Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.</li>
<li>This includes 5,127 boe/d for Vietnam (guidance of 5.0-5.3 mboe/d) and 1,381 boe/d in Egypt (guidance of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d).</li>
<li>While the production guidance is below our expectations of 6.8 mboe/d, the net capex forecast is also below our numbers (US$30 mm).</li>
</ul>


FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.
This includes 5,127 boe/d for Vietnam (guidance of 5.0-5.3 mboe/d) and 1,381 boe/d in Egypt (guidance of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d).
While the production guidance is below our expectations of 6.8 mboe/d, the net capex forecast is also below our numbers (US$30 mm).


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm

<ul><li>• Pharos has declared an interim dividend of 0.33 p per share for 2023 payable in January.</li><li>The interim dividend represents ~33% of the final dividend of the previous year. • The company is also looking to commit a further US$3 mm to share buybacks in 2024 which will provide additional support to the share price.</li></ul>

• Pharos has declared an interim dividend of 0.33 p per share for 2023 payable in January.The interim dividend represents ~33% of the final dividend of the previous year. • The company is also looking to commit a further US$3 mm to share buybacks in 2024 which will provide additional support to the share price.

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): More share buybacks and more dividends

<ul><li>________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.</li><li>The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.</li><li>The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).</li></ul>

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).

<ul><li>________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).</li><li>The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.</li><li>The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).</li></ul>

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).

<ul>
<li>1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.</li>
<li>As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). </li>
<li>The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.</li>
</ul>


1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.
As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). 
The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

United Kingdom

Pharos Energy is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a portfolio of production, development, and exploration assets. The company primarily operates in Vietnam and Egypt, focusing on delivering sustainable growth and returns. Pharos Energy was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in London, England.

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Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm

While the production guidance is below our expectations of 6.8 mboe/d, the net capex forecast is also below our numbers (US$30 mm).

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 08/12/2023

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 -...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d).

Auctus Advisors

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Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm

While the production guidance is below our expectations of 6.8 mboe/d, the net capex forecast is also below our numbers (US$30 mm).

Auctus Advisors

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): More share buybacks and more dividends

• Pharos has declared an interim dividend of 0.33 p per share for 2023 payable in January. The interim dividend represents ~33% of the final...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 08/12/2023

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 -...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d).

Auctus Advisors