Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40108:1" rel="noopener">GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM)</a> is looking to raise up to US$972m by selling shares at ₱6.6/share, valuing the company at ₱442bn (US$7bn).</li>
<li>The offer period runs from 6-12 October and the stock is expected to start trading on 20 October. Demand is said to be multiples of the offer size.</li>
<li>The earliest global index inclusion will come in June 2027, followed by a possible <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> inclusion in July.</li>
</ul>



GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM) is looking to raise up to US$972m by selling shares at ₱6.6/share, valuing the company at ₱442bn (US$7bn).
The offer period runs from 6-12 October and the stock is expected to start trading on 20 October. Demand is said to be multiples of the offer size.
The earliest global index inclusion will come in June 2027, followed by a possible Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) inclusion in July.


Mynt (GCASH PM): No Quick Index Inclusion to Absorb Float

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> complete, there could be one change for the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> in the index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digiplus-interactive-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23060:1" rel="noopener">DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.</li>
</ul>


With 90% of the review period for the August rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) complete, there could be one change for the index.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) should replace Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) in the index. Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) also has some global passive selling at the close on 30 May.

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) is up 25x over the last couple of years and is up 46% since we identified the stock as a potential index inclusion.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>China listed HK shares continue to lead the pack in Asia</li>
<li>India's rate cuts, tax cuts and election wins are not supporting the market</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
China listed HK shares continue to lead the pack in Asia
India's rate cuts, tax cuts and election wins are not supporting the market


Overview #15 – Who's Afraid of the USD?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Vietcap

Vietcap

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

We specialize in consulting both individual and institutional clients, providing them with effective financial solutions that are tailored to their specific needs.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The VN-Index (VNI) declined 1.8% in October: The VNI started October with four consecutive declining sessions (VNI: -1.7% from October 1st to 7th) due to high profit taking pressure as the VNI approached the 1,300-point level.</li><li>However, the VNI then recovered (VNI: +1.3% from October 7th to 17th) as sentiment improved on upbeat macro data (Vietnam posted +6.8% YoY GDP growth in 9M 2024) and rallies in US equities (S&amp;P500: +2.6%; Nasdaq: +2.5%; DJI: +3.1%) in the same period.</li><li>However, upward momentum was not sustained and the VNI declined towards the end of the month (VNI: -1.7% from October 17th to 31st) due to several reasons, including: (1) profit-taking pressure returned; (2) the SBV resumed T-bill issuance (the SBV net withdrew VND52.1tn (USD2.1bn) from October 18th to November 1st from the banking system); and (3) foreign investors net sold around USD358.3mn on HSX in the second half of October. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The VN-Index (VNI) declined 1.8% in October: The VNI started October with four consecutive declining sessions (VNI: -1.7% from October 1st to 7th) due to high profit taking pressure as the VNI approached the 1,300-point level.However, the VNI then recovered (VNI: +1.3% from October 7th to 17th) as sentiment improved on upbeat macro data (Vietnam posted +6.8% YoY GDP growth in 9M 2024) and rallies in US equities (S&amp;P500: +2.6%; Nasdaq: +2.5%; DJI: +3.1%) in the same period.However, upward momentum was not sustained and the VNI declined towards the end of the month (VNI: -1.7% from October 17th to 31st) due to several reasons, including: (1) profit-taking pressure returned; (2) the SBV resumed T-bill issuance (the SBV net withdrew VND52.1tn (USD2.1bn) from October 18th to November 1st from the banking system); and (3) foreign investors net sold around USD358.3mn on HSX in the second half of October. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market Recap October 2024 - VN-Index Declines After Three Months of Gains

<ul><li>The VN-Index (VNI) increased 2.6% in August. At the beginning of the month (August 1st to 5th), the VNI declined 5.1% as selling pressure occurred across all sectors in line with the negative performance of the global stock market in the same period (S&amp;P500: -4.8%; Nasdaq: -5.8%; DJI: -4.1%; Nikkei 225: -17.5%).</li><li>However, the VNI quickly recovered towards the end of August (+8.1%) due to several factors including: (1) global equity markets rallied with S&amp;P500: +8.9%; Nasdaq: +9.3%; DJI: +7.4%; Nikkei 225: +22.9%, (2) higher expectations about the removal of the "prefunding" bottleneck, which is a key criterion for the market upgrade by FTSE, (3) the appreciation of the VND supported market sentiment (the VND appreciated 1.6% against the USD in August), and (4) real estate stocks increased 4.5% in August as three amended laws (Land Law 2024, Housing Law 2023, and the Real Estate Business Law 2023) took effect from August 1, 2024.</li><li>As of August 30, the VNI closed at 1,283.9 (+2.6% MoM).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The VN-Index (VNI) increased 2.6% in August. At the beginning of the month (August 1st to 5th), the VNI declined 5.1% as selling pressure occurred across all sectors in line with the negative performance of the global stock market in the same period (S&amp;P500: -4.8%; Nasdaq: -5.8%; DJI: -4.1%; Nikkei 225: -17.5%).However, the VNI quickly recovered towards the end of August (+8.1%) due to several factors including: (1) global equity markets rallied with S&amp;P500: +8.9%; Nasdaq: +9.3%; DJI: +7.4%; Nikkei 225: +22.9%, (2) higher expectations about the removal of the "prefunding" bottleneck, which is a key criterion for the market upgrade by FTSE, (3) the appreciation of the VND supported market sentiment (the VND appreciated 1.6% against the USD in August), and (4) real estate stocks increased 4.5% in August as three amended laws (Land Law 2024, Housing Law 2023, and the Real Estate Business Law 2023) took effect from August 1, 2024.As of August 30, the VNI closed at 1,283.9 (+2.6% MoM).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market Recap August 2024 - VN-Index extends gains in August

Philippines

The Philippine Stock Exchange PSEi Index is a capitalization-weighted index composed of stocks representative of the Industrial, Properties, Services, Holding Firms, Financial and Mining & Oil Sectors of the PSE. The index has a base value of 1022.045 as of February 28, 1990. 

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)

Mynt (GCASH PM): No Quick Index Inclusion to Absorb Float

GCash (Mynt) seeks to raise up to US$972m by selling shares at ₱6.6 each, valuing the company at US$7bn. No immediate index inclusions to absorb...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes as PLUS Runs Away

DigiPlus Interactive could replace Bloomberry Resorts in the PCOMP in August. There will also be selling in BLOOM at the close on 30 May. PLUS is...

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Overview #15 – Who's Afraid of the USD?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We takea quick tour around China, India and Japan

Rikki Malik

Market Recap October 2024 - VN-Index Declines After Three Months of Gains

The VN-Index (VNI) declined 1.8% in October: The VNI started October with four consecutive declining sessions (VNI: -1.7% from October 1st to 7th)...

Vietcap

Market Recap August 2024 - VN-Index extends gains in August

Since the beginning of the year to end-August, the VNI increased 13.6%, outperforming regional markets such as the Philippines’ PCOMP (+6.9%),...

Vietcap