Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As forecast, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/areit-ayalaland-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28856:1" rel="noopener">Areit (AyalaLand REIT) (AREIT PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-banking-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22788:1" rel="noopener">China Banking (CBC PM)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nickel-asia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10379:1" rel="noopener">Nickel Asia (NIKL PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilcon-builder-s-supply" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23685:1" rel="noopener">Wilcon Depot (WLCON PM)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 14-44 days of ADV in the adds while selling between 17-54 days of ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>The stocks have already moved a lot over the last few months and positioning has built up over that period. There could still be outperformance ahead of the passives trading.</li>
</ul>


As forecast, Areit (AyalaLand REIT) (AREIT PM) and China Banking (CBC PM) will replace Nickel Asia (NIKL PM) and Wilcon Depot (WLCON PM) in the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 14-44 days of ADV in the adds while selling between 17-54 days of ADV in the deletes.
The stocks have already moved a lot over the last few months and positioning has built up over that period. There could still be outperformance ahead of the passives trading.


PCOMP Index Rebalance: AREIT, CBC to Replace NIKL, WLCON

<ul>
<li>The review period for the February rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> ends in two weeks.</li>
<li>There could be two changes for the index with passive trackers needing to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks.</li>
<li>The passive buying is a lot larger than the passive selling, there will be funding outflows for the other index constituents; some stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the February rebalance of the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) ends in two weeks.
There could be two changes for the index with passive trackers needing to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks.
The passive buying is a lot larger than the passive selling, there will be funding outflows for the other index constituents; some stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in February

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. / Index Rebalance

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. (2105 TT)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.</li>
<li>The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.</li>
<li>Units outstanding on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a> are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.
The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.
Units outstanding on iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US) are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

<ul>
<li>In a surprise development, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener">UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> and replaced with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nickel-asia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10379:1" rel="noopener">Nickel Asia (NIKL PM)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unionbank-of-the-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23192:1" rel="noopener"></a>There will be a BIG impact on both stocks as a result of the change with passive trackers need to trade in excess of 30 days ADV.</li>
<li>Expect both stocks to move today and then continue that move for the next few days till the changes are implemented.</li>
</ul>


In a surprise development, UnionBank of the Philippines (UBP PM) will be deleted from the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) and replaced with Nickel Asia (NIKL PM). 

There will be a BIG impact on both stocks as a result of the change with passive trackers need to trade in excess of 30 days ADV.
Expect both stocks to move today and then continue that move for the next few days till the changes are implemented.


PCOMP Adhoc Index Rebalance: NIKL to Replace UBP in a BIG Move

<ul>
<li>The coming week has the rebalance implementation for the NIFTY family of indices on Thursday and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> on Friday.</li>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a> and the HSCI Index ends on Friday.</li>
<li>Inflows to mainland China ETFs resumed following a pause as markets continue to trade weak.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has the rebalance implementation for the NIFTY family of indices on Thursday and the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) on Friday.
The review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index and the HSCI Index ends on Friday.
Inflows to mainland China ETFs resumed following a pause as markets continue to trade weak.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCI, ASX, SET50, Wharf, SK Tel, Tata Motors, Midea, PCOMP

Philippines

The Philippine Stock Exchange PSEi Index is a capitalization-weighted index composed of stocks representative of the Industrial, Properties, Services, Holding Firms, Financial and Mining & Oil Sectors of the PSE. The index has a base value of 1022.045 as of February 28, 1990. 

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)

Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)

PCOMP Index Rebalance: AREIT, CBC to Replace NIKL, WLCON

AREIT and CBC will replace NIKL and WLCON in the PCOMP this week. Passive trackers will need to buy between 14-54 days of ADV in the changes. Adds...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in February

There could be two sets of changes for the PCOMP in February. Passives will need to trade between 23-64x ADV in the stocks. The adds have moved...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

PCOMP Adhoc Index Rebalance: NIKL to Replace UBP in a BIG Move

In a surprise, NIKL will replace UBP in the PCOMP at the close on 2 October. The impact on both stocks is huge and there will be large moves today...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCI, ASX, SET50, Wharf, SK Tel, Tata Motors, Midea, PCOMP

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas