas production, (2) completion of major pipelines in eastern and southern India, and (3) expectation of improvement in earnings from the petchem segmentQ1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segmentHowever, sharp pick-up in natural gas transmission volumes, higher tariff and higher gas marketing volumes supported earningsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG, Navin Fluorine International

India

Petronet LNG Ltd. was formed by the Government of India to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) into the country. The Company is a joint venture between GAIL, ONGC, IOC and BPCL. Petronet LNG has also selected GAZ de France as a strategic partner. The Company has set up LNG receiving ports in Dahej (Gujarat) and Kochi (Kerala).

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Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)

HSIE Results Daily: TVS Motor, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies, Petronet LNG, Metro Brands

TVS Motor: TVS Motors’ Q2 PAT at INR 6.6bn (+24% YoY/+12% QoQ) was marginally lower than our estimates. Higher investments in digital, brand...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 56% Turnover, Big Trade & Strong Momentum

There could be 16 constituent changes in December. one-way turnover is estimated at 55.6% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 62bn...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, Axis Bank, SBI Life Insurance, SRF, Petronet LNG

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 551.2/56.2/27.8bn, a beat/(miss) of 7.6/0.7/(6.6)%

HDFC Securities

The Beat Ideas- Petronet LNG: Driving Growth in India's Natural Gas Sector

Petronet LNG: The Pure Play Natural Gas Player in India. Rising Energy Demand, Capex and upcoming Petchem project will drive the growth.

Sudarshan Bhandari

HSIE Results Daily: GAIL, Oberoi Realty, Petronet LNG, Navin Fluorine International

Q1FY24 reported EBITDA/PAT at INR 24/14bn, came in below our estimates, impacted by weak earnings from the LPG and Liquid Hydro Carbon (LHC) segment

HDFC Securities

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